Macalester Scots
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 873 (#277) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 854 (#296) | HCA +62 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 932 (#285) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.4 (#161) | HCA +1.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.5 (#157) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.246 (#279) | - |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.376 (#273) | AdjO 81.9 | AdjD 82.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.404 (#263) | AdjO 81.9 | AdjD 82.8 |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 853 (#288) | RD 202 | GP 2 |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs | Wartburg | L | 82 - 98 |
| 2026-11-09 | @ | Wis.-Eau Claire | W | 90 - 83 |
| 2026-11-11 | @ | St. Thomas (MN) | L | 82 - 119 |
2026-2027 Roster
No roster data available for this season.