Luther
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 980 (#280) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 954 (#303) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.6 (#95) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.630 (#385) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.870 (#94) | NetEff +15.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.722 (#308) | AdjNet +8.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.724 (#305) | AdjNet +8.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.598 (#302) | AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 65.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Crown (MN) | W | 78 - 28 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Northwestern-St. Paul | W | 83 - 59 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | North Central (MN) | W | 84 - 54 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Saint Mary's (MN) | W | 90 - 59 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Wartburg | L | 62 - 78 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Dubuque | W | 64 - 51 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | W | 63 - 47 |
| 2024-12-10 | vs | Martin Luther | L | 47 - 62 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Wis.-Superior | W | 72 - 58 |
| 2024-12-20 | @ | Cornell College | W | 75 - 67 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Carthage | L | 57 - 68 |
| 2024-12-31 | @ | Rockford | W | 89 - 64 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Buena Vista | W | 99 - 63 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Coe | W | 70 - 58 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Simpson | W | 84 - 83 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Loras | L | 67 - 92 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Central (IA) | L | 63 - 72 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | W | 86 - 57 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Wartburg | L | 64 - 75 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Buena Vista | W | 85 - 50 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Dubuque | L | 67 - 73 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Simpson | L | 83 - 88 |
| 2025-02-13 | vs | Coe | W | 81 - 68 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Loras | W | 80 - 73 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Central (IA) | W | 65 - 48 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Dubuque | W | 69 - 53 |
| 2025-02-27 | @ | Wartburg | L | 56 - 77 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haylie Strum | - | 27 | 33.4 | 15.8 | 4.4 | 5.8 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 11.4 | 15.3 | -13 | -0.5 | -0.4 | 55.8 | 33.3 | 78.8 | -0.11 | 62.1 | 58.9 |
| Kailey Jones | - | 27 | 31.6 | 15.7 | 12.8 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 11.5 | 17.1 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 55.3 | 33.3 | 82.3 | -0.01 | 61.3 | 57.7 |
| Natalie Beaver | - | 27 | 27.5 | 12.9 | 6.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 10.2 | 10.2 | 47 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 50.7 | 39.4 | 60.0 | -0.18 | 58.2 | 57.4 |
| Kate Hosking | - | 27 | 31.4 | 10.5 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 10.0 | 6.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.4 | 32.5 | 76.7 | 0.04 | 47.9 | 44.1 |
| Nastya Cicala | - | 27 | 16.4 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 14 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 36.1 | 36.0 | 0 | -0.28 | 52.9 | 52.9 |
| Lexi Thomas | - | 27 | 11.6 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 4.5 | 1.0 | -17 | -0.6 | -1.0 | 27.3 | 25.3 | 66.7 | -0.01 | 37.6 | 36.8 |
| Kenlin Schmitt | - | 26 | 10.7 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 3.8 | -20 | -0.8 | -1.8 | 46.5 | 0.0 | 69.2 | -0.27 | 50.9 | 46.5 |
| Katie Hardtke | - | 27 | 13.4 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.4 | 2.0 | -30 | -1.1 | -1.7 | 32.3 | 24.6 | 75.0 | -0.66 | 41.2 | 40.3 |
| Nora Pederson | - | 27 | 10.0 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 0.8 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 33.9 | 22.2 | 75.0 | 0.03 | 43.5 | 38.7 |
| Ava Highman | - | 25 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 23.1 | 50.0 | - | 43.7 | 43.2 |
| Kayla Will | - | 24 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | -17 | -1.7 | -9.8 | 46.7 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.24 | 47.7 | 46.7 |
| Kenai Holien | - | 25 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -0.36 | 90.2 | 83.3 |
| Teagan Schaefer | - | 26 | 2.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 6 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 21.4 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.17 | 26.9 | 28.6 |
| Abby Anderson | - | 25 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.08 | 77.3 | 66.7 |
| Olivia Haukoos | - | 26 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 25.8 | 0.0 |
| Faith Pavlos | - | 26 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Abigail Panka | - | 24 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Ella Franck | - | 22 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8 | 0.8 | 3.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Kadence Popejoy | - | 22 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG