🐻⬇️🏀

Lyon

Season: 2026 2025 2024
Also known as: Lyon
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1048 (#134) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 895 (#475) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 965 (#545) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -12.2 (#305) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -14.9 (#554) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.483 (#462) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.5 More → 0.516 (#354) NetEff +0.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -19.2 More → 0.098 (#548) AdjNet -19.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -19.7 More → 0.089 (#547) AdjNet -19.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 88.4 More → 0.228 (#556) AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 88.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 73.6 More → 0.387 (#552) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 73.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.213 (#586) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.246 (#575) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 21 More → 879 (#440) RD 99 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Central Ark. L 43 - 115
2025-11-09 vs Hendrix L 71 - 78
2025-11-14 @ Austin L 62 - 82
2025-11-15 @ Dallas L 72 - 75
2025-11-18 @ Hendrix W 80 - 74
2025-11-22 vs Ozarks (AR) L 76 - 107
2025-11-25 vs MUW W 85 - 71
2025-12-09 @ Ozarks (AR) L 71 - 84
2025-12-20 vs Crowley's Ridge W 92 - 53
2026-01-10 @ Eureka W 89 - 57
2026-01-15 vs Ecclesia W 94 - 46
2026-01-17 vs Principia L 77 - 113
2026-01-22 @ Westminster (MO) L 56 - 69
2026-01-29 @ Spalding L 63 - 69
2026-01-31 @ Greenville W 84 - 78
2026-02-03 @ Webster L 62 - 64
2026-02-05 vs Eureka W 87 - 60
2026-02-07 vs Blackburn W 107 - 84

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Natalya Kaza - 18 34.2 21.1 6.2 1.6 2.6 0.1 2.6 18.3 10.6 176 8.4 33.5 43.0 38.4 83.8 0.99 52.7 48.8
Kaysharia Woods - 16 30.8 12.9 3.0 4.1 2.2 0.0 5.1 12.2 4.8 38 2.4 7.5 33.8 31.1 73.0 -1.25 46.2 41.0
Molly Mason - 18 23.1 9.6 6.7 0.8 1.1 0.1 1.6 9.1 7.6 166 8.3 39.6 36.8 23.3 83.0 2.45 47.1 41.1
Savanna Lopez - 18 31.2 8.5 9.6 1.9 1.4 3.3 1.6 8.8 14.3 166 8.3 31.4 44.0 33.3 85.7 -1.7 46.3 44.3
Alyssa Abascal - 15 23.2 8.2 4.1 2.5 1.9 0.1 2.1 8.3 6.4 69 4.1 21.9 37.1 28.9 57.1 2.14 44.1 41.5
Camya Porter - 18 12.4 4.7 2.2 0.7 0.8 0.0 1.7 4.0 2.7 100 5.3 51.2 36.1 27.3 71.9 0.01 48.8 42.4
Paris Halliburton - 18 9.9 3.6 3.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 3.7 3.8 15 0.8 12.3 34.8 0.0 67.9 -0.81 41.5 34.8
Johanna Zocholl - 17 7.8 2.8 3.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.2 2.8 3.3 4 0.2 5.4 40.4 0 50.0 -1.64 43.0 40.4
Brooklyn Berry - 11 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.4 1.5 0.9 25 2.3 100.8 41.2 25.0 33.3 -1.26 49.1 50.0
Heidi Parrish - 9 4.2 1.6 1.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 2.0 0.8 8 0.8 43.7 33.3 14.3 33.3 -1.09 36.2 36.1
Olivia Wallace - 12 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.9 0.2 22 2.0 52.7 45.5 40.0 40.0 -0.54 53.0 54.5
Izabel Soto - 18 5.2 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.9 2.2 -0.7 32 1.8 49.5 17.9 17.9 0.0 0.08 23.6 24.4
Coi Bradley - 18 6.4 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.8 2.2 -0.3 29 1.5 49.5 17.9 7.7 100.0 -2.24 23.6 20.5
Jessie Stauffer - 2 1.8 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Christin Thibodeaux - 2 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Da'Myia Derby - 10 5.0 0.9 0.7 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.6 23 1.9 95.2 44.4 33.3 0 -1.09 50.0 50.0
Carsyn Gore - 13 4.3 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.3 0.2 6 0.5 13.5 23.5 18.2 50.0 -0.09 30.8 29.4
Presley Andrews - 15 4.1 0.7 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.9 13 0.8 25.9 40.0 50.0 0 -0.7 50.0 50.0
Niya Evans - 13 4.0 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 1.1 -0.2 22 1.7 45.8 28.6 11.1 0 -1.56 32.1 32.1
Maggye Adams - 14 2.8 0.6 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.0 0.5 22 1.4 83.4 7.1 0.0 75.0 -1.16 22.8 7.1
Olivia Jones - 9 3.2 0.6 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.6 1.4 -0.4 87 3.6 504.3 15.4 0.0 50.0 -2.05 18.0 15.4
De'Mya Smith - 1 9.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -1 -0.5 -8.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.03 0.0 0.0
Kyra Rosencran - 2 2.4 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.5 -1.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Presley Andews - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG