MSU Denver
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 945 (#325) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 981 (#207) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.4 (#93) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.619 (#273) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.716 (#110) | NetEff +8.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.788 (#243) | AdjNet +11.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.795 (#240) | AdjNet +11.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.691 (#240) | AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 72.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Carter | - | 28 | 28.5 | 14.5 | 8.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 8.5 | 14.6 | - | - | - | - | 63.3 | 33.3 | 71.9 | - | 67.4 | 63.5 |
| Caleb McGill | - | 29 | 27.6 | 14.4 | 7.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 9.8 | 13.7 | - | - | - | - | 56.1 | 45.5 | 77.6 | - | 65.8 | 63.2 |
| Logan Threatt | - | 29 | 27.2 | 10.4 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 8.1 | 7.3 | - | - | - | - | 47.0 | 40.5 | 76.7 | - | 57.5 | 54.2 |
| Quave Propst-Allison | - | 25 | 25.4 | 9.5 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 7.3 | 7.1 | - | - | - | - | 45.6 | 39.3 | 85.7 | - | 57.6 | 52.2 |
| Jamil Safieddine | - | 24 | 20.2 | 8.2 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 6.5 | 5.4 | - | - | - | - | 40.1 | 35.9 | 84.3 | - | 54.9 | 49.0 |
| Sufyan Elkannan | - | 28 | 17.9 | 7.9 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.8 | 3.1 | - | - | - | - | 38.2 | 38.9 | 86.2 | - | 54.0 | 51.0 |
| KJ Garrett | - | 24 | 19.9 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 5.6 | - | - | - | - | 42.9 | 17.4 | 58.9 | - | 50.8 | 45.1 |
| Ryan Maslow | - | 28 | 22.0 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 5.8 | - | - | - | - | 44.7 | 32.4 | 75.0 | - | 58.2 | 56.3 |
| Caden Holmes | - | 28 | 11.5 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1.9 | - | - | - | - | 32.0 | 20.4 | 57.1 | - | 40.3 | 39.3 |
| Blake Hadley | - | 22 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 64.7 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 62.8 | 64.7 |
| Jackson McAdams | - | 26 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 55.6 | 40.0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Landon Braun | - | 24 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | - | 86.8 | 125.0 |
| Amare Bethel | - | 19 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 41.0 | 50.0 |
| Jacob Barker | - | 14 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Quinten Rock | - | 11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG