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MSU Denver

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: MSU Denver
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 945 (#325) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 916 (#419) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 880 (#547) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -0.3 (#236) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -4.3 (#389) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.619 (#273) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -16.9 More → 0.120 (#278) NetEff -16.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.4 More → 0.788 (#243) AdjNet +11.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.6 More → 0.795 (#240) AdjNet +11.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 72.3 More → 0.691 (#240) AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 72.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 78.4 More → 0.385 (#470) AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 78.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.343 (#436) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.344 (#435) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 22 More → 853 (#411) RD 100 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-16 vs Tex. A&M Int'l L 96 - 107
2025-11-17 vs Sul Ross St. W 113 - 103
2025-11-20 @ Tex. A&M-Kingsville L 61 - 92
2025-11-22 @ St. Mary's (TX) L 59 - 75
2025-11-28 @ Eastern N.M. L 65 - 78
2025-11-29 vs UT Permian Basin L 93 - 103
2025-12-04 vs Fort Lewis L 76 - 81
2025-12-07 vs Adams St. L 59 - 87
2025-12-11 @ Western Colo. W 87 - 83
2025-12-13 @ Westminster (UT) W 81 - 70
2025-12-18 vs Fort Hays St. L 64 - 68
2025-12-20 vs Neb.-Kearney W 88 - 74
2026-01-08 vs South Dakota Mines L 62 - 68
2026-01-10 vs Black Hills St. W 77 - 73
2026-01-15 @ Colo. Christian L 70 - 79
2026-01-17 @ UCCS L 85 - 98
2026-01-20 vs Regis (CO) W 85 - 68
2026-01-24 @ Colo. Sch. of Mines L 69 - 83
2026-01-29 @ N.M. Highlands W 95 - 83
2026-01-31 @ Fort Lewis L 72 - 101
2026-02-05 vs Colorado Mesa L 70 - 74
2026-02-07 vs Western Colo. L 69 - 75

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Logan Threatt - 20 29.7 16.4 3.6 2.8 1.2 0.1 2.7 11.5 9.9 -17 -0.8 -3.6 44.3 35.5 87.6 0.3 59.6 51.5
Quave Propst-Allison - 22 29.1 14.4 3.3 3.2 1.5 0.2 2.9 10.5 9.2 30 1.4 6.5 45.7 45.2 77.9 3.98 60.1 55.9
Garrett Falls - 18 26.1 12.7 3.6 1.7 0.7 0.2 2.6 8.6 7.6 -24 -1.3 -14.3 46.8 40.0 78.5 -0.34 60.4 53.9
Amare Bethel - 20 19.9 8.6 2.4 1.2 0.8 0.1 2.0 7.0 4.0 -91 -4.5 -28.6 43.9 31.9 73.0 -4.12 55.1 51.8
Adam Hackett - 22 17.8 7.2 4.0 0.5 0.5 0.4 1.4 6.1 5.2 -19 -0.9 -5.6 43.7 34.0 60.0 0.47 51.8 49.6
Daniel Thomason - 22 21.5 5.5 3.6 1.5 1.0 0.4 1.4 4.2 6.4 34 1.5 9.2 44.6 27.6 71.4 1.02 54.3 48.9
Caden Holmes - 18 18.4 5.2 3.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 4.3 4.8 -40 -2.2 -24.3 43.6 31.2 55.0 0.89 54.1 53.2
Nathan Macadory - 11 11.7 4.8 1.4 1.2 0.2 0.2 1.1 4.0 2.6 -39 -3.5 -21.2 43.2 37.9 80.0 -0.12 57.4 55.7
Nathan Francis - 10 15.1 4.8 1.5 1.6 0.9 0.1 0.9 4.1 3.9 -55 -5.5 -138.1 41.5 38.9 0.0 -1.56 57.9 58.5
Brian Unachukwu - 21 22.1 4.5 5.4 0.5 0.3 2.1 1.0 2.7 9.0 -9 -0.4 -2.7 68.4 0 57.1 1.11 67.8 68.4
Jacob Barker - 22 11.6 2.8 2.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.9 3.2 -97 -4.4 -44.1 59.5 0 73.3 -2.97 62.8 59.5
Landon Braun - 8 5.6 0.9 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.9 -31 -3.9 -56.2 33.3 0 25.0 0.15 32.5 33.3
Jackson McAdams - 10 4.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 -22 -2.2 -53.3 33.3 20.0 50.0 -1.28 43.6 41.7
Isaiah Freeman - 6 4.2 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.8 -32 -5.3 -202.6 0.0 0.0 60.0 -1.27 35.7 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG