MSU Denver
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 914 (#308) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 952 (#224) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.3 (#211) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.226 (#477) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.214 (#299) | NetEff -10.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.447 (#427) | AdjNet -1.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.463 (#424) | AdjNet -1.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.489 (#421) | AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 66.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lolo Weatherspoon | - | 1 | 31.0 | 22.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 16.0 | -66 | -2.2 | -2.6 | 60.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0.2 | 65.6 | 66.7 |
| Layne Kearns | - | 1 | 27.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | -129 | -3.0 | -3.2 | 45.5 | 40.0 | 100.0 | -0.28 | 56.8 | 54.5 |
| Mikylah Espinosa | - | 23 | 26.3 | 12.1 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 11.3 | 6.9 | -32 | -1.1 | -1.2 | 38.3 | 20.8 | 87.5 | 0.85 | 48.1 | 42.5 |
| Grace Turley | - | 1 | 25.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | -182 | -4.2 | -6.3 | 60.0 | 66.7 | 75.0 | -1.29 | 81.4 | 80.0 |
| Madison Rubino | - | 1 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | -35 | -1.0 | -1.4 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 33.3 | -0.09 | 82.8 | 112.5 |
| Schuyler Berry | - | 1 | 20.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | -58 | -3.2 | -4.2 | 57.1 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.09 | 62.8 | 57.1 |
| Nevaeh Millard | - | 28 | 27.3 | 9.9 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 9.2 | 3.9 | -45 | -1.2 | -1.4 | 38.6 | 26.4 | 61.4 | 0.31 | 46.7 | 43.2 |
| Hunter Beirne | - | 1 | 31.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | -128 | -4.1 | -3.8 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.35 | 31.1 | 25.0 |
| Haylie-Anne Ohta | - | 1 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 138.9 | 150.0 |
| Brianna Sealy | - | 28 | 22.3 | 7.0 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 5.8 | 5.9 | -39 | -1.0 | -1.4 | 46.9 | 33.3 | 55.7 | -0.04 | 50.1 | 47.2 |
| Ashlyn Yow | - | 27 | 29.1 | 6.8 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 6.7 | 3.2 | -26 | -1.0 | -0.9 | 34.8 | 30.0 | 76.9 | -0.79 | 46.2 | 42.3 |
| Brooklynn Jones | - | 28 | 17.8 | 6.1 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 6.1 | 2.2 | -71 | -1.8 | -3.2 | 35.9 | 31.9 | 55.6 | 0.45 | 49.1 | 48.8 |
| Mariana Silva Pereira | - | 21 | 30.3 | 5.1 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 4.9 | 5.5 | 10 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 35.3 | 18.8 | 71.4 | 0.05 | 44.8 | 38.2 |
| Laci Roffle | - | 28 | 8.0 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 4.1 | 2.9 | 28 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 32.2 | 32.4 | 80.3 | 0.08 | 47.6 | 37.4 |
| Jackie Pippett | - | 28 | 18.0 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 4.2 | 5.6 | -19 | -0.7 | -1.2 | 40.7 | 16.7 | 78.9 | -0.27 | 47.9 | 41.9 |
| Emilia Bishop | - | 1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -37 | -1.2 | -3.2 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Stella Rollo | - | 28 | 13.0 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.3 | 2.5 | -26 | -1.0 | -2.1 | 43.5 | 0.0 | 56.2 | -0.2 | 44.9 | 43.5 |
| Amanda Byrnes | - | 28 | 9.4 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 36.0 | 20.0 | 65.2 | 0.9 | 40.6 | 36.6 |
| Madison Johnson | - | 16 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 25.0 | 16.7 | 0 | 0.45 | 29.2 | 29.2 |
| Corin Camara | - | 26 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | -13 | -2.2 | -6.8 | 12.5 | 12.5 | 0 | -0.19 | 18.8 | 18.8 |
| Shayne Young | - | 26 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | -43 | -2.5 | -11.2 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.45 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Lex Trujillo | - | 24 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -52 | -5.2 | -16.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.28 | 0 | 0 |
| Grace Leasure | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -75 | -1.8 | -2.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.37 | 0 | 0 |
| Phoenix Sharp | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Grace Mertes | - | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -94 | -2.4 | -6.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Peyton Bergevin | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -0.2 | -1.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 |
| Julia Lavigne | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -31 | -1.1 | -4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.66 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG