Manchester
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 948 (#336) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 955 (#301) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.5 (#190) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.237 (#565) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.429 (#260) | NetEff -2.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.217 (#482) | AdjNet -11.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.203 (#486) | AdjNet -11.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.333 (#482) | AdjO 58.8 | AdjD 66.4 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Kalamazoo | W | 67 - 59 |
| 2024-11-10 | @ | Mount Union | L | 50 - 75 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Adrian | L | 59 - 68 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Elmhurst | L | 67 - 69 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Rose-Hulman | L | 55 - 62 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Earlham | W | 67 - 60 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Hanover | L | 57 - 62 |
| 2024-12-18 | vs | Transylvania | W | 60 - 51 |
| 2024-12-28 | @ | Mount Mary | W | 75 - 49 |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | Concordia Chicago | W | 55 - 38 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Mt. St. Joseph | L | 60 - 65 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Franklin | W | 79 - 70 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Berea | W | 86 - 77 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Anderson (IN) | L | 57 - 66 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Transylvania | L | 50 - 69 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Rose-Hulman | L | 46 - 53 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Berea | L | 55 - 85 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Bluffton | L | 56 - 65 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Mt. St. Joseph | L | 75 - 76 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Anderson (IN) | W | 91 - 86 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Hanover | L | 57 - 70 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Bluffton | L | 51 - 66 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Earlham | L | 64 - 71 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Franklin | L | 56 - 62 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abigail Rosenkrans | - | 21 | 32.6 | 16.5 | 8.8 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 15.0 | 12.6 | 36 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 40.5 | 33.3 | 72.2 | 0.35 | 47.6 | 42.4 |
| Hailee Kline | - | 21 | 29.7 | 10.6 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 10.3 | 3.9 | 49 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 26.3 | 24.6 | 82.1 | 0.3 | 43.1 | 33.4 |
| Kayla Gibbs | - | 23 | 31.4 | 9.7 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 7.1 | 22 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 36.9 | 23.3 | 80.5 | 0.38 | 46.7 | 39.3 |
| Maddison Smith | - | 24 | 18.7 | 7.3 | 5.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 6.0 | 6.2 | 12 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 46.9 | 0 | 61.8 | -0.24 | 50.9 | 46.9 |
| Kinsey Atkins | - | 24 | 31.2 | 7.2 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 8.3 | 2.6 | 14 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 29.0 | 26.6 | 85.7 | -0.61 | 41.0 | 37.5 |
| Madilyn Vanderweele | - | 1 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 14 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 42.9 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.19 | 47.0 | 42.9 |
| Hannah Holmes | - | 19 | 11.0 | 5.4 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.9 | 4.4 | 30 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 70.7 | 0.1 | 56.0 | 50.0 |
| Sam Redinger | - | 24 | 18.2 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 32 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 31.2 | 25.0 | 75.0 | 0.11 | 44.5 | 38.5 |
| Madysen Rees | - | 24 | 12.9 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 33 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 29.2 | 14.3 | 68.4 | 0.43 | 35.4 | 30.0 |
| Alicia Mcmahan | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Aaliyah Bonner | - | 20 | 11.2 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 2.5 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 32.1 | 0.0 | 45.5 | -0.64 | 35.0 | 32.1 |
| Macy Sexton | - | 8 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Gracie Lauer | - | 23 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 17 | 1.9 | 12.8 | 33.3 | 0 | 25.0 | 0.06 | 32.5 | 33.3 |
| Somariya Williams | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14 | 2.8 | 4.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.38 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG