Maine Celtics
Model Outputs
2011-2012
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1009 (#8) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 982 (#11) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.4 (#12) | HCA +2.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.363 (#13) | - |
2012 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011-11-25 | @ | SPG | L | 87 - 94 |
| 2011-12-01 | @ | ERI | L | 87 - 105 |
| 2011-12-03 | vs | SPG | L | 104 - 112 |
| 2011-12-04 | vs | FWN | W | 99 - 91 |
| 2011-12-08 | @ | SPG | L | 89 - 97 |
| 2011-12-10 | @ | CTN | W | 103 - 81 |
| 2011-12-17 | vs | ERI | L | 105 - 109 |
| 2011-12-18 | vs | ERI | W | 106 - 99 |
| 2011-12-23 | vs | IWA | L | 102 - 111 |
| 2011-12-24 | vs | IWA | W | 101 - 86 |
| 2011-12-27 | @ | CTN | L | 81 - 106 |
| 2011-12-29 | @ | CTN | L | 98 - 111 |
| 2011-12-31 | vs | RGV | L | 83 - 101 |
| 2012-01-01 | vs | RGV | L | 81 - 104 |
| 2012-01-05 | @ | AUS | L | 103 - 109 |
| 2012-01-07 | @ | TUL | L | 83 - 108 |
| 2012-01-08 | @ | TEX | W | 113 - 102 |
| 2012-01-10 | @ | SXF | W | 98 - 92 |
| 2012-01-11 | vs | LAD | L | 94 - 99 |
| 2012-01-14 | @ | SPG | W | 104 - 97 |
| 2012-01-15 | vs | SPG | L | 94 - 120 |
| 2012-01-19 | @ | SPG | L | 91 - 93 |
| 2012-01-20 | vs | ERI | L | 113 - 122 |
| 2012-01-22 | vs | ERI | W | 110 - 88 |
| 2012-01-27 | vs | IDA | W | 97 - 94 |
| 2012-01-29 | vs | RNO | L | 102 - 105 |
| 2012-02-02 | @ | FWN | W | 115 - 109 |
| 2012-02-03 | @ | FWN | W | 109 - 97 |
| 2012-02-09 | @ | FWN | W | 113 - 111 |
| 2012-02-10 | @ | ERI | L | 110 - 117 |
| 2012-02-12 | vs | TEX | L | 107 - 114 |
| 2012-02-16 | vs | DAK | L | 100 - 122 |
| 2012-02-19 | vs | BAK | L | 109 - 110 |
| 2012-02-21 | @ | TUL | W | 86 - 84 |
| 2012-02-22 | @ | RGV | L | 120 - 130 |
| 2012-03-02 | vs | SPG | W | 100 - 94 |
| 2012-03-04 | vs | SPG | W | 118 - 113 |
| 2012-03-06 | @ | ERI | L | 70 - 106 |
| 2012-03-08 | @ | FWN | W | 114 - 104 |
| 2012-03-10 | @ | CTN | L | 88 - 89 |
| 2012-03-11 | vs | IWA | W | 112 - 80 |
| 2012-03-16 | vs | AUS | L | 112 - 119 |
| 2012-03-18 | vs | AUS | L | 87 - 114 |
| 2012-03-20 | @ | TEX | W | 105 - 91 |
| 2012-03-23 | @ | AUS | L | 82 - 112 |
| 2012-03-24 | @ | AUS | L | 77 - 116 |
| 2012-03-27 | @ | SPG | L | 91 - 100 |
| 2012-04-01 | vs | SPG | W | 110 - 101 |
| 2012-04-06 | vs | TUL | W | 100 - 99 |
| 2012-04-07 | vs | TUL | W | 84 - 82 |
2012 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morris Almond | G | 29 | 0.0 | 23.4 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 15.5 | 13.9 | - | - | - | 54.3 | 46.4 | 79.4 | - | 63.2 | 57.9 |
| Craig Brackins | F | 7 | 0.0 | 18.9 | 9.3 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 15.0 | 16.4 | - | - | - | 49.5 | 30.3 | 75.0 | - | 57.1 | 54.3 |
| Kenny Hayes | G | 44 | 0.0 | 17.1 | 4.1 | 5.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 13.7 | 11.2 | - | - | - | 44.8 | 40.2 | 89.1 | - | 54.5 | 47.7 |
| Chris Wright | F | 4 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 10.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 14.8 | 12.5 | - | - | - | 47.5 | 0 | 70.6 | - | 51.1 | 47.5 |
| Jerome Randle | G | 14 | 0.0 | 14.9 | 2.6 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 3.9 | 10.1 | 8.6 | - | - | - | 51.1 | 34.6 | 90.2 | - | 63.6 | 57.4 |
| Lawrence Hill | F | 33 | 0.0 | 12.9 | 7.4 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 10.3 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 49.0 | 43.4 | 73.5 | - | 56.7 | 53.8 |
| Courtney Pigram | G | 36 | 0.0 | 12.1 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 10.2 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 43.8 | 37.0 | 77.1 | - | 54.7 | 51.9 |
| J.R. Reynolds | G | 3 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 36.7 | 41.7 | 90.0 | - | 52.3 | 45.0 |
| Cedric Bozeman | G | 7 | 0.0 | 11.6 | 5.7 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 8.0 | 10.9 | - | - | - | 51.8 | 35.7 | 90.0 | - | 62.5 | 56.2 |
| Paul Harris | F | 20 | 0.0 | 11.4 | 6.2 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 9.3 | 10.4 | - | - | - | 43.3 | 23.1 | 63.5 | - | 49.9 | 44.9 |
| Durrell Summers | G | 12 | 0.0 | 10.8 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 9.1 | 4.2 | - | - | - | 45.0 | 25.0 | 80.0 | - | 52.3 | 46.8 |
| Xavier Silas | G | 39 | 0.0 | 9.8 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 8.0 | 5.6 | - | - | - | 40.1 | 29.5 | 78.7 | - | 51.5 | 44.2 |
| Ricky Davis | F | 11 | 0.0 | 8.5 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 39.4 | 28.0 | 68.4 | - | 45.9 | 43.1 |
| Justin Brownlee | F | 50 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 7.3 | 7.3 | - | - | - | 44.7 | 29.6 | 79.6 | - | 51.6 | 49.0 |
| DeShawn Sims | - | 4 | 0.0 | 7.5 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 10.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 35.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | - | 35.5 | 35.0 |
| Tyc Snow | G | 9 | 0.0 | 7.4 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 6.6 | 7.2 | - | - | - | 45.8 | 50.0 | 66.7 | - | 53.2 | 51.7 |
| Hamady Ndiaye | C | 13 | 0.0 | 6.8 | 4.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 10.2 | - | - | - | 63.1 | 0 | 25.9 | - | 57.9 | 63.1 |
| Dominic Calegari | C | 33 | 0.0 | 6.2 | 3.9 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 5.4 | 5.6 | - | - | - | 43.0 | 32.1 | 61.5 | - | 51.7 | 50.0 |
| Anthony Kent | C | 50 | 0.0 | 5.9 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 3.8 | 8.1 | - | - | - | 60.6 | 100.0 | 57.8 | - | 61.9 | 60.9 |
| Jamar Abrams | F | 9 | 0.0 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 4.2 | 3.1 | - | - | - | 47.4 | 35.3 | 83.3 | - | 57.8 | 55.3 |
| Antonio Anderson | F | 5 | 0.0 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 4.4 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 50.5 | 45.5 |
| Mike Tisdale | - | 8 | 0.0 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4.2 | 3.6 | - | - | - | 41.2 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 43.0 | 41.2 |
| Joe Trapani | - | 6 | 0.0 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 1.7 | - | - | - | 27.6 | 16.7 | 50.0 | - | 31.8 | 31.0 |
| Darren Cooper | G | 10 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 3.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 4.2 | 4.1 | - | - | - | 26.2 | 16.7 | 77.8 | - | 33.7 | 28.6 |
| Mike Gerrity | - | 16 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 42.0 | 40.0 |
| Corey Stokes | - | 1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 25.8 | 0.0 |
| Evan Fjeld | - | 3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.7 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 43.6 | 33.3 |
| Maze Stallworth | - | 3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.3 | -0.7 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 18.4 | 20.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG