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Minnesota Timberwolves

Also known as: Minnesota Timberwolves
Program History

2015 Team Stats (76 games)

98.3
PPG
106.5
Opp
-8.2
Margin
43.9%
FG%
33.9%
3P%
77.7%
FT%
40.9
RPG
21.7
APG
14.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
96.7
Adj PPG
104.6
Adj Opp PPG
#28
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 655 (#30) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 761 (#29) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +69 elo More โ†’ 857 (#30) HCA +69 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More โ†’ -8.0 (#28) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More โ†’ -9.2 (#29) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.271 (#28) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.7 More โ†’ 0.293 (#28) AdjNet -7.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.7 More โ†’ 0.292 (#28) AdjNet -7.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 96.7 | AdjD 104.6 More โ†’ 0.328 (#28) AdjO 96.7 | AdjD 104.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 96.9 | AdjD 104.8 More โ†’ 0.329 (#29) AdjO 96.9 | AdjD 104.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.249 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.249 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 256 | GP 82 More โ†’ 796 (#30) RD 256 | GP 82

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-10-29 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 101 - 105
2014-10-30 vs Detroit Pistons W 97 - 91
2014-11-01 vs Chicago Bulls L 105 - 106
2014-11-05 @ Brooklyn Nets W 98 - 91
2014-11-07 @ Orlando Magic L 103 - 112
2014-11-08 @ Miami Heat L 92 - 102
2014-11-12 vs Houston Rockets L 101 - 113
2014-11-14 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 91 - 139
2014-11-15 @ Dallas Mavericks L 117 - 131
2014-11-19 vs New York Knicks W 115 - 99
2014-11-21 vs San Antonio Spurs L 92 - 121
2014-11-22 vs Sacramento Kings L 101 - 113
2014-11-26 vs Milwaukee Bucks L 86 - 103
2014-11-28 @ Los Angeles Lakers W 120 - 119
2014-11-30 @ Portland Trail Blazers L 93 - 107
2014-12-01 @ LA Clippers L 101 - 127
2014-12-03 vs Philadelphia 76ers L 77 - 85
2014-12-05 vs Houston Rockets L 112 - 114
2014-12-06 @ San Antonio Spurs L 101 - 123
2014-12-08 vs Golden State Warriors L 86 - 102
2014-12-10 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 90 - 82
2014-12-12 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 92 - 111
2014-12-14 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 94 - 100
2014-12-16 @ Washington Wizards L 95 - 109
2014-12-19 @ Boston Celtics L 98 - 114
2014-12-21 vs Indiana Pacers L 96 - 100
2014-12-23 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 104 - 125
2014-12-26 @ Denver Nuggets L 102 - 106
2014-12-27 @ Golden State Warriors L 97 - 110
2014-12-30 @ Utah Jazz L 94 - 100
2015-01-01 vs Sacramento Kings L 107 - 110
2015-01-03 vs Utah Jazz L 89 - 101
2015-01-05 vs Denver Nuggets L 101 - 110
2015-01-07 vs Phoenix Suns L 111 - 113
2015-01-09 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 84 - 98
2015-01-10 vs San Antonio Spurs L 93 - 108
2015-01-13 @ Indiana Pacers W 110 - 101
2015-01-16 @ Phoenix Suns L 99 - 110
2015-01-17 @ Denver Nuggets W 113 - 105
2015-01-19 @ Charlotte Hornets L 80 - 105
2015-01-21 vs Dallas Mavericks L 75 - 98
2015-01-23 vs New Orleans Pelicans L 84 - 92
2015-01-25 @ Atlanta Hawks L 100 - 112
2015-01-26 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 84 - 92
2015-01-28 vs Boston Celtics W 110 - 98
2015-01-30 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 94 - 103
2015-01-31 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 90 - 106
2015-02-02 @ Dallas Mavericks L 94 - 100
2015-02-04 vs Miami Heat W 102 - 101
2015-02-06 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 90 - 89
2015-02-08 @ Detroit Pistons W 112 - 101
2015-02-09 vs Atlanta Hawks L 105 - 117
2015-02-11 vs Golden State Warriors L 91 - 94
2015-02-20 vs Phoenix Suns W 111 - 109
2015-02-23 @ Houston Rockets L 102 - 113
2015-02-25 vs Washington Wizards W 97 - 77
2015-02-27 @ Chicago Bulls L 89 - 96
2015-02-28 vs Memphis Grizzlies L 97 - 101
2015-03-02 vs LA Clippers L 105 - 110
2015-03-04 vs Denver Nuggets L 85 - 100
2015-03-07 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 121 - 113
2015-03-09 @ LA Clippers L 76 - 89
2015-03-11 @ Phoenix Suns L 97 - 106
2015-03-13 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 99 - 113
2015-03-15 @ San Antonio Spurs L 97 - 123
2015-03-16 vs Brooklyn Nets L 106 - 122
2015-03-18 @ Toronto Raptors L 100 - 105
2015-03-19 @ New York Knicks W 95 - 92
2015-03-22 vs Charlotte Hornets L 98 - 109
2015-03-23 @ Utah Jazz W 106 - 104
2015-03-25 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 99 - 101
2015-03-27 @ Houston Rockets L 110 - 120
2015-03-29 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 88 - 110
2015-03-30 vs Utah Jazz L 84 - 104
2015-04-01 vs Toronto Raptors L 99 - 113
2015-04-03 vs Orlando Magic L 84 - 97
2015-04-07 @ Sacramento Kings L 111 - 116
2015-04-08 @ Portland Trail Blazers L 91 - 116
2015-04-10 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 98 - 106
2015-04-11 @ Golden State Warriors L 101 - 110
2015-04-13 vs New Orleans Pelicans L 88 - 100
2015-04-15 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 113 - 138

