Manhattan Jaspers
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
57.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
37.9%
FG%
31.9%
3P%
80.0%
FT%
32.8
RPG
13.0
APG
17.5
TO
69.6
Est. poss./game
55.8
Adj PPG
57.3
Adj Opp PPG
#236
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 755 (#313) | Preseason prior 798 (returning production + recruiting): last season 938, returning -83, transfers -58, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 841 (#307) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 843 (#308) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.0 (#240) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.9 (#239) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.174 (#257) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.279 (#270) | AdjNet -7.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.282 (#266) | AdjNet -7.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.370 (#236) | AdjO 55.8 | AdjD 57.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.371 (#237) | AdjO 55.8 | AdjD 57.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.295 (#268) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.295 (#268) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 808 (#318) | RD 177 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.223 (#286) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Pace Setters | W | 67 - 42 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | UAlbany Great Danes | L | 61 - 62 |
| 2026-11-08 | vs | Bryant Bulldogs | L | 46 - 63 |
| 2026-11-12 | @ | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | L | 55 - 58 |
| 2026-11-15 | vs | Fordham Rams | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-19 | @ | Long Island University Sharks | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taylah Murtagh
|
G | 4 | 32.8 | 13.0 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8 | 8.5 | 5.2 | -1 | 4 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 50.0 | 41.7 | 100.0 | 0.11 | 69.3 | 64.7 |
Celeste Harper
|
G | 4 | 24.5 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 8.5 | 4.8 | 8 | 4 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 35.3 | 28.6 | 100.0 | -0.84 | 45.9 | 44.1 |
Amanda Baumgarte
|
F | 4 | 30.5 | 7.2 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 10.8 | 3.8 | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.2 | 20.0 | 50.0 | -0.8 | 32.4 | 31.4 |
Olivia Grgicevich Lassey
|
G | 4 | 27.8 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 6.5 | 6.2 | 10 | 4 | 2.5 | 3.7 | 38.5 | 42.9 | 83.3 | 0.49 | 48.9 | 44.2 |
Laura Ring
|
F | 4 | 20.5 | 6.5 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 7.2 | 5.8 | 3 | 4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 37.9 | 23.5 | 0 | -1.27 | 44.8 | 44.8 |
Ana Zesati
|
F | 4 | 15.2 | 5.2 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 5.2 | 3.5 | -1 | 4 | -0.2 | -0.6 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.44 | 46.1 | 42.9 |
Laia Izquierdo Altimira
|
F | 4 | 19.8 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.8 | 3.2 | -10 | 4 | -2.5 | -5.1 | 26.3 | 30.0 | 50.0 | -2.84 | 35.2 | 34.2 |
Cortney Howell
|
F | 4 | 13.5 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 12 | 4 | 3.0 | 9.1 | 36.4 | 0 | 83.3 | 2.07 | 47.7 | 36.4 |
Kennedy Brown
|
G | 4 | 7.5 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | -14 | 4 | -3.5 | -18.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 66.7 | -1.62 | 104.2 | 116.7 |
Ruzgar Christina Boyle
|
G | 3 | 8.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 13 | 3 | 4.3 | 20.2 | 28.6 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.81 | 35.7 | 35.7 |
Jaelyn Choi
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Bleu Kerr
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Nisan Sel
|
G | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.84 | 0 | 0 |
Ella Chandler
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Kristina Juric
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
227 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Taylah MurtaghCeleste HarperAmanda BaumgarteLaura RingAna Zesati
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 21-44 | 47.7 | 42 | Amanda Baumgarte 24% (10 pts) | Ana Zesati 14% (6 pts) | Amanda Baumgarte 43% (10 misses) | Ana Zesati 13% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 30-74 | 40.5 | 60 | Amanda Baumgarte 23% (14 pts) | Ana Zesati 20% (12 pts) | Amanda Baumgarte 34% (15 misses) | Olivia Grgicevich Lassey 16% (7 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 4-8 | 50.0 | 8 | Laura Ring 50% (4 pts) | Ruzgar Christina Boyle 25% (2 pts) | Celeste Harper 50% (2 misses) | Laura Ring 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Amanda Baumgarte 33% (1 misses) | Cortney Howell 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 2-7 | 28.6 | 4 | Celeste Harper 50% (2 pts) | Laura Ring 50% (2 pts) | Ana Zesati 40% (2 misses) | Cortney Howell 20% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 7-14 | 50.0 | 21 | Taylah Murtagh 29% (6 pts) | Amanda Baumgarte 14% (3 pts) | Taylah Murtagh 43% (3 misses) | Celeste Harper 14% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Celeste Harper 100% (3 misses) | - |
| Above-break 3 left | 12-27 | 44.4 | 36 | Taylah Murtagh 42% (15 pts) | Celeste Harper 25% (9 pts) | Laura Ring 27% (4 misses) | Celeste Harper 20% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 3-17 | 17.6 | 9 | Celeste Harper 33% (3 pts) | Laia Izquierdo Altimira 33% (3 pts) | Laura Ring 43% (6 misses) | Laia Izquierdo Altimira 21% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 7-30 | 23.3 | 21 | Celeste Harper 29% (6 pts) | Taylah Murtagh 29% (6 pts) | Celeste Harper 35% (8 misses) | Taylah Murtagh 26% (6 misses) |