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Lynchburg

Season:
Also known as: Lynchburg Hornets
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1075 (#83) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1064 (#153) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -1.8 (#147) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.449 (#502) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -3.2 More → 0.408 (#341) NetEff -3.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.3 More → 0.434 (#383) AdjNet -2.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.2 More → 0.466 (#365) AdjNet -1.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 76.2 More → 0.478 (#364) AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 76.2

2025 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2025 Roster

No roster data available for this season.