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kevin Martin Kevin Martin Forward 39 32.6 19.4 3.5 2.3 0.9 0.0 1.9 15.7 8.6 - - - - 42.3 39.6 86.9 - 54.4 48.3
Andrew Wiggins Andrew Wiggins F 80 35.9 16.8 4.5 2.1 1.1 0.6 2.0 13.7 9.4 - - - - 43.8 32.8 76.5 - 51.9 45.6
Courtney McFarlin Courtney McFarlin Not Available 53 32.3 13.8 5.0 2.7 1.9 0.4 1.6 12.9 9.2 - - - - 45.0 31.6 67.2 - 49.1 46.7
S. Muhammad S. Muhammad F 39 23.6 13.8 4.2 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.9 10.8 8.3 - - - - 48.3 38.9 72.1 - 55.2 50.8
M. Williams M. Williams Forward 43 27.6 12.7 2.4 6.3 0.8 0.2 2.5 10.7 9.2 - - - - 42.5 38.1 87.0 - 54.1 49.8
G. Neal G. Neal PG 10 23.4 12.1 3.2 1.8 0.5 0.0 0.8 9.1 7.7 - - - - 45.1 44.0 87.5 - 57.6 51.1
N. Pekovic N. Pekovic C 33 25.1 12.0 7.5 1.0 0.6 0.4 1.3 10.2 10.0 - - - - 42.3 0 83.3 - 50.0 42.3
Ricky Rubio Ricky Rubio C 26 29.1 10.5 4.9 7.7 1.8 0.0 2.9 9.3 12.7 - - - - 37.3 25.0 85.1 - 48.3 40.0
C. Brewer C. Brewer Not Available 28 27.5 9.9 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.1 1.8 9.0 8.2 - - - - 42.6 20.9 71.4 - 48.8 44.4
Gorgui Dieng Gorgui Dieng C 75 30.2 9.9 8.2 2.0 1.0 1.8 1.7 7.2 14.0 - - - - 50.7 14.3 78.7 - 57.4 50.7
Zach LaVine Zach LaVine G 79 23.8 9.5 2.7 3.4 0.7 0.1 2.5 8.3 5.6 - - - - 42.7 33.3 81.3 - 51.5 46.8
J. Hamilton J. Hamilton C 15 24.8 9.0 5.3 1.5 1.1 1.3 1.1 6.7 10.4 - - - - 50.0 30.0 84.2 - 57.8 51.5
Kevin Garnett Kevin Garnett Guard 5 19.6 7.6 5.2 1.6 1.0 0.8 0.2 6.2 9.8 - - - - 58.1 0.0 50.0 - 58.0 58.1
A. Payne A. Payne PF 26 24.5 7.2 5.4 1.1 0.6 0.3 1.5 7.1 6.0 - - - - 42.4 12.5 65.9 - 45.7 42.7
C. Budinger C. Budinger SF 67 19.6 7.0 3.0 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.7 6.0 5.1 - - - - 44.0 39.1 78.9 - 54.0 51.2
J.J. Barea J.J. Barea Not Available 5 19.2 6.6 1.8 5.6 1.4 0.0 1.2 7.2 7.0 - - - - 30.6 20.0 100.0 - 41.3 33.3
A. Bennett A. Bennett F 59 16.1 5.8 4.1 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.6 5.6 5.2 - - - - 43.2 30.4 66.2 - 47.0 44.2
S. Kilpatrick S. Kilpatrick G 4 17.8 5.5 1.5 1.0 0.8 0.0 0.5 5.0 3.2 - - - - 35.0 30.8 100.0 - 50.6 45.0
R. Hummel R. Hummel SF 44 15.8 4.6 2.8 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.4 3.9 4.4 - - - - 46.2 31.0 85.7 - 54.5 51.4
L. Brown L. Brown G 27 18.1 4.1 2.4 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.9 4.2 5.6 - - - - 42.5 23.1 58.8 - 46.5 45.1
A. Onuaku A. Onuaku PF 5 10.4 3.6 2.6 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 2.0 5.2 - - - - 80.0 0 33.3 - 71.2 80.0
J. Adrien J. Adrien F 17 12.6 3.5 4.5 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 2.6 6.6 - - - - 43.2 0 57.9 - 49.4 43.2
T. Daniels T. Daniels G 19 8.1 2.8 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.4 3.1 1.1 - - - - 32.2 33.3 100.0 - 44.3 43.2
R. Turiaf R. Turiaf Guard 4 11.2 1.8 3.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.5 - - - - 60.0 0 50.0 - 59.5 60.0
Glenn Robinson III Glenn Robinson III F 28 5.0 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.3 - - - - 42.9 14.3 75.0 - 48.6 44.0
M. Raduljica M. Raduljica C 5 4.8 1.6 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.6 0.8 - - - - 37.5 0 100.0 - 45.0 37.5
B. Heslip B. Heslip SG 4 2.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.5 - - - - 40.0 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Kyrylo Fesenko Kyrylo Fesenko Center 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG