Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 905 (#275) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 864 (#321) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 931 (#301) | HCA +71 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.9 (#325) | HCA +2.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.8 (#302) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.151 (#363) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.172 (#359) | NetEff -14.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.265 (#315) | AdjNet -8.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.264 (#315) | AdjNet -8.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.336 (#330) | AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 83.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.361 (#327) | AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 83.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.333 (#310) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.337 (#312) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 912 (#271) | RD 163 | GP 25 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-08 | @ | UMass Dartmouth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-11-10 | vs | Rhode Island Col. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-11-15 | @ | Endicott | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-11-18 | vs | Macalester | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-11-21 | vs | Tufts | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-11-25 | vs | Keene St. | L | 81 - 119 |
| 2023-11-28 | @ | Salem St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-12-02 | vs | Fitchburg St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-12-06 | vs | Springfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-12-09 | @ | Wheaton (MA) | L | 56 - 76 |
| 2023-12-11 | vs | Husson | L | 66 - 80 |
| 2024-01-03 | vs | Salve Regina | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-06 | @ | Babson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-09 | @ | Coast Guard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-11 | vs | Emerson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-13 | vs | Clark (MA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-16 | @ | WPI | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-20 | @ | Springfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-24 | vs | Wheaton (MA) | W | 70 - 66 |
| 2024-01-27 | @ | Salve Regina | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-31 | vs | Babson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-02-03 | vs | Coast Guard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-02-07 | @ | Emerson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-02-10 | vs | WPI | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-02-14 | @ | Clark (MA) | - | Incomplete score |
2024 Roster
No roster data available for this season.