MSU Denver
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 945 (#325) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 981 (#207) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.4 (#93) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.619 (#273) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.716 (#110) | NetEff +8.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.788 (#243) | AdjNet +11.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.795 (#240) | AdjNet +11.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.691 (#240) | AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 72.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Thomas | - | 1 | 31.0 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 18.0 | -98 | -3.8 | -13.5 | 55.6 | 0 | 40.0 | 0.15 | 54.5 | 55.6 |
| Darrius Miles | - | 1 | 33.0 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | -101 | -3.6 | -17.0 | 63.6 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.22 | 77.3 | 77.3 |
| Brayden Carter | - | 27 | 28.3 | 14.6 | 8.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 8.5 | 14.5 | -12 | -0.5 | -1.4 | 63.9 | 33.3 | 71.2 | 0.39 | 67.7 | 64.1 |
| Caleb McGill | - | 27 | 27.3 | 14.3 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 9.7 | 13.6 | -14 | -0.6 | -1.6 | 55.9 | 46.3 | 77.5 | 0.17 | 65.8 | 63.1 |
| Chase Thompson | - | 1 | 23.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | -9 | -0.4 | -3.8 | 45.5 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.12 | 54.5 | 54.5 |
| Logan Threatt | - | 27 | 27.3 | 10.5 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 8.2 | 7.1 | -42 | -1.3 | -5.1 | 46.8 | 40.3 | 77.6 | 0.53 | 57.4 | 53.8 |
| Zy Wright | - | 1 | 33.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 18 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.02 | 37.5 | 33.3 |
| Quave Propst-Allison | - | 25 | 25.4 | 9.5 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 7.3 | 7.1 | -11 | -0.3 | -1.7 | 45.6 | 39.3 | 85.7 | -0.73 | 57.6 | 52.2 |
| Jamil Safieddine | - | 23 | 19.9 | 8.2 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 6.4 | 5.4 | -29 | -2.9 | -20.6 | 40.5 | 38.4 | 83.7 | 0.04 | 55.7 | 50.0 |
| Sufyan Elkannan | - | 27 | 17.6 | 7.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.6 | 2.9 | -77 | -4.5 | -19.3 | 37.4 | 37.6 | 86.2 | 0.21 | 52.9 | 49.7 |
| Clayton Moore | - | 1 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -73 | -3.2 | -35.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 0.01 | 48.4 | 50.0 |
| Allen Taylor | - | 1 | 33.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 18.2 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 0.17 | 22.7 | 18.2 |
| RJ Ogom | - | 1 | 33.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 18.2 | 0.0 | 40.0 | - | 22.7 | 18.2 |
| Trey Ballard | - | 1 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | -42 | -2.5 | -22.4 | 27.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.13 | 27.3 | 27.3 |
| John Jenkins | - | 1 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | -33 | -1.3 | -5.8 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.04 | 77.3 | 66.7 |
| Julio Phipps | - | 1 | 21.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 44 | 2.4 | 15.5 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.31 | 67.6 | 75.0 |
| KJ Garrett | - | 23 | 19.6 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 3.8 | 5.7 | -47 | -2.8 | -10.9 | 44.8 | 19.0 | 58.9 | 0.11 | 52.5 | 47.1 |
| Tre'Vion Crawford | - | 1 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 13 | 1.6 | 14.1 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.25 | 125.0 | 125.0 |
| Ryan Maslow | - | 27 | 22.1 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 5.9 | 44 | 1.8 | 5.8 | 44.9 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 0.52 | 59.0 | 57.1 |
| River Johnston | - | 1 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Dalton Peterson | - | 1 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 5 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.43 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Caden Holmes | - | 26 | 11.3 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 88 | 3.5 | 59.9 | 29.9 | 20.4 | 57.1 | -0.03 | 38.5 | 37.3 |
| Blake Hadley | - | 22 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 64.7 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 62.8 | 64.7 |
| Jackson McAdams | - | 25 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | -22 | -3.1 | -22.2 | 55.6 | 40.0 | 0 | -0.23 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Landon Braun | - | 23 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 24 | 4.0 | 528.4 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | -1.53 | 86.8 | 125.0 |
| Amare Bethel | - | 19 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 41.0 | 50.0 |
| Quinten Rock | - | 11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Barker | - | 14 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylen Davis | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -127 | -5.3 | -14.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.29 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jasiya DeDllos | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25 | 4.2 | 372.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.38 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG