🐻⬇️🏀

Lyon

Season: 2026 2025 2024
Also known as: Lyon
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 954 (#417) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 874 (#475) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 965 (#545) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -11.4 (#322) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -14.9 (#554) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.483 (#462) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.5 More → 0.516 (#354) NetEff +0.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -19.2 More → 0.098 (#548) AdjNet -19.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -19.7 More → 0.089 (#547) AdjNet -19.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 88.4 More → 0.228 (#556) AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 88.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 73.6 More → 0.387 (#552) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 73.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.213 (#586) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.246 (#575) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 21 More → 890 (#434) RD 99 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Central Ark. - Incomplete score
2025-11-09 vs Hendrix - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 @ Austin - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Dallas - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 @ Hendrix - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Ozarks (AR) - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 vs MUW - Incomplete score
2025-12-09 @ Ozarks (AR) - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 vs Crowley's Ridge - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Eureka - Incomplete score
2026-01-15 vs Ecclesia - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Principia - Incomplete score
2026-01-22 @ Westminster (MO) - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ Spalding - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Greenville - Incomplete score
2026-02-03 @ Webster - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 vs Eureka - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Blackburn - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Natalya Kaza - 17 34.3 21.8 6.5 1.7 2.7 0.1 2.5 18.6 11.6 176 8.4 33.5 43.8 39.8 84.8 2.38 53.6 49.7
Kaysharia Woods - 15 31.1 13.3 3.0 4.2 2.2 0.0 4.9 12.7 5.1 38 2.4 7.5 33.5 31.5 72.1 -2.65 45.9 40.8
Molly Mason - 17 23.4 9.5 7.1 0.9 1.1 0.1 1.6 9.1 7.9 166 8.3 39.6 36.4 22.4 82.2 2.26 46.6 40.6
Savanna Lopez - 17 31.4 8.8 9.7 1.9 1.5 3.5 1.6 9.1 14.7 166 8.3 31.4 44.5 33.3 91.7 -1.03 46.8 44.8
Alyssa Abascal - 14 23.1 8.4 4.3 2.5 2.0 0.1 1.8 8.1 7.3 69 4.1 21.9 38.6 27.3 57.1 1.88 45.2 42.5
Camya Porter - 17 12.6 4.8 2.3 0.7 0.8 0.0 1.6 4.2 2.6 100 5.3 51.2 36.1 27.3 71.4 0.37 48.0 42.4
Paris Halliburton - 17 10.2 3.8 3.9 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.6 3.9 4.1 15 0.8 12.3 34.8 0.0 67.9 -1.92 41.5 34.8
Johanna Zocholl - 16 7.3 2.9 3.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.2 2.8 3.1 4 0.2 5.4 42.2 0 50.0 -2.53 44.2 42.2
Christin Thibodeaux - 1 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Brooklyn Berry - 10 3.6 1.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.1 25 2.3 100.8 41.2 25.0 33.3 0.68 49.1 50.0
Heidi Parrish - 9 4.2 1.6 1.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 2.0 0.8 8 0.8 43.7 33.3 14.3 33.3 -2.4 36.2 36.1
Olivia Wallace - 11 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.6 1.0 0.4 22 2.0 52.7 45.5 40.0 40.0 0.07 53.0 54.5
Coi Bradley - 17 6.4 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.7 2.1 -0.3 29 1.5 49.5 20.0 9.1 100.0 -1.17 26.2 22.9
Jessie Stauffer - 2 1.8 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Carsyn Gore - 12 4.4 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.4 0.1 6 0.5 13.5 23.5 18.2 50.0 -1.62 30.8 29.4
Da'Myia Derby - 10 5.0 0.9 0.7 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.6 23 1.9 95.2 44.4 33.3 0 1.19 50.0 50.0
Izabel Soto - 17 5.1 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.8 2.2 -0.5 32 1.8 49.5 16.2 15.4 0.0 0.88 20.9 21.6
Niya Evans - 12 4.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 1.1 -0.1 22 1.7 45.8 30.8 12.5 0 -2.07 34.6 34.6
Presley Andrews - 14 4.1 0.7 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.9 13 0.8 25.9 40.0 50.0 0 -1.32 50.0 50.0
Olivia Jones - 8 3.4 0.6 0.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.6 -0.4 87 3.6 504.3 15.4 0.0 50.0 2.22 18.0 15.4
Maggye Adams - 13 2.7 0.5 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.0 0.5 22 1.4 83.4 7.7 0.0 83.3 -1.42 22.4 7.7
De'Mya Smith - 1 9.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -1 -0.5 -8.0 0.0 0.0 0 2.98 0.0 0.0
Kyra Rosencran - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Presley Andews - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG