Lycoming
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1008 (#237) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 897 (#472) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 882 (#628) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -17.9 (#344) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -17.8 (#584) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.124 (#621) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.095 (#490) | NetEff -15.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.080 (#558) | AdjNet -21.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.069 (#564) | AdjNet -21.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.222 (#558) | AdjO 55.3 | AdjD 69.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.220 (#652) | AdjO 52.2 | AdjD 66.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.192 (#603) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.189 (#614) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 890 (#428) | RD 102 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | vs | Franklin & Marshall | L | 38 - 73 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Valley Forge | W | 83 - 36 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Wilkes | W | 71 - 40 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Catholic | L | 44 - 92 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Penn St.-Altoona | L | 49 - 69 |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Penn St.-Berks | W | 73 - 30 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Goucher | L | 48 - 60 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Elmira | W | 72 - 55 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Misericordia | W | 60 - 52 |
| 2026-01-11 | vs | Moravian | L | 36 - 51 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Scranton | L | 36 - 88 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Elizabethtown | L | 48 - 72 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Juniata | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Catholic | L | 45 - 97 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Wilkes | W | 65 - 58 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Drew | L | 46 - 53 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Goucher | L | 62 - 67 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Susquehanna | L | 39 - 89 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Fisher | - | 18 | 29.1 | 10.9 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 3.1 | 11.8 | 4.5 | -94 | -4.5 | -20.1 | 31.9 | 30.8 | 68.2 | -0.93 | 44.0 | 42.5 |
| Jocelyn McCracken | - | 18 | 28.5 | 9.2 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 9.7 | 7.2 | -90 | -4.3 | -19.9 | 40.6 | 0.0 | 74.2 | -1.1 | 43.7 | 40.6 |
| Kami Abdo | - | 18 | 26.9 | 7.8 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 7.5 | 4.2 | -48 | -2.3 | -13.7 | 32.6 | 32.4 | 80.6 | 1.58 | 46.7 | 41.5 |
| Ann-Marie McMurtrie | - | 18 | 28.2 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 6.8 | 6.4 | -133 | -6.3 | -31.5 | 34.4 | 29.4 | 77.8 | -3.08 | 41.6 | 38.5 |
| Alyssa Reisinger | - | 16 | 17.2 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4.6 | 2.4 | -33 | -1.8 | -29.6 | 39.2 | 0.0 | 67.9 | -0.1 | 44.6 | 39.2 |
| Summer Emlet | - | 18 | 18.6 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.7 | 4.1 | -29 | -1.4 | -12.1 | 33.3 | 26.8 | 61.5 | -2.87 | 43.5 | 39.9 |
| Victoria Burton | - | 16 | 17.3 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 4.4 | 1.8 | -77 | -4.1 | -27.1 | 31.0 | 0 | 78.6 | -0.58 | 35.6 | 31.0 |
| Lena Walker | - | 12 | 7.6 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.9 | 1.2 | -64 | -4.6 | -151.9 | 37.1 | 26.7 | 60.0 | -1.75 | 45.7 | 42.9 |
| Sydnie Stone | - | 18 | 17.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 2.9 | -59 | -2.8 | -20.4 | 27.0 | 12.5 | 68.2 | -1.74 | 34.4 | 27.8 |
| Ciara O'Hara | - | 16 | 9.7 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 1.1 | -15 | -0.8 | -10.1 | 28.6 | 20.0 | 71.4 | -2.05 | 43.3 | 30.0 |
| Gabrielle Mazzotte | - | 12 | 6.3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 0.6 | 15.1 | 30.4 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.99 | 35.1 | 30.4 |
| Anna Delaney | - | 2 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.85 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Katie Bena | - | 6 | 7.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | -1.2 | -47 | -6.7 | -65.3 | 9.1 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.08 | 13.6 | 13.6 |
| Karli DaCosta | - | 4 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | -10 | -1.7 | -100.4 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.34 | 17.0 | 20.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG