🐻⬇️🏀

MSU Denver

Also known as: MSU Denver
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 914 (#308) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 952 (#224) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -0.3 (#211) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.226 (#477) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -10.2 More → 0.214 (#299) NetEff -10.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.9 More → 0.447 (#427) AdjNet -1.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.2 More → 0.463 (#424) AdjNet -1.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 66.1 More → 0.489 (#421) AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 66.1

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Angelo St. L 41 - 59
2024-11-10 vs Texas Woman's L 51 - 61
2024-11-15 @ Neb.-Kearney L 66 - 74
2024-11-16 @ Fort Hays St. L 52 - 75
2024-11-29 @ Seattle Pacific W 57 - 56
2024-11-30 @ Saint Martin's L 53 - 68
2024-12-05 @ Fort Lewis L 66 - 74
2024-12-07 @ Adams St. W 70 - 64
2024-12-12 vs Western Colo. L 70 - 78
2024-12-14 vs Westminster (UT) L 51 - 54
2024-12-20 vs Northwest Nazarene L 72 - 78
2024-12-21 vs Seattle Pacific L 74 - 92
2025-01-09 @ South Dakota Mines W 82 - 77
2025-01-11 @ Black Hills St. L 49 - 63
2025-01-16 vs Colo. Christian W 68 - 66
2025-01-18 vs UCCS W 69 - 68
2025-01-21 vs Regis (CO) W 74 - 68
2025-01-23 @ Colo. Sch. of Mines L 63 - 71
2025-01-30 vs N.M. Highlands L 62 - 75
2025-02-01 vs Fort Lewis L 63 - 77
2025-02-06 @ Colorado Mesa L 44 - 72
2025-02-08 @ Western Colo. L 49 - 74
2025-02-13 vs Chadron St. L 55 - 60
2025-02-15 vs South Dakota Mines L 45 - 54
2025-02-18 vs Colo. Sch. of Mines L 53 - 70
2025-02-22 @ Regis (CO) L 79 - 84
2025-02-27 @ CSU Pueblo L 49 - 72
2025-03-01 @ Colo. Christian L 53 - 66

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lolo Weatherspoon - 1 31.0 22.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 15.0 16.0 -66 -2.2 -2.6 60.0 40.0 50.0 0.2 65.6 66.7
Layne Kearns - 1 27.0 13.0 5.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 11.0 -129 -3.0 -3.2 45.5 40.0 100.0 -0.28 56.8 54.5
Mikylah Espinosa - 23 26.3 12.1 3.9 2.1 3.2 0.1 3.1 11.3 6.9 -32 -1.1 -1.2 38.3 20.8 87.5 0.85 48.1 42.5
Grace Turley - 1 25.0 11.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 8.0 -182 -4.2 -6.3 60.0 66.7 75.0 -1.29 81.4 80.0
Madison Rubino - 1 15.0 11.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 7.0 -35 -1.0 -1.4 100.0 100.0 33.3 -0.09 82.8 112.5
Schuyler Berry - 1 20.0 11.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 13.0 -58 -3.2 -4.2 57.1 0 75.0 0.09 62.8 57.1
Nevaeh Millard - 28 27.3 9.9 2.9 1.5 1.4 0.0 2.6 9.2 3.9 -45 -1.2 -1.4 38.6 26.4 61.4 0.31 46.7 43.2
Hunter Beirne - 1 31.0 8.0 4.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 6.0 -128 -4.1 -3.8 25.0 0.0 100.0 -0.35 31.1 25.0
Haylie-Anne Ohta - 1 9.0 8.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 100.0 - 138.9 150.0
Brianna Sealy - 28 22.3 7.0 4.4 0.9 0.6 0.5 1.7 5.8 5.9 -39 -1.0 -1.4 46.9 33.3 55.7 -0.04 50.1 47.2
Ashlyn Yow - 27 29.1 6.8 2.1 2.1 0.9 0.1 2.0 6.7 3.2 -26 -1.0 -0.9 34.8 30.0 76.9 -0.79 46.2 42.3
Brooklynn Jones - 28 17.8 6.1 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 6.1 2.2 -71 -1.8 -3.2 35.9 31.9 55.6 0.45 49.1 48.8
Mariana Silva Pereira - 21 30.3 5.1 3.0 2.6 1.2 0.3 1.9 4.9 5.5 10 0.4 0.4 35.3 18.8 71.4 0.05 44.8 38.2
Laci Roffle - 28 8.0 4.8 2.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.9 4.1 2.9 28 0.8 2.0 32.2 32.4 80.3 0.08 47.6 37.4
Jackie Pippett - 28 18.0 4.6 4.2 1.0 1.4 0.5 1.9 4.2 5.6 -19 -0.7 -1.2 40.7 16.7 78.9 -0.27 47.9 41.9
Emilia Bishop - 1 10.0 4.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 -37 -1.2 -3.2 66.7 0 0 -0.0 66.7 66.7
Stella Rollo - 28 13.0 3.2 2.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.2 3.3 2.5 -26 -1.0 -2.1 43.5 0.0 56.2 -0.2 44.9 43.5
Amanda Byrnes - 28 9.4 2.8 2.9 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.9 3.1 2.8 5 0.2 0.4 36.0 20.0 65.2 0.9 40.6 36.6
Madison Johnson - 16 2.8 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.6 2 0.3 0.1 25.0 16.7 0 0.45 29.2 29.2
Corin Camara - 26 1.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 -13 -2.2 -6.8 12.5 12.5 0 -0.19 18.8 18.8
Shayne Young - 26 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 -43 -2.5 -11.2 20.0 0.0 0 -0.45 20.0 20.0
Lex Trujillo - 24 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -52 -5.2 -16.7 0 0 0 -0.28 0 0
Grace Leasure - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -75 -1.8 -2.8 0 0 0 0.37 0 0
Phoenix Sharp - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Grace Mertes - 1 12.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1.0 -94 -2.4 -6.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.6 0.0 0.0
Peyton Bergevin - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3 -0.2 -1.6 0 0 0 0.15 0 0
Julia Lavigne - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -31 -1.1 -4.5 0 0 0 -0.66 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG