Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1069 (#108) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1065 (#153) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1020 (#240) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.8 (#194) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.7 (#355) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.470 (#373) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.474 (#288) | NetEff -0.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.714 (#317) | AdjNet +7.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.726 (#318) | AdjNet +8.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.632 (#302) | AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 60.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.498 (#365) | AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 61.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.536 (#322) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.539 (#319) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1047 (#199) | RD 99 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Christian Brothers | W | 68 - 52 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Trevecca Nazarene | L | 54 - 86 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Claflin | W | 68 - 64 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Rollins | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Valdosta St. | W | 76 - 65 |
| 2025-11-28 | @ | P.R.-Bayamon | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Lake Erie | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Palm Beach Atl. | W | 64 - 62 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Eckerd | L | 54 - 65 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Fla. Southern | L | 57 - 83 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Tampa | L | 55 - 75 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Bowie St. | L | 63 - 73 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Ave Maria | W | 79 - 56 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Saint Leo | W | 68 - 60 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Embry-Riddle (FL) | L | 59 - 73 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Barry | W | 51 - 34 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Nova Southeastern | L | 62 - 67 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Fla. Southern | L | 50 - 73 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Rollins | W | 52 - 45 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Palm Beach Atl. | L | 67 - 70 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Saint Leo | W | 84 - 68 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Barry | W | 73 - 63 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trinity Mocadlo | - | 21 | 34.5 | 15.2 | 5.7 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 13.3 | 9.0 | 49 | 2.3 | 8.1 | 36.9 | 29.6 | 69.8 | 1.88 | 49.1 | 44.1 |
| Angelina Deleon | - | 20 | 29.6 | 11.3 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 6.3 | 9.6 | 12 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 47.2 | 37.0 | 64.9 | 0.16 | 61.0 | 55.1 |
| Hannah Wentworth | - | 21 | 37.7 | 11.3 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 11.1 | 4.9 | 25 | 1.2 | 3.9 | 32.6 | 31.4 | 70.3 | 0.69 | 47.5 | 45.3 |
| Tessa Oleary | - | 8 | 17.7 | 10.2 | 5.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 6.4 | 9.1 | 37 | 5.3 | 31.2 | 62.7 | 42.9 | 88.2 | 1.33 | 70.1 | 65.7 |
| Katie Tiffan | - | 21 | 22.6 | 6.8 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 5.7 | 6.4 | -7 | -0.3 | -2.8 | 44.2 | 37.1 | 68.6 | -1.45 | 52.8 | 49.6 |
| Emily Jean-Glaude | - | 19 | 16.3 | 6.4 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 5.2 | 7.1 | 31 | 1.6 | 8.2 | 46.9 | 33.3 | 62.2 | 1.6 | 52.9 | 50.0 |
| Serena Baker | - | 15 | 18.3 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 25 | 1.7 | 20.8 | 25.3 | 16.7 | 58.1 | 0.34 | 33.5 | 27.8 |
| Karishma Ortiz | - | 18 | 12.1 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 2.3 | -14 | -0.8 | -6.0 | 39.0 | 20.0 | 46.2 | 0.66 | 43.9 | 42.7 |
| Dianka Hardisson | - | 4 | 23.0 | 2.2 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 23.1 | 20.0 | 50.0 | -0.78 | 30.5 | 26.9 |
| Alana Francis | - | 20 | 11.1 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 3.0 | -38 | -1.9 | -21.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -1.71 | 48.1 | 50.0 |
| Danigzy Mantilla | - | 21 | 13.1 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 15 | 0.7 | 6.0 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 54.5 | -0.24 | 40.3 | 34.3 |
| Kennedi Neale | - | 15 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 0.7 | -4 | -0.3 | -5.9 | 29.0 | 15.0 | 75.0 | -0.56 | 36.6 | 33.9 |
| Phantasia Lauriston | - | 4 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | -1.0 | 7 | 2.3 | 56.0 | 20.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.07 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Peyton Guay | - | 4 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 5 | 1.7 | 21.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.52 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG