Maine Celtics
Model Outputs
2015-2016
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1061 (#7) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1087 (#3) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.7 (#3) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.648 (#3) | - |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-12 | @ | WES | L | 103 - 105 |
| 2015-11-14 | @ | CTN | W | 106 - 99 |
| 2015-11-19 | @ | RAP | W | 109 - 104 |
| 2015-11-20 | vs | RAP | W | 112 - 93 |
| 2015-11-22 | vs | RAP | L | 87 - 96 |
| 2015-11-27 | @ | SXF | L | 77 - 97 |
| 2015-11-28 | @ | SXF | L | 96 - 111 |
| 2015-12-05 | vs | ERI | W | 111 - 92 |
| 2015-12-06 | vs | ERI | W | 110 - 97 |
| 2015-12-11 | @ | RAP | W | 96 - 95 |
| 2015-12-12 | @ | ERI | L | 102 - 103 |
| 2015-12-18 | vs | WES | L | 108 - 127 |
| 2015-12-19 | vs | WES | W | 112 - 100 |
| 2015-12-26 | @ | IWA | W | 101 - 90 |
| 2015-12-28 | @ | IWA | W | 113 - 83 |
| 2015-12-31 | vs | TEX | W | 119 - 112 |
| 2016-01-02 | vs | SCW | W | 104 - 83 |
| 2016-01-03 | vs | DEL | L | 112 - 118 |
| 2016-01-07 | @ | BAK | W | 110 - 97 |
| 2016-01-10 | vs | RNO | L | 121 - 123 |
| 2016-01-15 | vs | CTN | L | 93 - 105 |
| 2016-01-16 | vs | CTN | L | 83 - 96 |
| 2016-01-18 | @ | GRD | L | 119 - 128 |
| 2016-01-22 | vs | FWN | W | 113 - 101 |
| 2016-01-23 | vs | FWN | L | 94 - 103 |
| 2016-01-29 | @ | ERI | W | 102 - 90 |
| 2016-01-30 | @ | FWN | L | 111 - 116 |
| 2016-02-02 | @ | FWN | W | 108 - 97 |
| 2016-02-05 | @ | DEL | W | 147 - 133 |
| 2016-02-06 | vs | WES | W | 119 - 105 |
| 2016-02-17 | @ | ERI | W | 121 - 97 |
| 2016-02-19 | @ | DEL | W | 127 - 109 |
| 2016-02-20 | @ | DEL | W | 132 - 107 |
| 2016-02-22 | @ | GRD | L | 107 - 112 |
| 2016-02-25 | vs | DEL | W | 138 - 131 |
| 2016-02-27 | vs | SXF | L | 95 - 112 |
| 2016-02-28 | vs | SXF | W | 132 - 111 |
| 2016-03-03 | vs | IWA | W | 115 - 101 |
| 2016-03-05 | @ | RAP | W | 122 - 106 |
| 2016-03-06 | @ | WES | W | 126 - 88 |
| 2016-03-10 | vs | ERI | W | 111 - 95 |
| 2016-03-11 | vs | GRD | W | 132 - 107 |
| 2016-03-13 | vs | GRD | W | 129 - 123 |
| 2016-03-16 | @ | CTN | L | 123 - 130 |
| 2016-03-18 | vs | IWA | L | 106 - 123 |
| 2016-03-20 | vs | RAP | L | 110 - 114 |
| 2016-03-23 | @ | RGV | L | 111 - 137 |
| 2016-03-25 | @ | AUS | W | 120 - 113 |
| 2016-03-31 | vs | DEL | W | 127 - 124 |
| 2016-04-02 | @ | WES | W | 107 - 95 |
| 2016-04-05 | @ | CTN | L | 114 - 115 |
| 2016-04-07 | vs | CTN | L | 117 - 123 |
2016 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier | G | 14 | 0.0 | 19.4 | 6.4 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 16.4 | 16.5 | - | - | - | 39.3 | 33.8 | 77.6 | - | 50.9 | 44.8 |
| Jordan Mickey | F | 25 | 0.0 | 17.7 | 10.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 13.2 | 18.8 | - | - | - | 53.9 | 31.8 | 74.8 | - | 58.7 | 55.0 |
| Coty Clarke | F | 46 | 0.0 | 16.7 | 7.7 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 11.5 | 15.4 | - | - | - | 51.4 | 40.5 | 80.3 | - | 63.4 | 59.1 |
| Omari Johnson | F | 52 | 0.0 | 15.6 | 6.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 12.8 | 10.9 | - | - | - | 45.1 | 40.9 | 63.0 | - | 58.1 | 57.4 |
| Tim Frazier | G | 8 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 9.1 | 9.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 3.1 | 9.9 | 22.2 | - | - | - | 55.7 | 40.0 | 75.0 | - | 64.5 | 60.8 |
| James Young | G | 16 | 0.0 | 14.8 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 12.0 | 10.4 | - | - | - | 41.1 | 36.4 | 82.6 | - | 55.6 | 51.6 |
| Levi Randolph | G | 52 | 0.0 | 14.7 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 10.5 | 11.2 | - | - | - | 51.6 | 39.5 | 82.4 | - | 61.5 | 57.1 |
| Marcus Thornton | G | 14 | 0.0 | 13.9 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 10.7 | 7.1 | - | - | - | 46.7 | 37.3 | 72.2 | - | 58.5 | 56.0 |
| RJ Hunter | G | 8 | 0.0 | 13.8 | 4.1 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 12.9 | 7.9 | - | - | - | 35.9 | 29.6 | 74.1 | - | 47.9 | 43.7 |
| Malcolm Miller | G | 47 | 0.0 | 12.4 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 8.5 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 49.6 | 39.8 | 79.4 | - | 63.9 | 60.2 |
| Corey Walden | G | 43 | 0.0 | 12.1 | 3.1 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 7.8 | 10.3 | - | - | - | 51.2 | 36.9 | 83.6 | - | 64.4 | 57.9 |
| Ladarius White | - | 1 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Davion Berry | G | 31 | 0.0 | 7.7 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 6.2 | 5.3 | - | - | - | 42.2 | 38.8 | 78.0 | - | 54.8 | 50.3 |
| Andre Stringer | G | 46 | 0.0 | 7.3 | 2.2 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 6.9 | 5.6 | - | - | - | 36.7 | 33.5 | 78.2 | - | 49.0 | 45.9 |
| Coron Williams | - | 41 | 0.0 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 3.8 | - | - | - | 51.0 | 48.6 | 91.7 | - | 72.0 | 69.6 |
| Ralph Sampson III | C | 31 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 4.9 | - | - | - | 53.5 | 40.0 | 60.0 | - | 55.9 | 54.5 |
| Asauhn Dixon-Tatum | - | 16 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 3.3 | 3.9 | - | - | - | 34.0 | 0 | 68.8 | - | 39.1 | 34.0 |
| Kevin Young | - | 14 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 36.8 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 41.6 | 36.8 |
| Melvin Johnson III | - | 1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 12.9 | 0.0 |
| Jordan Usher | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | -0.4 | - | - | - | 11.1 | 20.0 | 100.0 | - | 21.2 | 16.7 |
| Ella Ellis | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 34.7 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG