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MSU Moorhead

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: MSU Moorhead
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 973 (#261) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 988 (#200) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +15.4 (#30) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.653 (#252) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.3 More → 0.752 (#96) NetEff +10.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +21.0 More → 0.918 (#109) AdjNet +21.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +21.2 More → 0.922 (#106) AdjNet +21.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 86.1 | AdjD 70.4 More → 0.807 (#115) AdjO 86.1 | AdjD 70.4

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Henderson St. W 71 - 66
2024-11-10 @ Ark.-Monticello W 58 - 42
2024-11-15 @ Black Hills St. W 69 - 57
2024-11-16 vs South Dakota Mines W 67 - 61
2024-11-22 vs Northern Mich. W 82 - 71
2024-11-23 vs Michigan Tech L 70 - 74
2024-12-05 vs Northern St. W 80 - 50
2024-12-07 @ Mary W 74 - 58
2024-12-13 @ St. Cloud St. W 75 - 73
2024-12-14 @ Bemidji St. W 81 - 74
2024-12-20 vs Minot St. L 52 - 76
2024-12-21 vs Minn.-Crookston W 90 - 64
2025-01-03 vs Concordia-St. Paul L 87 - 93
2025-01-04 vs Minn. Duluth L 56 - 71
2025-01-10 @ Southwest Minn. St. L 53 - 59
2025-01-11 @ Sioux Falls L 76 - 81
2025-01-17 @ Minnesota St. L 88 - 90
2025-01-18 @ Winona St. W 92 - 80
2025-01-24 vs Augustana (SD) W 89 - 80
2025-01-25 vs Wayne St. (NE) L 68 - 73
2025-01-30 @ Northern St. W 77 - 62
2025-02-01 vs St. Cloud St. W 104 - 98
2025-02-05 @ Minot St. W 85 - 73
2025-02-08 vs Mary W 76 - 58
2025-02-14 @ Minn. Duluth W 68 - 67
2025-02-15 @ Concordia-St. Paul W 92 - 85
2025-02-21 vs Winona St. W 71 - 57
2025-02-22 vs Minnesota St. W 81 - 55
2025-03-02 vs Augustana (SD) W 85 - 51
2025-03-03 vs Winona St. W 63 - 47
2025-03-04 vs Minot St. W 78 - 66
2025-03-15 vs Fort Hays St. W 69 - 62
2025-03-16 vs Winona St. W 70 - 59
2025-03-18 @ Washburn L 65 - 93

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Logan Kinsey - 34 32.2 14.6 5.3 1.4 0.9 0.2 1.6 11.4 9.4 -64 -1.9 -3.0 48.8 37.7 70.6 2.44 57.2 54.4
Carson Johnson - 33 24.5 13.8 2.1 2.1 0.8 0.0 1.7 10.8 6.2 -77 -3.3 -5.0 43.7 41.8 84.4 0.88 57.3 52.7
Jacob Jennissen - 34 29.4 11.9 8.3 0.7 0.4 1.0 1.2 7.1 14.0 -44 -1.4 -2.1 63.3 37.5 70.7 1.35 67.7 64.6
Jacob Beeninga - 22 23.2 11.8 2.6 2.4 0.7 0.0 1.1 9.2 7.2 -10 -0.6 -0.9 40.4 31.5 89.3 1.02 54.9 47.3
Shaun Wysocki - 34 25.8 7.6 3.9 1.1 0.6 0.8 0.9 5.5 7.7 -82 -3.2 -5.7 50.8 28.6 66.7 -1.19 57.7 54.0
Sam Hastreiter - 34 26.6 7.2 4.1 1.0 0.5 0.2 1.2 5.5 6.3 -62 -1.9 -3.3 42.2 42.2 82.0 0.41 58.6 54.5
JaMir Price - 19 16.5 6.6 2.4 2.0 0.2 0.0 1.1 5.3 4.8 5 0.4 0.8 46.0 30.4 74.3 0.25 54.2 49.5
Eddie Beeninga - 34 13.4 2.9 1.4 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.7 2.4 2.9 -84 -3.0 -14.2 31.3 37.7 78.1 0.14 50.0 43.4
Levi Birkholz - 34 6.4 1.9 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.4 1.6 -34 -1.5 -38.9 41.7 41.2 65.4 -0.28 53.8 49.0
Adam Jenkins - 34 6.4 1.9 2.2 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.4 3.1 -14 -0.6 -12.8 51.0 0 60.0 -0.11 54.2 51.0
Will Kinsey - 28 6.9 1.8 1.3 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.1 10 0.7 2.7 53.3 45.5 61.9 0.88 63.7 61.7
Tysen Gerads - 34 3.1 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 -23 -1.4 -40.9 60.0 0.0 70.0 -0.51 62.9 60.0
Jayden Doyle - 34 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 -1 -0.2 -5.3 14.3 0.0 50.0 -0.96 19.0 14.3
Corleone Dandridge - 26 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Brody Wishart - 25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG