Lubbock Christian
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1213 (#24) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1234 (#26) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1133 (#48) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +15.1 (#43) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +19.0 (#105) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.857 (#207) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.831 (#166) | NetEff +13.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.966 (#129) | AdjNet +28.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.969 (#127) | AdjNet +29.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.840 (#133) | AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 53.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.758 (#46) | AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 55.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.849 (#60) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.842 (#55) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1229 (#32) | RD 108 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | vs | Adams St. | W | 66 - 57 |
| 2025-11-02 | vs | Missouri Western | W | 82 - 75 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Colo. Christian | W | 63 - 53 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | CSU Pueblo | W | 61 - 42 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Southern Nazarene | W | 72 - 49 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Southern Ark. | W | 73 - 61 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Southwestern Okla. | W | 62 - 61 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | UT Permian Basin | W | 65 - 59 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Angelo St. | W | 77 - 59 |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Okla. Christian | W | 63 - 55 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Cameron | W | 61 - 45 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | UCCS | L | 67 - 71 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | St. Edward's | W | 70 - 54 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | West Tex. A&M | L | 59 - 70 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Eastern N.M. | W | 77 - 63 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | UT Tyler | L | 45 - 55 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Cameron | W | 73 - 47 |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | Midwestern St. | W | 89 - 69 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Texas-Dallas | W | 68 - 44 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Texas Woman's | L | 53 - 67 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy Chappell | - | 20 | 33.6 | 15.0 | 5.8 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 9.6 | 14.4 | 116 | 5.0 | 16.2 | 52.9 | 24.5 | 76.1 | 5.42 | 62.3 | 56.0 |
| Meg Meekins | - | 20 | 32.7 | 14.7 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 11.9 | 8.4 | 86 | 3.7 | 14.9 | 43.3 | 41.3 | 65.6 | 2.67 | 55.0 | 52.7 |
| Martie McCoy | - | 20 | 29.5 | 8.1 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 6.2 | 8.2 | 60 | 2.5 | 10.3 | 37.6 | 36.7 | 71.4 | -0.62 | 52.0 | 44.8 |
| Tia Johnson | - | 20 | 20.8 | 6.8 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 6.3 | 4.3 | 19 | 0.8 | 3.7 | 39.4 | 30.2 | 92.3 | 0.39 | 49.5 | 44.5 |
| Kimber Mathews | - | 14 | 12.5 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 38 | 2.5 | 11.8 | 52.2 | 36.8 | 50.0 | 1.59 | 59.6 | 59.8 |
| Taylor Allen | - | 20 | 15.4 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 62 | 2.6 | 15.5 | 42.6 | 37.5 | 63.3 | -1.41 | 57.3 | 53.7 |
| Maddie Moyers | - | 19 | 8.8 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 38 | 1.7 | 14.3 | 45.3 | 41.9 | 66.7 | 1.07 | 63.2 | 62.3 |
| Raegan Lee | - | 20 | 15.1 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 4.2 | 15 | 0.7 | 5.2 | 49.1 | 36.4 | 100.0 | 2.0 | 61.7 | 59.6 |
| Mattie Dollar | - | 15 | 8.4 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 2.3 | -7 | -0.4 | -4.5 | 39.5 | 23.1 | 70.0 | -0.13 | 50.2 | 43.4 |
| Kyndle Cunningham | - | 19 | 12.4 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 98 | 4.5 | 38.9 | 36.5 | 27.3 | 81.8 | 3.68 | 46.6 | 42.3 |
| Deja Johnson | - | 20 | 9.5 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 9 | 0.4 | 5.8 | 50.0 | 37.5 | 80.0 | 1.48 | 65.4 | 55.4 |
| Ally Ihler | - | 15 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 0.4 | 5.5 | 35.3 | 12.5 | 100.0 | 0.28 | 46.9 | 38.2 |
| Kaitlyn McAdoo | - | 10 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | -0.2 | -9 | -0.9 | -20.9 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.71 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Kaelie Massenburg | - | 10 | 3.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | -0.1 | -17 | -1.7 | -36.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.46 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Taylor Thomas | - | 9 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | -0.3 | -16 | -1.8 | -320.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.55 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG