Macalester
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 856 (#452) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 830 (#432) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.0 (#176) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.173 (#598) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.342 (#288) | NetEff -4.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.345 (#436) | AdjNet -5.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.341 (#434) | AdjNet -5.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.416 (#428) | AdjO 58.2 | AdjD 62.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Webster | L | 71 - 84 |
| 2024-11-10 | vs | Sewanee | W | 76 - 59 |
| 2024-11-12 | vs | Martin Luther | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Wis.-Superior | W | 64 - 62 |
| 2024-11-19 | @ | Buena Vista | W | 73 - 58 |
| 2024-11-22 | vs | North Central (MN) | W | 43 - 38 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Colorado Col. | L | 57 - 62 |
| 2024-11-25 | @ | St. Thomas (MN) | L | 43 - 84 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Hamline | L | 46 - 61 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Augsburg | W | 59 - 56 |
| 2024-12-11 | vs | Carleton | W | 67 - 53 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | St. Scholastica | L | 50 - 51 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Gustavus Adolphus | L | 34 - 56 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Bethel (MN) | L | 53 - 70 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | St. Catherine | W | 66 - 52 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Saint Mary's (MN) | L | 54 - 67 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Concordia-M'head | L | 59 - 64 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Augsburg | W | 69 - 54 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Gustavus Adolphus | L | 45 - 65 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | St. Scholastica | L | 55 - 76 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | St. Catherine | W | 64 - 57 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Hamline | L | 44 - 63 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Saint Benedict | L | 58 - 69 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | St. Olaf | W | 78 - 57 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Concordia-M'head | W | 61 - 49 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Saint Mary's (MN) | L | 58 - 67 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Starks | - | 26 | 33.7 | 18.7 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 16.0 | 10.7 | -18 | -0.7 | -0.7 | 43.5 | 30.8 | 82.0 | -0.2 | 51.6 | 45.9 |
| Katherine Norquist | - | 26 | 29.7 | 11.3 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 11.0 | 10.9 | 13 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 40.4 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 0.18 | 44.3 | 40.4 |
| Mary Daley | - | 26 | 33.0 | 7.9 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 3.7 | 6.0 | 8.1 | 16 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 47.1 | 32.3 | 67.1 | -0.21 | 54.8 | 50.3 |
| Sydnee Smith | - | 25 | 25.7 | 7.6 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 9.4 | 3.3 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 31.6 | 20.0 | 61.9 | 0.04 | 37.4 | 34.8 |
| Kendall Bernbaum | - | 26 | 9.4 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 66 | 2.3 | 6.5 | 35.0 | 36.9 | 66.7 | 0.19 | 50.4 | 50.0 |
| Nicole Norton | - | 25 | 20.2 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 4.1 | 14 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 46.2 | 30.8 | 75.0 | -0.52 | 53.5 | 49.2 |
| Samantha Smith | - | 26 | 15.8 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.8 | -0.3 | 215 | 5.1 | 8.7 | 21.0 | 17.9 | 42.9 | 1.11 | 27.6 | 27.0 |
| Jessica Sabbagh | - | 26 | 9.8 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.1 | -0.1 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 25.9 | 23.2 | 50.0 | 0.13 | 34.4 | 34.0 |
| Ellie Corbett | - | 23 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | -14 | -0.8 | -2.5 | 28.0 | 50.0 | 66.7 | -0.47 | 39.6 | 30.0 |
| Camille Samuel | - | 25 | 8.4 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | -7 | -0.3 | -1.1 | 14.6 | 9.1 | 75.0 | -0.1 | 23.8 | 15.9 |
| Brooke Boroughs | - | 26 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 53 | 2.0 | 10.4 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.01 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Gillian Krebs | - | 25 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Emma Karlin | - | 25 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | -40 | -2.7 | -10.5 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.46 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Acacia Edmond | - | 20 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.21 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Adi Megiddo | - | 18 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Cady Davis | - | 18 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -28 | -5.6 | -6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.62 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG