Long Beach State
2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)
58.0
PPG
94.5
Opp
-36.5
Margin
36.3%
FG%
32.1%
3P%
64.3%
FT%
33.5
RPG
15.0
APG
15.5
TO
70.1
Est. poss./game
59.5
Adj PPG
76.8
Adj Opp PPG
#351
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 693 (#340) | Preseason prior 698 (returning production + recruiting): last season 848, returning -91, transfers -60, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 773 (#349) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 777 (#349) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -19.8 (#337) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -19.8 (#337) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.030 (#336) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.146 (#332) | AdjNet -22.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.148 (#331) | AdjNet -21.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.165 (#351) | AdjO 59.5 | AdjD 76.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.166 (#351) | AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 76.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.146 (#345) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.146 (#345) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 766 (#340) | RD 199 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.112 (#344) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | @ | California Golden Bears | L | 46 - 100 |
| 2026-11-09 | vs | Santa Clara Broncos | L | 70 - 89 |
| 2026-11-14 | @ | Portland Pilots | - | Postponed |
| 2026-11-19 | @ | San Francisco Dons | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | @ | San José State Spartans | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Noemi Arvai
|
F | 2 | 32.5 | 15.5 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 11.0 | 11.5 | -53 | 2 | -26.5 | -32.6 | 54.5 | 40.0 | 75.0 | -1.44 | 65.2 | 63.6 |
Kailyn Berry
|
F | 2 | 25.0 | 11.5 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 14.0 | 5.0 | -57 | 2 | -28.5 | -45.1 | 32.1 | 20.0 | 75.0 | -3.04 | 38.6 | 35.7 |
Amber Furch
|
G | 2 | 27.5 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.5 | 4.0 | -41 | 2 | -20.5 | -30.1 | 35.3 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 0.35 | 42.6 | 38.2 |
Ebony Taylor-Smith
|
G | 2 | 23.0 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.5 | 0.5 | -26 | 2 | -13.0 | -23.1 | 33.3 | 35.7 | 0 | -1.29 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Danijela Kujovic
|
F | 2 | 23.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 6.5 | -25 | 2 | -12.5 | -22.0 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 0.0 | -1.93 | 38.8 | 41.7 |
Lucia Chico Fernandez
|
G | 2 | 24.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -72 | 2 | -36.0 | -58.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -5.53 | 58.3 | 58.3 |
Rosie Akot
|
F | 2 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 8.0 | 0.5 | -53 | 2 | -26.5 | -53.2 | 18.8 | 0.0 | 0 | -4.89 | 18.8 | 18.8 |
Fia Proctor
|
F | 2 | 10.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | -9 | 2 | -4.5 | -16.8 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.81 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
Aryanna Reyes
|
G | 2 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -2 | 2 | -1.0 | -13.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.67 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
Ashanti Dias
|
G | 1 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | -25 | 1 | -25.0 | -49.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -3.27 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Lara Perian
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Selene Romero
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Malia Taulani
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | 1 | -2.0 | -28.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.91 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
124 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Noemi ArvaiKailyn BerryEbony Taylor-SmithAmber FurchDanijela KujovicRosie AkotFia Proctor
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 22-41 | 53.7 | 44 | Kailyn Berry 27% (12 pts) | Noemi Arvai 27% (12 pts) | Rosie Akot 26% (5 misses) | Ashanti Dias 16% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 3-20 | 15.0 | 6 | Danijela Kujovic 33% (2 pts) | Kailyn Berry 33% (2 pts) | Amber Furch 35% (6 misses) | Rosie Akot 29% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-7 | 28.6 | 4 | Amber Furch 50% (2 pts) | Noemi Arvai 50% (2 pts) | Kailyn Berry 80% (4 misses) | Noemi Arvai 20% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-1 | 100.0 | 2 | Fia Proctor 100% (2 pts) | - | - | - |
| Mid-range right | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Amber Furch 50% (1 misses) | Ashanti Dias 50% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Noemi Arvai 67% (2 misses) | Ebony Taylor-Smith 33% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-4 | 25.0 | 3 | Noemi Arvai 100% (3 pts) | - | Ebony Taylor-Smith 67% (2 misses) | Kailyn Berry 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 7-20 | 35.0 | 21 | Danijela Kujovic 29% (6 pts) | Noemi Arvai 29% (6 pts) | Noemi Arvai 31% (4 misses) | Kailyn Berry 23% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 4-7 | 57.1 | 12 | Ebony Taylor-Smith 50% (6 pts) | Lucia Chico Fernandez 25% (3 pts) | Amber Furch 33% (1 misses) | Ebony Taylor-Smith 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 5-19 | 26.3 | 15 | Ebony Taylor-Smith 40% (6 pts) | Kailyn Berry 40% (6 pts) | Danijela Kujovic 36% (5 misses) | Kailyn Berry 29% (4 misses) |