Mansfield
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 853 (#347) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 860 (#325) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.2 (#286) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.146 (#512) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.228 (#297) | NetEff -9.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.134 (#569) | AdjNet -16.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.135 (#569) | AdjNet -15.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.283 (#569) | AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 71.7 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Livingstone | W | 75 - 72 |
| 2024-11-10 | @ | Bluefield St. | L | 71 - 72 |
| 2024-11-12 | vs | Penn St.-Schuylkill | W | 91 - 45 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Swarthmore | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2024-11-22 | @ | Clarion | L | 62 - 89 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Pitt.-Johnstown | W | 61 - 60 |
| 2024-12-03 | vs | Roberts Wesleyan | W | 66 - 45 |
| 2024-12-06 | vs | Gannon | L | 52 - 69 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Edinboro | L | 56 - 65 |
| 2024-12-17 | @ | Slippery Rock | L | 51 - 70 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Dominican (NY) | L | 61 - 66 |
| 2025-01-03 | @ | Bloomsburg | L | 48 - 55 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Shepherd | W | 72 - 42 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Shippensburg | W | 71 - 70 |
| 2025-01-13 | @ | Kutztown | L | 62 - 75 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Millersville | L | 56 - 68 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Lock Haven | L | 43 - 65 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | West Chester | W | 77 - 72 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | East Stroudsburg | L | 50 - 70 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Kutztown | L | 60 - 79 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Bloomsburg | W | 62 - 60 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | West Chester | L | 61 - 67 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Lock Haven | L | 50 - 93 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Millersville | L | 56 - 71 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Shepherd | L | 49 - 54 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | East Stroudsburg | L | 55 - 76 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Shippensburg | W | 63 - 57 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kelson | - | 1 | 39.0 | 26.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 27.0 | -18 | -0.7 | -0.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 0.08 | 58.0 | 50.0 |
| Katie Sheeler | - | 27 | 35.6 | 16.6 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 14.3 | 8.3 | -126 | -3.2 | -2.9 | 33.4 | 29.6 | 76.5 | -0.94 | 49.4 | 42.9 |
| Danae Ellzy | - | 22 | 22.6 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 11.1 | 3.1 | -6 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 34.4 | 26.4 | 67.2 | 0.03 | 44.1 | 40.2 |
| Thalia Carter | - | 1 | 34.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 34 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.58 | 46.5 | 44.4 |
| Bria Griffith | - | 1 | 27.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 14 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.33 | 72.7 | 66.7 |
| Miya Nguyen | - | 3 | 27.3 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 12.7 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 80.0 | 50.0 | - | 72.4 | 75.0 |
| Cydney Stanton | - | 26 | 22.8 | 8.1 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 8.9 | 6.5 | -51 | -2.0 | -2.4 | 36.4 | 18.5 | 67.3 | -0.13 | 41.1 | 37.4 |
| Jasiyah Crawford | - | 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | -53 | -1.3 | -2.0 | 30.0 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -0.11 | 38.3 | 35.0 |
| Sarah Hortin | - | 27 | 25.4 | 7.8 | 8.1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 7.3 | 11.0 | 23 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 37.9 | 25.0 | 60.2 | 0.62 | 44.8 | 40.4 |
| Paris Anthony | - | 24 | 21.2 | 7.1 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 7.4 | 3.0 | -22 | -1.0 | -1.3 | 36.7 | 29.0 | 66.7 | -0.01 | 44.7 | 42.4 |
| Maya Gray | - | 1 | 25.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | -7 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 35.4 | 38.9 |
| Kristen Fulford | - | 26 | 31.3 | 5.9 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 6.7 | 4.3 | -25 | -1.0 | -0.9 | 31.0 | 20.0 | 51.4 | 0.07 | 37.4 | 33.6 |
| Breasia Coit | - | 1 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | -67 | -1.7 | -3.1 | 20.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.26 | 23.0 | 20.0 |
| Kenedy Stroup | - | 24 | 16.7 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 3.7 | -4 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 35.6 | 26.3 | 68.8 | 0.18 | 45.6 | 42.5 |
| Amiyah Nguyen | - | 24 | 19.0 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 3.5 | 1.5 | -124 | -3.4 | -4.9 | 23.5 | 22.2 | 44.7 | -1.26 | 31.0 | 27.1 |
| Boston Bates | - | 1 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | -10.0 | -39 | -1.0 | -1.8 | 11.1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.21 | 10.1 | 11.1 |
| Rachael Cherrington | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -98 | -3.0 | -10.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.48 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Damaria Moree | - | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -89 | -3.6 | -7.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Minyhah Easterling | - | 22 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.1 | -20 | -1.5 | -8.8 | 52.6 | 0 | 71.4 | -0.28 | 56.6 | 52.6 |
| Hannah Alexander | - | 26 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | -15 | -0.7 | -4.3 | 7.4 | 10.0 | 55.0 | -0.29 | 23.7 | 11.1 |
| Paley Adams | - | 27 | 4.9 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | -115 | -4.1 | -9.9 | 23.8 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.86 | 25.1 | 23.8 |
| Ny'Asia Green | - | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -56 | -1.4 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Nielle Reaves | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -66 | -2.3 | -3.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 |
| Jay'la Williams | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -9 | -0.6 | -1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Janiya Byrd | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -21 | -4.2 | -9.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.46 | 0 | 0 |
| Samiyah Briggs | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -9 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Niera Ovalles | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -10 | -0.7 | -2.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyonna Kelly | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jenna Burkett | - | 13 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -44 | -4.4 | -7.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.55 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG