🐻⬇️🏀

MIT

Also known as: MIT
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1027 (#180) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1039 (#191) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +5.9 (#122) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.586 (#414) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -2.4 More → 0.423 (#265) NetEff -2.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.0 More → 0.849 (#241) AdjNet +15.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.8 More → 0.852 (#241) AdjNet +14.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 60.5 More → 0.679 (#252) AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 60.5

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ NYU L 39 - 80
2024-11-09 vs Swarthmore W 56 - 48
2024-11-15 @ Bridgewater St. L 61 - 70
2024-11-19 @ Emmanuel (MA) W 71 - 61
2024-11-22 @ Rhode Island Col. L 62 - 69
2024-11-23 vs Bates L 50 - 76
2024-12-03 @ Brandeis L 59 - 67
2024-12-05 vs Tufts L 60 - 66
2024-12-10 vs Smith L 47 - 71
2024-12-30 vs Endicott L 61 - 75
2025-01-02 vs Regis (MA) W 73 - 40
2025-01-04 vs Colby W 68 - 63
2025-01-07 @ Middlebury L 56 - 62
2025-01-14 vs Trinity (CT) L 64 - 70
2025-01-18 @ Springfield W 67 - 42
2025-01-22 vs Clark (MA) W 70 - 62
2025-01-25 vs WPI W 56 - 50
2025-01-29 @ Wellesley W 59 - 52
2025-02-01 @ Mount Holyoke W 81 - 39
2025-02-05 vs Emerson L 72 - 82
2025-02-08 vs Coast Guard W 88 - 79
2025-02-12 @ Babson L 79 - 84
2025-02-15 @ Smith L 38 - 77
2025-02-19 vs Wheaton (MA) W 67 - 56
2025-02-22 vs Salve Regina L 61 - 82
2025-02-26 @ Springfield W 70 - 65
2025-02-28 vs WPI W 60 - 33
2025-03-02 @ Smith L 66 - 79

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kamsi Nwogu - 27 25.4 14.8 6.7 1.1 1.5 0.9 3.0 9.9 12.1 47 2.0 2.5 59.8 30.4 72.1 0.69 64.2 61.1
Angie Choi - 22 27.7 12.1 4.0 2.5 1.5 0.0 2.4 10.4 7.5 0 0.0 0.0 39.0 34.1 75.3 0.15 51.0 45.8
Elise Harvey - 27 27.1 9.2 5.1 1.0 0.9 0.6 2.4 9.0 5.4 3 0.1 0.1 37.2 33.8 74.1 0.05 46.4 42.4
Sarah Berman - 28 23.0 5.8 2.5 1.2 0.9 0.1 1.1 6.2 3.1 58 2.1 3.4 28.9 29.4 79.2 0.7 43.9 41.0
Alice Hall - 28 24.8 5.6 5.3 1.2 0.8 1.1 1.2 5.5 7.3 58 2.1 3.4 44.4 0 58.8 0.69 46.4 44.4
Brianna Lebrun - 18 11.4 4.3 2.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 4.1 3.2 42 1.8 4.2 39.2 0 64.5 0.5 44.5 39.2
Kaya Weiser - 28 14.1 4.2 1.8 0.9 0.6 0.0 1.2 4.8 1.4 26 1.0 1.7 28.1 25.9 72.4 0.32 40.3 36.3
Libi Matityahoo - 22 10.3 3.5 2.5 0.3 0.1 0.3 1.7 3.8 1.2 -18 -1.0 -2.3 35.7 32.0 52.6 -0.16 42.2 40.5
Deana Prasad - 25 13.4 3.0 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.3 1.0 4.2 1.0 -27 -1.0 -2.2 29.8 31.2 33.3 -0.24 34.8 34.6
April Chan - 28 15.4 2.3 2.3 0.8 0.6 0.1 1.3 3.5 1.3 39 1.2 2.1 24.2 23.8 40.0 0.44 29.0 26.8
Olivia Joseph - 10 6.5 1.5 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.3 2.3 0.7 -22 -1.8 -3.2 26.1 0.0 75.0 -0.37 30.3 26.1
Rachael Zacks - 22 4.5 1.2 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.0 -6 -0.3 -0.9 21.2 30.8 57.1 0.07 33.2 27.3
Clarice Borges - 9 3.4 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 0.6 - - - 45.5 0.0 0 0.32 45.5 45.5
Sydney Baller - 27 5.4 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.3 -11 -0.6 -2.2 36.0 0.0 75.0 -0.24 44.6 36.0
Mariam Abdelbarr - 26 4.8 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.3 -13 -0.6 -1.7 22.6 20.0 80.0 -0.2 32.5 24.2
Kaitlin Tam - 26 4.5 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.0 -0.2 43 2.3 8.8 16.0 21.4 25.0 0.6 22.4 22.0
Jordyn Toler - 7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG