🐻⬇️🏀

Manchester Spartans

Also known as: Manchester
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 796 (#618) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 738 (#625) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 814 (#746) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -17.1 (#343) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -16.7 (#636) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.348 (#567) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -30.4 More → 0.027 (#63) NetEff -30.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.0 More → 0.202 (#538) AdjNet -12.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.4 More → 0.191 (#542) AdjNet -12.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 83.0 More → 0.310 (#533) AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 83.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 84.7 More → 0.260 (#705) AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 84.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.153 (#711) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.165 (#707) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 106 | GP 22 More → 719 (#611) RD 106 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-10 @ Albion L 63 - 86
2025-11-14 @ Cal Lutheran L 93 - 107
2025-11-15 @ La Roche L 74 - 87
2025-11-19 vs Alma L 65 - 77
2025-11-22 vs Ohio Northern L 68 - 109
2025-11-25 vs Wheaton (IL) L 88 - 95
2025-12-03 @ Rose-Hulman L 72 - 95
2025-12-06 @ Earlham W 83 - 72
2025-12-13 vs Hanover L 83 - 95
2025-12-17 vs Transylvania W 80 - 77
2025-12-30 vs Trine L 54 - 66
2026-01-03 vs Mt. St. Joseph L 44 - 65
2026-01-07 vs Franklin L 82 - 89
2026-01-10 @ Berea L 71 - 79
2026-01-14 @ Anderson (IN) L 79 - 103
2026-01-17 @ Transylvania L 88 - 100
2026-01-21 vs Rose-Hulman L 59 - 73
2026-01-24 @ Mt. St. Joseph L 65 - 90
2026-01-28 @ Bluffton L 70 - 84
2026-01-31 vs Berea W 77 - 70
2026-02-04 vs Anderson (IN) L 75 - 87
2026-02-07 @ Hanover L 83 - 96

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ty Lynas - 21 35.5 21.9 6.0 3.0 1.4 0.1 2.7 19.4 10.3 -160 -8.0 -29.0 41.4 29.6 78.4 -0.3 50.8 46.6
Clay McCorckle - 22 37.3 15.3 3.6 3.7 0.8 0.1 1.9 13.5 8.1 -75 -6.8 -56.2 44.9 38.5 85.2 -1.4 54.6 52.9
Max Robertson - 21 30.1 11.1 3.9 1.9 0.9 0.3 1.4 10.7 6.1 -150 -7.5 -29.7 37.5 27.0 72.4 -2.3 46.9 42.9
Ladarius Wallace - 21 31.5 10.1 1.9 2.2 0.5 0.0 1.4 6.7 6.6 -144 -7.2 -27.1 51.4 48.0 71.4 -0.49 69.6 68.6
Chris Hardy - 16 17.4 5.7 3.9 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.1 3.8 5.9 -28 -2.2 -51.4 49.2 33.3 73.5 -1.39 59.9 54.1
Logan Brace - 21 24.7 4.4 5.4 1.0 1.1 0.1 0.9 3.4 7.9 -130 -6.5 -29.8 52.8 0 54.8 -0.61 54.3 52.8
Talan Boehler - 22 15.8 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.4 3.6 2.3 -51 -2.5 -21.1 40.5 40.6 60.0 1.4 58.5 58.2
Wyatt Weaver - 6 15.1 2.7 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 2.5 1.7 -34 -5.7 -41.3 46.7 0.0 66.7 -1.39 49.0 46.7
Jeremiah Cottrell - 8 5.7 2.1 2.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.8 2.4 21 3.0 55.0 50.0 0.0 100.0 1.75 55.5 50.0
Jason Kobe - 17 10.2 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.5 1.1 1.7 -12 -0.9 -11.3 68.4 0 20.0 2.62 63.7 68.4
Makhi Davis - 8 2.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.4 -1 -0.2 -8.8 55.6 25.0 50.0 0.29 60.7 61.1
Kaleb Green - 11 4.5 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.7 59 5.4 224.4 36.4 40.0 60.0 -0.22 49.2 45.5
Ethan Young - 8 1.8 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.6 -0.1 -5 -1.0 -23.0 40.0 40.0 0 -0.07 60.0 60.0
Reid Smith - 5 1.3 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 4 1.0 29.9 50.0 0 0.0 -0.34 41.0 50.0
Ethan Grimm - 6 1.4 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 5 1.0 26.6 100.0 0 0 0.41 100.0 100.0
Tyler Klopfenstein - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Gavon Taylor - 1 2.2 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5 5.0 92.3 0 0 0 0.75 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG