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MSU Denver

Also known as: MSU Denver
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 945 (#325) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 981 (#207) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +9.4 (#93) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.619 (#273) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +8.4 More → 0.716 (#110) NetEff +8.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.4 More → 0.788 (#243) AdjNet +11.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.6 More → 0.795 (#240) AdjNet +11.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 72.3 More → 0.691 (#240) AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 72.3

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-09 @ Sul Ross St. W 89 - 61
2024-11-10 @ UT Tyler W 62 - 59
2024-11-14 vs Tex. A&M-Kingsville W 88 - 77
2024-11-20 @ Eastern N.M. L 84 - 93
2024-11-29 vs Saint Martin's W 76 - 56
2024-11-30 vs Northern N.M. W 85 - 60
2024-12-05 @ Fort Lewis W 65 - 48
2024-12-07 @ Adams St. W 90 - 79
2024-12-12 vs Western Colo. W 81 - 64
2024-12-14 vs Westminster (UT) W 78 - 61
2024-12-20 @ Fort Hays St. L 50 - 66
2024-12-22 @ Neb.-Kearney W 85 - 72
2025-01-09 @ South Dakota Mines W 95 - 74
2025-01-11 @ Black Hills St. W 84 - 77
2025-01-16 vs Colo. Christian W 87 - 66
2025-01-18 vs UCCS W 88 - 81
2025-01-21 vs Regis (CO) L 76 - 78
2025-01-23 @ Colo. Sch. of Mines L 66 - 70
2025-01-30 vs N.M. Highlands W 79 - 68
2025-02-01 vs Fort Lewis L 74 - 81
2025-02-06 @ Colorado Mesa L 85 - 89
2025-02-08 @ Western Colo. W 79 - 61
2025-02-13 vs Chadron St. W 73 - 71
2025-02-15 vs South Dakota Mines W 72 - 68
2025-02-18 vs Colo. Sch. of Mines L 61 - 66
2025-02-22 @ Regis (CO) W 78 - 69
2025-02-27 @ CSU Pueblo L 74 - 77
2025-03-01 @ Colo. Christian L 49 - 61
2025-03-04 vs Black Hills St. L 69 - 79

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jalen Thomas - 1 31.0 22.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 18.0 18.0 -98 -3.8 -13.5 55.6 0 40.0 0.15 54.5 55.6
Darrius Miles - 1 33.0 17.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 9.0 -101 -3.6 -17.0 63.6 100.0 0 -0.22 77.3 77.3
Brayden Carter - 27 28.3 14.6 8.2 0.9 0.5 0.3 1.5 8.5 14.5 -12 -0.5 -1.4 63.9 33.3 71.2 0.39 67.7 64.1
Caleb McGill - 27 27.3 14.3 7.4 1.6 0.8 1.0 1.7 9.7 13.6 -14 -0.6 -1.6 55.9 46.3 77.5 0.17 65.8 63.1
Chase Thompson - 1 23.0 12.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 6.0 -9 -0.4 -3.8 45.5 33.3 0 0.12 54.5 54.5
Logan Threatt - 27 27.3 10.5 3.4 2.0 0.6 0.1 1.4 8.2 7.1 -42 -1.3 -5.1 46.8 40.3 77.6 0.53 57.4 53.8
Zy Wright - 1 33.0 10.0 11.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 11.0 18 0.7 2.4 33.3 0.0 66.7 -0.02 37.5 33.3
Quave Propst-Allison - 25 25.4 9.5 3.2 2.8 0.9 0.0 2.1 7.3 7.1 -11 -0.3 -1.7 45.6 39.3 85.7 -0.73 57.6 52.2
Jamil Safieddine - 23 19.9 8.2 2.3 1.9 0.5 0.3 1.3 6.4 5.4 -29 -2.9 -20.6 40.5 38.4 83.7 0.04 55.7 50.0
Sufyan Elkannan - 27 17.6 7.5 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.0 6.6 2.9 -77 -4.5 -19.3 37.4 37.6 86.2 0.21 52.9 49.7
Clayton Moore - 1 20.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 5.0 -73 -3.2 -35.2 50.0 0.0 40.0 0.01 48.4 50.0
Allen Taylor - 1 33.0 6.0 7.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 6.0 2 0.1 0.8 18.2 0.0 40.0 0.17 22.7 18.2
RJ Ogom - 1 33.0 6.0 7.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 6.0 - - - 18.2 0.0 40.0 - 22.7 18.2
Trey Ballard - 1 24.0 6.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 1.0 -42 -2.5 -22.4 27.3 0.0 0 -0.13 27.3 27.3
John Jenkins - 1 17.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 -33 -1.3 -5.8 66.7 0 100.0 -0.04 77.3 66.7
Julio Phipps - 1 21.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 44 2.4 15.5 75.0 0.0 0.0 0.31 67.6 75.0
KJ Garrett - 23 19.6 5.4 2.0 3.6 0.8 0.1 2.3 3.8 5.7 -47 -2.8 -10.9 44.8 19.0 58.9 0.11 52.5 47.1
Tre'Vion Crawford - 1 9.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 13 1.6 14.1 100.0 100.0 0 -0.25 125.0 125.0
Ryan Maslow - 27 22.1 4.6 3.3 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.7 3.6 5.9 44 1.8 5.8 44.9 33.3 75.0 0.52 59.0 57.1
River Johnston - 1 11.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Dalton Peterson - 1 14.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 5 0.2 1.1 25.0 25.0 0 0.43 37.5 37.5
Caden Holmes - 26 11.3 2.1 2.0 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.7 2.6 1.6 88 3.5 59.9 29.9 20.4 57.1 -0.03 38.5 37.3
Blake Hadley - 22 3.6 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.6 - - - 64.7 0 33.3 - 62.8 64.7
Jackson McAdams - 25 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 -22 -3.1 -22.2 55.6 40.0 0 -0.23 66.7 66.7
Landon Braun - 23 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 24 4.0 528.4 100.0 100.0 0.0 -1.53 86.8 125.0
Amare Bethel - 19 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 - - - 50.0 0.0 0.0 - 41.0 50.0
Quinten Rock - 11 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jacob Barker - 14 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jaylen Davis - 1 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -127 -5.3 -14.7 0.0 0 0 -0.29 0.0 0.0
Jasiya DeDllos - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25 4.2 372.7 0 0 0 -1.38 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG