Lock Haven
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1028 (#130) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1043 (#131) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.6 (#117) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.853 (#211) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.862 (#84) | NetEff +14.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.823 (#263) | AdjNet +13.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.832 (#260) | AdjNet +13.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.684 (#265) | AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 59.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Concord | W | 84 - 67 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Fairmont St. | L | 70 - 78 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Frostburg St. | W | 82 - 78 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Roberts Wesleyan | W | 65 - 45 |
| 2024-11-22 | @ | Pitt.-Johnstown | W | 73 - 54 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Indiana (PA) | L | 50 - 67 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Georgian Court | W | 79 - 43 |
| 2024-12-06 | vs | Clarion | W | 79 - 54 |
| 2024-12-13 | @ | Felician | W | 63 - 52 |
| 2024-12-17 | @ | Edinboro | L | 70 - 72 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Gannon | W | 69 - 67 |
| 2025-01-03 | vs | Kutztown | L | 66 - 68 |
| 2025-01-06 | @ | West Chester | W | 83 - 73 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | East Stroudsburg | L | 54 - 64 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Shepherd | W | 74 - 54 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Mansfield | W | 65 - 43 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Shippensburg | W | 64 - 56 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Millersville | W | 81 - 51 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Bloomsburg | W | 66 - 47 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | West Chester | L | 43 - 58 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Kutztown | L | 69 - 70 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Shippensburg | W | 65 - 57 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Mansfield | W | 93 - 50 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Shepherd | W | 71 - 60 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Millersville | W | 54 - 47 |
| 2025-02-26 | vs | Bloomsburg | L | 51 - 65 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | East Stroudsburg | W | 61 - 57 |
| 2025-03-05 | vs | Bloomsburg | W | 70 - 64 |
| 2025-03-08 | @ | Edinboro | L | 65 - 74 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiera Baughman | - | 29 | 29.1 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 10.0 | 8.3 | 39 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 43.3 | 36.2 | 85.2 | -0.33 | 57.8 | 49.8 |
| Jenadia Jordan | - | 29 | 31.9 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 11.7 | 8.5 | -9 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 39.4 | 23.9 | 78.5 | 0.74 | 48.8 | 43.2 |
| Madeline Evans | - | 29 | 29.7 | 11.5 | 10.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 7.3 | 15.4 | -10 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 49.8 | 11.1 | 77.2 | 0.73 | 59.4 | 50.0 |
| Alana Robinson | - | 29 | 27.5 | 11.1 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 11.2 | 9.3 | 13 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 43.3 | 0.0 | 71.9 | 1.06 | 46.0 | 43.3 |
| Rhlyn Rouse | - | 28 | 20.4 | 9.6 | 6.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 8.3 | 7.0 | -52 | -1.5 | -1.8 | 46.8 | 36.4 | 64.4 | -0.27 | 50.7 | 47.6 |
| Nufi Nemale-djiegoue | - | 3 | 10.7 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -0.7 | -20 | -0.5 | -0.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.29 | 35.8 | 33.3 |
| Sydney Lear | - | 29 | 11.0 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 2.2 | -47 | -1.2 | -2.6 | 30.9 | 33.3 | 80.0 | 0.67 | 47.8 | 35.3 |
| Olivia Smith | - | 29 | 26.8 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 43 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 31.7 | 33.3 | 43.8 | -0.14 | 37.3 | 35.8 |
| Adaliz Corbin | - | 28 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.9 | -17 | -0.8 | -3.9 | 36.0 | 38.5 | 40.0 | -0.39 | 46.0 | 46.0 |
| Kiahna Jones | - | 28 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | -19 | -1.2 | -16.4 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.02 | 72.7 | 66.7 |
| Bella Soto | - | 28 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | -4 | -0.4 | -1.9 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.31 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Samayoa Yordana | - | 28 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jenna Pizzoli | - | 27 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 26.2 | 0.0 |
| Summer Tillett | - | 23 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Olivia Moyer | - | 21 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Gabby Maldonado | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG