Lynchburg
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 915 (#385) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 943 (#319) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.3 (#196) | HCA +2.4 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-08 | vs | Marymount (VA) | L | 44 - 76 |
| 2023-11-10 | vs | Bob Jones | W | 66 - 64 |
| 2023-11-15 | @ | Randolph | L | 40 - 64 |
| 2023-11-18 | @ | Juniata | W | 65 - 58 |
| 2023-11-19 | vs | Salisbury | W | 74 - 57 |
| 2023-11-29 | vs | Roanoke | L | 52 - 60 |
| 2023-12-02 | @ | Wash. & Lee | L | 69 - 96 |
| 2023-12-06 | @ | Ferrum | W | 66 - 53 |
| 2023-12-09 | vs | Guilford | L | 78 - 80 |
| 2023-12-16 | vs | Bridgewater (VA) | L | 56 - 66 |
| 2023-12-29 | vs | Wilson | W | 104 - 46 |
| 2023-12-30 | @ | N.C. Wesleyan | W | 89 - 59 |
| 2024-01-03 | vs | Randolph-Macon | W | 69 - 63 |
| 2024-01-05 | @ | Mary Washington | L | 36 - 83 |
| 2024-01-10 | @ | East. Mennonite | W | 79 - 49 |
| 2024-01-13 | vs | Averett | W | 79 - 54 |
| 2024-01-17 | vs | Hollins | W | 78 - 48 |
| 2024-01-20 | @ | Shenandoah | L | 59 - 69 |
| 2024-01-24 | @ | Va. Wesleyan | W | 71 - 57 |
| 2024-01-31 | vs | Wash. & Lee | L | 62 - 75 |
| 2024-02-03 | @ | Hollins | W | 72 - 33 |
| 2024-02-07 | vs | Ferrum | L | 64 - 67 |
| 2024-02-10 | @ | Guilford | L | 61 - 90 |
| 2024-02-14 | @ | Averett | W | 90 - 58 |
| 2024-02-17 | vs | Va. Wesleyan | W | 74 - 40 |
| 2024-02-20 | vs | East. Mennonite | W | 67 - 52 |
| 2024-02-23 | @ | Shenandoah | L | 42 - 55 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BREE SPAINHOUR | - | 2 | 24.0 | 10.0 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | -35 | -2.5 | -3.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.2 | 57.1 | 50.0 |
| Lettie Michaels | - | 2 | 24.0 | 9.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 40.0 | 100.0 | - | 71.3 | 66.7 |
| BROOKE CASON | - | 2 | 18.5 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 5.0 | -38 | -2.7 | -2.9 | 54.5 | 55.6 | 0.0 | -0.0 | 71.5 | 77.3 |
| MACEY MULLINS | - | 2 | 27.5 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 29.4 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 0.26 | 37.3 | 35.3 |
| SAYRE BRANDSTATTER | - | 2 | 24.5 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 16.7 | 60.0 | 0.09 | 42.3 | 37.5 |
| KACEY KELLY | - | 2 | 19.5 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.02 | 31.6 | 20.0 |
| OLIVIA HARRIS | - | 2 | 17.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 10.0 | 14.3 | 100.0 | 0.05 | 29.8 | 15.0 |
| SAMMI SEVER | - | 2 | 17.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 16.7 | 100.0 | 0.14 | 27.2 | 20.8 |
| ASHLEY VANDERGRIFT | - | 1 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -2.0 | -9 | -1.3 | -5.0 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| TAYLOR GANTT | - | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.44 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| TAYLOR BROWN | - | 2 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 88 | 2.7 | 4.4 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.63 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| MCKENZIE BRUNDAGE | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| DARCY ROSS | - | 2 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| ALLYSON BOOTH | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| KAYLA TERRY | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| KAYLA SLEDGE | - | 2 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 14 | 1.8 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.55 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| LETTIE MICHAEL | - | 2 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | -1.0 | -56 | -5.1 | -5.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.57 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG