Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1000 (#381) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1036 (#300) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1112 (#77) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.6 (#171) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.9 (#456) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.555 (#433) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.335 (#436) | AdjNet -6.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.328 (#435) | AdjNet -6.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.407 (#426) | AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 80.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.509 (#385) | AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 80.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.482 (#416) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.497 (#407) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1087 (#214) | RD 99 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Wis.-Stevens Point | L | 59 - 79 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Lake Forest | W | 93 - 86 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Elmhurst | L | 67 - 71 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Carroll (WI) | L | 80 - 93 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Coe | W | 81 - 72 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Dominican (IL) | W | 96 - 71 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Concordia Wisconsin | W | 113 - 109 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | St. Norbert | L | 59 - 72 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Wis. Lutheran | W | 93 - 84 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Redlands | L | 82 - 102 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Occidental | L | 78 - 80 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Illinois Tech | W | 86 - 69 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Dominican (IL) | W | 85 - 82 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Concordia Chicago | W | 99 - 68 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Edgewood | W | 98 - 84 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Aurora | L | 74 - 114 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Marian (WI) | W | 85 - 81 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Benedictine (IL) | W | 74 - 62 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Wis. Lutheran | W | 95 - 70 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Concordia Wisconsin | W | 101 - 87 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Lakeland | W | 100 - 75 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Illinois Tech | W | 87 - 75 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Dopirak | - | 21 | 32.8 | 24.8 | 5.6 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 16.0 | 15.8 | 178 | 8.5 | 45.0 | 49.6 | 42.7 | 91.7 | 5.77 | 64.2 | 56.1 |
| Jonathan Burroughs | - | 16 | 29.2 | 15.2 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 11.0 | 10.5 | 145 | 9.1 | 33.0 | 52.8 | 52.8 | 76.9 | 1.88 | 65.1 | 63.6 |
| Chase Cummings | - | 21 | 32.4 | 11.2 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 8.4 | 9.9 | 149 | 7.1 | 32.2 | 45.8 | 40.0 | 83.7 | 1.7 | 60.2 | 56.5 |
| Carson Cordelli | - | 22 | 27.5 | 10.5 | 5.2 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 6.7 | 11.2 | 156 | 7.1 | 39.1 | 62.8 | 50.0 | 70.9 | 1.38 | 67.1 | 64.9 |
| Joey Jendusa | - | 21 | 19.9 | 6.8 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 4.7 | 5.2 | 65 | 3.1 | 20.3 | 51.5 | 42.3 | 78.9 | -0.04 | 61.8 | 57.1 |
| Matus Dopirak | - | 22 | 13.8 | 6.7 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 7 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 47.4 | 38.0 | 78.3 | -0.33 | 58.3 | 55.6 |
| Ethan Johnson | - | 19 | 18.4 | 6.5 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 4.6 | 9.2 | 129 | 7.2 | 116.7 | 58.0 | 50.0 | 79.2 | 1.3 | 62.9 | 59.7 |
| Isaac Wit | - | 20 | 16.2 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 25 | 1.2 | 12.0 | 41.5 | 31.2 | 58.3 | -2.46 | 51.6 | 49.2 |
| CJ Valente | - | 22 | 12.1 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48.9 | 11.1 | 92.9 | -2.06 | 56.7 | 50.0 |
| Daniel Franklin IV | - | 18 | 9.2 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 35.9 | 25.0 | 63.6 | -2.55 | 44.5 | 41.0 |
| Kolby Henderlong | - | 13 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 8 | 0.7 | 39.1 | 45.5 | 45.5 | 0 | 0.26 | 68.2 | 68.2 |
| Brock Adams | - | 10 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 11.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.68 | 57.9 | 33.3 |
| Jace Paul | - | 9 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 12 | 1.5 | 105.1 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.51 | 84.6 | 112.5 |
| Mason Accidentale | - | 7 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 4 | 0.7 | 533.3 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Chad Coplin | - | 12 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.3 | 33.2 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.25 | 28.2 | 25.0 |
| Brady Gregg | - | 6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 8 | 1.6 | 1066.7 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.0 | 43.4 | 25.0 |
| Dubem Igwilo | - | 11 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 10 | 1.0 | 63.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 25.0 | -0.64 | 45.1 | 50.0 |
| Quinn Rosenberg | - | 10 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | -25 | -2.8 | -84.0 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.53 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG