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Marian (WI)

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Marian (WI)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 961 (#443) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 914 (#475) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1002 (#441) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -7.9 (#229) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -11.3 (#548) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.349 (#566) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.6 More → 0.227 (#510) AdjNet -10.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.8 More → 0.221 (#507) AdjNet -10.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 74.7 More → 0.314 (#523) AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 74.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 73.7 More → 0.403 (#576) AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 73.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.343 (#545) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.353 (#543) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 22 More → 948 (#439) RD 96 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Wis.-Superior W 68 - 67
2025-11-09 vs Central (IA) L 56 - 63
2025-11-18 @ Augsburg L 66 - 70
2025-11-30 vs Saint Mary's (MN) W 105 - 73
2025-12-03 vs Concordia Wisconsin L 61 - 66
2025-12-06 @ Edgewood W 73 - 64
2025-12-10 vs Wis. Lutheran W 81 - 58
2025-12-13 @ Lakeland W 67 - 64
2025-12-14 @ Northern Mich. L 52 - 109
2025-12-18 vs Beloit W 63 - 51
2025-12-20 @ Carroll (WI) L 67 - 75
2026-01-03 @ Benedictine (IL) W 72 - 70
2026-01-07 @ St. Norbert L 59 - 66
2026-01-10 vs Dominican (IL) W 72 - 45
2026-01-14 vs Lakeland L 77 - 82
2026-01-17 @ Rockford L 63 - 74
2026-01-21 vs MSOE L 81 - 85
2026-01-24 vs Illinois Tech W 79 - 52
2026-01-27 @ Maranatha Baptist W 75 - 57
2026-01-31 @ Aurora L 83 - 95
2026-02-04 vs Edgewood W 97 - 93
2026-02-07 vs Benedictine (IL) W 75 - 62

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Andrew Ayeni - 22 31.6 13.9 6.7 3.4 1.9 0.2 3.0 10.5 12.6 98 4.7 21.1 45.0 25.5 62.8 0.89 52.5 47.6
Derek Lindert - 21 27.1 13.8 2.6 1.3 1.1 0.1 1.0 11.2 6.7 70 3.5 17.0 46.2 38.1 71.4 1.85 58.9 58.1
Marvin Haslett - 22 23.1 12.6 1.7 1.2 1.1 0.2 1.9 8.3 6.7 67 3.4 19.4 49.7 39.2 82.7 1.37 63.6 57.7
Alex Vassilakis - 22 32.3 11.1 9.0 1.7 1.4 0.2 1.2 8.8 13.3 112 5.3 25.4 43.8 32.5 72.3 1.26 54.8 50.8
Harper Krolak - 20 25.8 5.2 2.5 3.0 0.5 0.1 1.8 6.6 3.0 63 3.5 16.8 30.3 23.3 48.6 0.1 35.4 33.0
Rashawn Bost - 20 12.5 4.9 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.5 3.5 3.9 58 3.2 35.8 46.5 45.9 80.0 0.77 66.9 66.2
Jazz Orozco - 22 21.5 4.3 1.8 1.2 1.4 0.0 1.1 2.8 4.8 93 4.7 32.9 61.3 42.9 66.7 -0.87 69.2 68.5
Max Breitenbach - 16 15.8 4.2 3.8 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.8 3.5 5.4 0 0.0 0.0 39.3 18.8 61.8 -2.03 47.9 42.0
Micai Johnson - 17 11.7 2.9 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 3.3 1.6 3 0.2 7.4 30.4 25.8 72.7 -2.08 41.1 37.5
Frederick Ware Jr. - 21 6.4 1.7 1.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 1.6 1.8 -5 -0.4 -9.4 42.4 26.3 75.0 0.16 51.8 50.0
Michael Matz - 6 1.9 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 6 1.5 64.6 66.7 0 0 -0.33 66.7 66.7
Nick Gattuso - 5 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 6 3.0 276.9 50.0 50.0 0 -0.27 75.0 75.0
Keshawn Cotton - 8 3.3 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.8 3 0.4 26.3 33.3 0.0 0.0 -0.17 29.1 33.3
Donovan Byrd - 9 5.1 0.4 0.2 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.4 -0.7 4 0.8 14.4 15.4 0.0 0 0.29 15.4 15.4
Tristan Marvelli - 5 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 -0.4 -1 -0.2 -75.0 33.3 0.0 0.0 -0.31 29.1 33.3
Alex Schlichting - 7 1.3 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0 0.0 0.0 50.0 50.0 0 -0.78 75.0 75.0
JT Schmitt - 7 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 -0.3 8 1.6 121.5 25.0 0.0 0 -0.87 25.0 25.0
Myles Norville - 4 1.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 3 1.5 138.5 0 0 50.0 -0.27 56.8 0
Jeremiah Fitzgerald - 4 1.3 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 -3 -0.6 -25.2 0.0 0 0 0.46 0.0 0.0
Carter Uppena - 2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kaden Fillmore - 4 2.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 -0.5 -7 -3.5 -79.6 0.0 0.0 0 -1.52 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG