Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1015 (#147) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1034 (#144) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.2 (#132) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.470 (#373) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.487 (#226) | NetEff -0.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.714 (#317) | AdjNet +7.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.726 (#318) | AdjNet +8.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.632 (#302) | AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 60.6 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Christian Brothers | W | 76 - 62 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Trevecca Nazarene | W | 54 - 49 |
| 2024-11-15 | vs | Claflin | W | 61 - 55 |
| 2024-11-18 | @ | Valdosta St. | L | 57 - 64 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Eckerd | L | 52 - 60 |
| 2024-11-29 | @ | Livingstone | W | 87 - 74 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Nova Southeastern | L | 73 - 78 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Palm Beach Atl. | W | 67 - 58 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Tampa | L | 61 - 72 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Shaw | W | 74 - 57 |
| 2024-12-22 | vs | Bowie St. | W | 64 - 56 |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | Embry-Riddle (FL) | L | 52 - 63 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Fla. Southern | W | 74 - 63 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Florida Tech | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Rollins | W | 60 - 53 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Barry | L | 71 - 79 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Saint Leo | W | 67 - 65 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Palm Beach Atl. | L | 53 - 61 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Nova Southeastern | L | 61 - 73 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Tampa | L | 47 - 52 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Embry-Riddle (FL) | L | 58 - 63 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Fla. Southern | W | 78 - 67 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Florida Tech | W | 74 - 59 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Rollins | W | 65 - 62 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Barry | L | 70 - 78 |
| 2025-02-26 | vs | Saint Leo | L | 62 - 69 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Eckerd | L | 54 - 65 |
| 2025-03-04 | @ | Tampa | L | 62 - 77 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jess Knight | - | 28 | 28.7 | 15.5 | 8.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 11.4 | 12.2 | 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 47.8 | 0.0 | 79.6 | 0.25 | 55.6 | 47.8 |
| Danielle Montelbano | - | 28 | 35.1 | 10.0 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 7.1 | 10.2 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 44.0 | 42.9 | 71.0 | 0.15 | 53.7 | 45.5 |
| Trinity Mocadlo | - | 26 | 33.7 | 9.8 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 9.7 | 3.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.5 | 28.7 | 69.7 | -0.35 | 45.5 | 41.6 |
| Ella Fiore | - | 27 | 24.1 | 9.7 | 6.1 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 8.3 | 8.3 | -4 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 48.0 | 21.1 | 71.7 | 0.19 | 52.3 | 48.9 |
| Channing Chappell | - | 1 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | -19 | -0.7 | -0.9 | 60.0 | 66.7 | 0 | -0.22 | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Channing Chappell | - | 28 | 20.4 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 3.2 | -19 | -0.7 | -0.9 | 37.7 | 36.1 | 80.0 | -0.22 | 52.0 | 49.4 |
| Rachel Romich | - | 28 | 24.9 | 5.9 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 5.1 | 4.5 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 40.3 | 31.6 | 72.2 | 0.17 | 51.9 | 48.6 |
| Makayla Hemingway | - | 26 | 17.8 | 5.1 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 5.8 | 4.3 | -16 | -0.7 | -1.1 | 33.1 | 24.8 | 72.7 | -0.14 | 42.7 | 41.4 |
| Kaitlyn Parker | - | 28 | 8.1 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 22 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 38.6 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 0.19 | 41.3 | 40.9 |
| Karishma Ortiz | - | 28 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | -32 | -1.0 | -3.9 | 45.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | -0.19 | 56.8 | 59.1 |
| Katie Tiffan | - | 26 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 40.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.12 | 46.0 | 50.0 |
| Alana Francis | - | 22 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | -38 | -1.9 | -5.8 | 12.5 | 0 | 60.0 | -0.52 | 24.5 | 12.5 |
| Lucile Dessart | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ava Byrne | - | 13 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Danigzy Mantilla | - | 25 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -26 | -1.4 | -5.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.1 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Katie Tiffin | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Gina Adams | - | 11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Lucille Dessart | - | 12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG