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Maine Celtics

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1009 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 982 (#11) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.5 More → -3.4 (#12) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.363 (#13) -

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-25 @ SPG L 87 - 94
2011-12-01 @ ERI L 87 - 105
2011-12-03 vs SPG L 104 - 112
2011-12-04 vs FWN W 99 - 91
2011-12-08 @ SPG L 89 - 97
2011-12-10 @ CTN W 103 - 81
2011-12-17 vs ERI L 105 - 109
2011-12-18 vs ERI W 106 - 99
2011-12-23 vs IWA L 102 - 111
2011-12-24 vs IWA W 101 - 86
2011-12-27 @ CTN L 81 - 106
2011-12-29 @ CTN L 98 - 111
2011-12-31 vs RGV L 83 - 101
2012-01-01 vs RGV L 81 - 104
2012-01-05 @ AUS L 103 - 109
2012-01-07 @ TUL L 83 - 108
2012-01-08 @ TEX W 113 - 102
2012-01-10 @ SXF W 98 - 92
2012-01-11 vs LAD L 94 - 99
2012-01-14 @ SPG W 104 - 97
2012-01-15 vs SPG L 94 - 120
2012-01-19 @ SPG L 91 - 93
2012-01-20 vs ERI L 113 - 122
2012-01-22 vs ERI W 110 - 88
2012-01-27 vs IDA W 97 - 94
2012-01-29 vs RNO L 102 - 105
2012-02-02 @ FWN W 115 - 109
2012-02-03 @ FWN W 109 - 97
2012-02-09 @ FWN W 113 - 111
2012-02-10 @ ERI L 110 - 117
2012-02-12 vs TEX L 107 - 114
2012-02-16 vs DAK L 100 - 122
2012-02-19 vs BAK L 109 - 110
2012-02-21 @ TUL W 86 - 84
2012-02-22 @ RGV L 120 - 130
2012-03-02 vs SPG W 100 - 94
2012-03-04 vs SPG W 118 - 113
2012-03-06 @ ERI L 70 - 106
2012-03-08 @ FWN W 114 - 104
2012-03-10 @ CTN L 88 - 89
2012-03-11 vs IWA W 112 - 80
2012-03-16 vs AUS L 112 - 119
2012-03-18 vs AUS L 87 - 114
2012-03-20 @ TEX W 105 - 91
2012-03-23 @ AUS L 82 - 112
2012-03-24 @ AUS L 77 - 116
2012-03-27 @ SPG L 91 - 100
2012-04-01 vs SPG W 110 - 101
2012-04-06 vs TUL W 100 - 99
2012-04-07 vs TUL W 84 - 82

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Morris Almond G 29 0.0 23.4 6.0 1.4 0.8 0.3 2.4 15.5 13.9 - - - 54.3 46.4 79.4 - 63.2 57.9
Craig Brackins F 7 0.0 18.9 9.3 2.7 0.7 1.6 1.7 15.0 16.4 - - - 49.5 30.3 75.0 - 57.1 54.3
Kenny Hayes G 44 0.0 17.1 4.1 5.2 0.7 0.2 2.4 13.7 11.2 - - - 44.8 40.2 89.1 - 54.5 47.7
Chris Wright F 4 0.0 17.0 10.8 0.5 0.5 1.5 3.0 14.8 12.5 - - - 47.5 0 70.6 - 51.1 47.5
Jerome Randle G 14 0.0 14.9 2.6 4.3 0.8 0.0 3.9 10.1 8.6 - - - 51.1 34.6 90.2 - 63.6 57.4
Lawrence Hill F 33 0.0 12.9 7.4 2.2 1.1 1.8 1.2 10.3 14.0 - - - 49.0 43.4 73.5 - 56.7 53.8
Courtney Pigram G 36 0.0 12.1 2.1 2.5 0.9 0.1 1.6 10.2 6.0 - - - 43.8 37.0 77.1 - 54.7 51.9
J.R. Reynolds G 3 0.0 12.0 4.3 2.0 1.7 0.0 2.0 10.0 8.0 - - - 36.7 41.7 90.0 - 52.3 45.0
Cedric Bozeman G 7 0.0 11.6 5.7 3.0 0.9 0.0 2.3 8.0 10.9 - - - 51.8 35.7 90.0 - 62.5 56.2
Paul Harris F 20 0.0 11.4 6.2 2.6 1.1 0.6 2.0 9.3 10.4 - - - 43.3 23.1 63.5 - 49.9 44.9
Durrell Summers G 12 0.0 10.8 3.2 0.9 0.9 0.1 2.7 9.1 4.2 - - - 45.0 25.0 80.0 - 52.3 46.8
Xavier Silas G 39 0.0 9.8 3.0 1.5 0.7 0.2 1.6 8.0 5.6 - - - 40.1 29.5 78.7 - 51.5 44.2
Ricky Davis F 11 0.0 8.5 3.3 3.2 0.8 0.6 2.5 8.5 5.5 - - - 39.4 28.0 68.4 - 45.9 43.1
Justin Brownlee F 50 0.0 8.0 4.9 1.4 0.9 0.5 1.1 7.3 7.3 - - - 44.7 29.6 79.6 - 51.6 49.0
DeShawn Sims - 4 0.0 7.5 7.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 1.5 10.0 5.0 - - - 35.0 0.0 40.0 - 35.5 35.0
Tyc Snow G 9 0.0 7.4 2.6 4.2 1.0 0.0 1.4 6.6 7.2 - - - 45.8 50.0 66.7 - 53.2 51.7
Hamady Ndiaye C 13 0.0 6.8 4.9 0.6 0.5 3.2 0.8 5.0 10.2 - - - 63.1 0 25.9 - 57.9 63.1
Dominic Calegari C 33 0.0 6.2 3.9 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 5.4 5.6 - - - 43.0 32.1 61.5 - 51.7 50.0
Anthony Kent C 50 0.0 5.9 4.5 0.6 0.4 1.4 0.9 3.8 8.1 - - - 60.6 100.0 57.8 - 61.9 60.9
Jamar Abrams F 9 0.0 5.2 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.3 4.2 3.1 - - - 47.4 35.3 83.3 - 57.8 55.3
Antonio Anderson F 5 0.0 4.8 1.0 1.6 0.2 0.2 3.2 4.4 0.2 - - - 45.5 0 100.0 - 50.5 45.5
Mike Tisdale - 8 0.0 3.8 3.6 0.1 0.1 1.6 1.4 4.2 3.6 - - - 41.2 0 100.0 - 43.0 41.2
Joe Trapani - 6 0.0 3.2 3.7 0.3 0.2 0.3 1.2 4.8 1.7 - - - 27.6 16.7 50.0 - 31.8 31.0
Darren Cooper G 10 0.0 3.1 2.3 3.9 0.3 0.0 1.3 4.2 4.1 - - - 26.2 16.7 77.8 - 33.7 28.6
Mike Gerrity - 16 0.0 2.7 1.0 2.1 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.8 2.5 - - - 40.0 0.0 50.0 - 42.0 40.0
Corey Stokes - 1 0.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 25.8 0.0
Evan Fjeld - 3 0.0 2.0 1.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 2.0 2.7 - - - 33.3 0 100.0 - 43.6 33.3
Maze Stallworth - 3 0.0 1.3 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.3 3.3 -0.7 - - - 20.0 0.0 0.0 - 18.4 20.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG