Manchester Spartans
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 796 (#618) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 738 (#625) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 814 (#746) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -17.1 (#343) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -16.7 (#636) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.348 (#567) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.027 (#63) | NetEff -30.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.202 (#538) | AdjNet -12.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.191 (#542) | AdjNet -12.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.310 (#533) | AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 83.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.260 (#705) | AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 84.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.153 (#711) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.165 (#707) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 719 (#611) | RD 106 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | @ | Albion | L | 63 - 86 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Cal Lutheran | L | 93 - 107 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | La Roche | L | 74 - 87 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Alma | L | 65 - 77 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Ohio Northern | L | 68 - 109 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | L | 88 - 95 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Rose-Hulman | L | 72 - 95 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Earlham | W | 83 - 72 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Hanover | L | 83 - 95 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Transylvania | W | 80 - 77 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Trine | L | 54 - 66 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Mt. St. Joseph | L | 44 - 65 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Franklin | L | 82 - 89 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Berea | L | 71 - 79 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Anderson (IN) | L | 79 - 103 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Transylvania | L | 88 - 100 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Rose-Hulman | L | 59 - 73 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Mt. St. Joseph | L | 65 - 90 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Bluffton | L | 70 - 84 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Berea | W | 77 - 70 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Anderson (IN) | L | 75 - 87 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Hanover | L | 83 - 96 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Lynas | - | 21 | 35.5 | 21.9 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 19.4 | 10.3 | -160 | -8.0 | -29.0 | 41.4 | 29.6 | 78.4 | -0.3 | 50.8 | 46.6 |
| Clay McCorckle | - | 22 | 37.3 | 15.3 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 13.5 | 8.1 | -75 | -6.8 | -56.2 | 44.9 | 38.5 | 85.2 | -1.4 | 54.6 | 52.9 |
| Max Robertson | - | 21 | 30.1 | 11.1 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 10.7 | 6.1 | -150 | -7.5 | -29.7 | 37.5 | 27.0 | 72.4 | -2.3 | 46.9 | 42.9 |
| Ladarius Wallace | - | 21 | 31.5 | 10.1 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 6.7 | 6.6 | -144 | -7.2 | -27.1 | 51.4 | 48.0 | 71.4 | -0.49 | 69.6 | 68.6 |
| Chris Hardy | - | 16 | 17.4 | 5.7 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 5.9 | -28 | -2.2 | -51.4 | 49.2 | 33.3 | 73.5 | -1.39 | 59.9 | 54.1 |
| Logan Brace | - | 21 | 24.7 | 4.4 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.4 | 7.9 | -130 | -6.5 | -29.8 | 52.8 | 0 | 54.8 | -0.61 | 54.3 | 52.8 |
| Talan Boehler | - | 22 | 15.8 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 2.3 | -51 | -2.5 | -21.1 | 40.5 | 40.6 | 60.0 | 1.4 | 58.5 | 58.2 |
| Wyatt Weaver | - | 6 | 15.1 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 1.7 | -34 | -5.7 | -41.3 | 46.7 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -1.39 | 49.0 | 46.7 |
| Jeremiah Cottrell | - | 8 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 21 | 3.0 | 55.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.75 | 55.5 | 50.0 |
| Jason Kobe | - | 17 | 10.2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.7 | -12 | -0.9 | -11.3 | 68.4 | 0 | 20.0 | 2.62 | 63.7 | 68.4 |
| Makhi Davis | - | 8 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | -1 | -0.2 | -8.8 | 55.6 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0.29 | 60.7 | 61.1 |
| Kaleb Green | - | 11 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 59 | 5.4 | 224.4 | 36.4 | 40.0 | 60.0 | -0.22 | 49.2 | 45.5 |
| Ethan Young | - | 8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | -0.1 | -5 | -1.0 | -23.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 0 | -0.07 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Reid Smith | - | 5 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 4 | 1.0 | 29.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.34 | 41.0 | 50.0 |
| Ethan Grimm | - | 6 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 1.0 | 26.6 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.41 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Tyler Klopfenstein | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Gavon Taylor | - | 1 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5 | 5.0 | 92.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.75 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG