Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 937 (#204) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 955 (#197) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 981 (#192) | HCA +72 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.0 (#217) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.8 (#244) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.373 (#203) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.296 (#215) | AdjNet -7.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.285 (#218) | AdjNet -7.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.397 (#213) | AdjO 59.1 | AdjD 63.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.448 (#201) | AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 62.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.374 (#215) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.384 (#217) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 928 (#220) | RD 133 | GP 30 |
2013 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-09 | @ | Tulane Green Wave | L | 59 - 66 |
| 2012-11-12 | vs | South Carolina Gamecocks | L | 58 - 82 |
| 2012-11-16 | @ | Mississippi State Bulldogs | L | 55 - 57 |
| 2012-11-20 | vs | Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | W | 65 - 63 |
| 2012-12-01 | vs | Ole Miss Rebels | W | 57 - 54 |
| 2012-12-04 | @ | Texas A&M Aggies | L | 26 - 77 |
| 2012-12-12 | vs | McNeese Cowgirls | W | 52 - 50 |
| 2012-12-14 | vs | Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | W | 61 - 59 |
| 2012-12-16 | @ | LSU Tigers | L | 55 - 77 |
| 2012-12-29 | @ | Denver Pioneers | W | 82 - 77 |
| 2012-12-31 | @ | New Mexico State Aggies | L | 67 - 71 |
| 2013-01-05 | vs | UT Arlington Mavericks | W | 65 - 58 |
| 2013-01-10 | vs | Texas State Bobcats | W | 71 - 58 |
| 2013-01-12 | vs | UTSA Roadrunners | L | 50 - 51 |
| 2013-01-17 | @ | Idaho Vandals | W | 67 - 58 |
| 2013-01-19 | @ | Seattle U Redhawks | L | 47 - 64 |
| 2013-01-24 | vs | San José State Spartans | W | 94 - 80 |
| 2013-01-26 | vs | Utah State Aggies | L | 75 - 76 |
| 2013-01-30 | @ | Little Rock Trojans | L | 52 - 74 |
| 2013-02-02 | @ | UT Arlington Mavericks | W | 78 - 62 |
| 2013-02-07 | @ | UTSA Roadrunners | W | 79 - 73 |
| 2013-02-09 | @ | Texas State Bobcats | L | 63 - 68 |
| 2013-02-14 | vs | Seattle U Redhawks | L | 74 - 87 |
| 2013-02-16 | vs | Idaho Vandals | W | 64 - 62 |
| 2013-02-28 | @ | Utah State Aggies | L | 56 - 70 |
| 2013-03-02 | @ | San José State Spartans | L | 58 - 60 |
| 2013-03-07 | vs | New Mexico State Aggies | L | 56 - 66 |
| 2013-03-09 | vs | Denver Pioneers | W | 69 - 51 |
| 2013-03-13 | @ | UTSA Roadrunners | W | 85 - 58 |
| 2013-03-15 | @ | Seattle U Redhawks | L | 61 - 80 |
2013 Roster
No roster data available for this season.