Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1033 (#170) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1056 (#172) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.2 (#319) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.332 (#575) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.357 (#365) | NetEff -4.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.069 (#675) | AdjNet -22.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.063 (#677) | AdjNet -23.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.180 (#671) | AdjO 62.8 | AdjD 79.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-07 | @ | Mississippi Val. | L | 49 - 66 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Nicholls | L | 44 - 93 |
| 2024-11-12 | @ | Belhaven | L | 65 - 87 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Westfield St. | L | 70 - 83 |
| 2024-11-17 | @ | Elmira | L | 54 - 64 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Pensacola Christian | W | 68 - 58 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Lyon | L | 50 - 62 |
| 2024-12-05 | @ | Westminster (MO) | W | 62 - 47 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Webster | L | 66 - 79 |
| 2024-12-12 | @ | Huntingdon | L | 55 - 83 |
| 2024-12-15 | vs | Millsaps | W | 62 - 60 |
| 2024-12-17 | vs | Southeastern Bapt. | W | 98 - 56 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Lyon | L | 67 - 69 |
| 2025-01-09 | vs | Principia | W | 66 - 56 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Fontbonne | W | 87 - 82 |
| 2025-01-16 | vs | Blackburn | W | 64 - 62 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Eureka | W | 75 - 67 |
| 2025-01-23 | @ | Greenville | L | 95 - 101 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Spalding | L | 37 - 48 |
| 2025-01-30 | vs | Westminster (MO) | W | 66 - 65 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Webster | W | 59 - 58 |
| 2025-02-06 | @ | Fontbonne | L | 77 - 82 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Principia | W | 73 - 72 |
| 2025-02-13 | @ | Blackburn | W | 60 - 47 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Eureka | L | 78 - 82 |
| 2025-02-20 | vs | Greenville | L | 102 - 127 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Spalding | L | 47 - 57 |
| 2025-02-26 | @ | Eureka | L | 59 - 76 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Rogers Jr. | - | 1 | 33.0 | 27.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 96 | 10.7 | 17.1 | 53.3 | 85.7 | 100.0 | 1.15 | 78.5 | 73.3 |
| Lid Moreland | - | 1 | 15.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 34 | 3.1 | 43.1 | 85.7 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.2 | 88.8 | 85.7 |
| Dariun Doss | - | 27 | 25.4 | 10.0 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 7.5 | 8.9 | -105 | -8.1 | -24.8 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 72.2 | 0.1 | 53.2 | 46.0 |
| Eric Bass Jr. | - | 24 | 19.1 | 8.7 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 5.2 | 5.7 | -22 | -3.7 | -25.0 | 56.0 | 38.5 | 70.3 | -0.23 | 63.3 | 58.0 |
| James Dukes | - | 27 | 18.9 | 8.6 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 7.6 | 7.7 | 2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 47.8 | 0.0 | 57.4 | 0.23 | 49.8 | 47.8 |
| Chris Evans | - | 27 | 23.3 | 8.2 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.9 | 2.4 | -121 | -11.0 | -40.4 | 31.8 | 31.3 | 66.7 | -0.04 | 43.6 | 41.6 |
| Xavier Lewis | - | 1 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | -23 | -1.5 | -53.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.35 | 50.9 | 50.0 |
| Jackson Reid | - | 27 | 25.9 | 6.9 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 7.6 | 3.0 | -59 | -3.9 | -15.7 | 32.4 | 24.3 | 78.9 | 0.13 | 42.4 | 38.5 |
| Trent Walker | - | 27 | 20.7 | 6.3 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 5.6 | 5.8 | -8 | -1.0 | -2.6 | 44.1 | 20.6 | 59.5 | 0.02 | 50.2 | 48.4 |
| Angel Price-Espada | - | 1 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 99 | 16.5 | 111.5 | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.04 | 36.3 | 33.3 |
| Isaiah Ball | - | 27 | 14.0 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.7 | 2.7 | -64 | -6.4 | -22.6 | 39.7 | 18.8 | 54.5 | 0.12 | 42.4 | 40.9 |
| Cam Smith | - | 27 | 19.9 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 3.8 | 5.3 | -82 | -6.8 | -27.4 | 43.7 | 18.2 | 47.2 | -0.26 | 45.9 | 44.7 |
| Tyson Smithey | - | 27 | 12.7 | 3.9 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 3.9 | -52 | -7.4 | -34.5 | 44.7 | 21.7 | 50.0 | -0.12 | 47.8 | 47.1 |
| Josh Dukes | - | 24 | 11.8 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 2.5 | -14 | -1.6 | -5.6 | 43.7 | 12.5 | 59.1 | 0.14 | 47.1 | 44.4 |
| Ridge Harrison | - | 21 | 6.2 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 42.5 | 33.3 | 75.0 | - | 53.0 | 48.8 |
| Timmy Jacobus | - | 1 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 45 | 5.0 | 10.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.84 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Pacey Matthews | - | 14 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 40.0 | - | 34.7 | 33.3 |
| Mason Godsey | - | 27 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 9 | 9.0 | 122.7 | 27.3 | 0.0 | 88.9 | -1.02 | 46.8 | 27.3 |
| A.Z. Allah | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.28 | 0 | 0 |
| Darian Barksdale | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Forest | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -27 | -3.9 | -30.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.23 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Johnson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 99 | 8.2 | 23.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Omarion Miller | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 10 | 2.0 | 22.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.33 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jason James | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 18 | 1.5 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.56 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kaiden James | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.58 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Lanoue | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -11 | -2.2 | -10.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kobe Parker | - | 1 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | -9 | -1.1 | -15.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ayato Tokunaga | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6 | 3.0 | 84.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.09 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Bass, Jr. | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -22 | -3.7 | -25.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.23 | 0 | 0 |
| Adin Johnson | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 216 | 7.4 | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.44 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG