Mansfield
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 707 (#532) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 723 (#522) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 781 (#684) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -24.6 (#295) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -19.7 (#600) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.146 (#512) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.026 (#436) | NetEff -25.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.134 (#569) | AdjNet -16.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.135 (#569) | AdjNet -15.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.283 (#569) | AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 71.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.168 (#677) | AdjO 57.1 | AdjD 74.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.091 (#659) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.098 (#661) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 682 (#513) | RD 107 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | St. Bonaventure | L | 34 - 82 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Bluefield St. | L | 53 - 100 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Livingstone | W | 84 - 79 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Roberts Wesleyan | L | 69 - 76 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Bowie St. | L | 36 - 73 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | D'Youville | L | 58 - 74 |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Frostburg St. | L | 75 - 97 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Bry. & Strat. (Alb.) | W | 94 - 43 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Slippery Rock | L | 40 - 66 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Indiana (PA) | L | 48 - 110 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Seton Hill | L | 43 - 94 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | California (PA) | L | 62 - 83 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Edinboro | L | 52 - 70 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Millersville | L | 64 - 69 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Lock Haven | L | 41 - 91 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | East Stroudsburg | L | 53 - 59 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Shepherd | L | 62 - 80 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Bloomsburg | L | 51 - 76 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Shippensburg | L | 73 - 83 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Kutztown | L | 66 - 90 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | West Chester | L | 44 - 71 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Lock Haven | L | 55 - 75 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Millersville | W | 67 - 65 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Sheeler | - | 23 | 36.3 | 17.1 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 4.3 | 15.3 | 7.4 | -280 | -12.7 | -41.0 | 31.4 | 25.6 | 80.5 | -0.91 | 46.9 | 38.7 |
| Delilah Nazih | - | 21 | 21.3 | 9.4 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 8.7 | 4.6 | -133 | -6.7 | -46.9 | 45.6 | 0.0 | 62.0 | -3.16 | 48.3 | 45.6 |
| Jenna Kasmierski | - | 13 | 26.3 | 8.2 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 8.6 | 6.0 | -127 | -9.1 | -34.5 | 35.7 | 38.1 | 71.4 | -0.75 | 44.9 | 42.9 |
| KJ Gordon | - | 23 | 28.7 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 9.0 | 2.1 | -193 | -8.8 | -29.8 | 25.7 | 17.6 | 69.5 | -2.8 | 36.2 | 30.8 |
| Tyarah Woody | - | 21 | 22.5 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 5.8 | -185 | -9.2 | -56.9 | 33.7 | 30.8 | 62.3 | 1.4 | 44.3 | 37.5 |
| Jenna Burkett | - | 18 | 20.9 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 6.8 | 1.2 | -135 | -7.5 | -43.4 | 26.8 | 19.0 | 78.6 | 0.57 | 34.1 | 31.3 |
| Amiyah Nguyen | - | 23 | 23.6 | 3.9 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 5.9 | 2.4 | -182 | -8.3 | -46.3 | 25.9 | 15.7 | 52.4 | -4.32 | 30.9 | 28.9 |
| Maya Dickerson | - | 21 | 14.4 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 3.8 | -0.8 | -118 | -5.9 | -66.5 | 27.5 | 23.5 | 100.0 | -2.82 | 39.9 | 35.0 |
| Minyhah Easterling | - | 7 | 15.0 | 2.9 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 4.1 | -9 | -1.5 | -6.7 | 42.1 | 0.0 | 57.1 | 0.2 | 45.3 | 42.1 |
| Alyssa Parks | - | 10 | 12.9 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 4.3 | 2.3 | -30 | -3.8 | -207.5 | 16.3 | 15.4 | 87.5 | -0.63 | 26.9 | 20.9 |
| Paley Adams | - | 20 | 19.4 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 2.8 | -112 | -5.9 | -30.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 60.0 | -0.53 | 34.5 | 33.3 |
| Olivia Meisner | - | 4 | 6.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.11 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Hannah Alexander | - | 6 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | -13 | -2.2 | -57.9 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.01 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Rebecca Knight | - | 11 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | -11 | -1.2 | -71.2 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.14 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG