Lock Haven
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1131 (#72) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1093 (#99) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1177 (#27) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.4 (#101) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +10.3 (#208) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.853 (#211) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.874 (#151) | NetEff +14.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.823 (#263) | AdjNet +13.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.832 (#260) | AdjNet +13.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.684 (#265) | AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 59.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.697 (#88) | AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 56.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.764 (#128) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.773 (#113) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1215 (#38) | RD 97 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Fairmont St. | L | 70 - 77 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Concord | L | 68 - 77 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Davis & Elkins | W | 88 - 48 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Frostburg St. | W | 86 - 59 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Edinboro | L | 62 - 70 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Seton Hill | L | 85 - 98 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | California (PA) | W | 77 - 60 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Slippery Rock | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Penn St.-Altoona | W | 56 - 51 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Gannon | L | 51 - 74 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Kutztown | W | 60 - 46 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Mansfield | W | 91 - 41 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Millersville | W | 79 - 48 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | East Stroudsburg | W | 76 - 47 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | West Chester | W | 73 - 50 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Shippensburg | W | 81 - 50 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Shepherd | W | 59 - 58 |
| 2026-02-02 | vs | Bloomsburg | W | 70 - 56 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Mansfield | W | 75 - 55 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Kutztown | W | 65 - 54 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alana Robinson | - | 20 | 31.2 | 15.5 | 6.3 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 12.6 | 13.8 | 221 | 10.0 | 39.2 | 47.6 | 0.0 | 73.7 | 4.77 | 52.8 | 47.6 |
| Madeline Evans | - | 20 | 32.1 | 14.7 | 12.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 7.3 | 19.9 | 231 | 10.5 | 33.4 | 51.7 | 45.5 | 82.9 | 4.86 | 66.8 | 53.4 |
| Jenadia Jordan | - | 20 | 30.8 | 12.1 | 5.6 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 9.8 | 13.2 | 191 | 8.7 | 29.8 | 41.8 | 28.3 | 64.3 | 1.28 | 50.6 | 45.7 |
| Rhlyn Rouse | - | 20 | 26.8 | 11.8 | 8.7 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 10.6 | 8.8 | 84 | 3.8 | 14.6 | 42.0 | 23.1 | 68.4 | -2.1 | 47.6 | 42.7 |
| Nufi Nemale-Djiegoue | - | 18 | 20.2 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 6.0 | 2.1 | 85 | 4.2 | 17.7 | 31.5 | 34.2 | 70.0 | 1.19 | 46.7 | 44.0 |
| Sydney Lear | - | 20 | 15.5 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 101 | 4.6 | 27.4 | 28.6 | 23.3 | 85.7 | 0.46 | 43.1 | 33.6 |
| Erin Miller | - | 4 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 3.5 | -43 | -6.1 | -2517.1 | 54.5 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.44 | 58.9 | 54.5 |
| Julia Whesper | - | 20 | 19.5 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 4.5 | 24 | 1.1 | 5.6 | 35.4 | 32.4 | 60.0 | -1.46 | 51.5 | 46.9 |
| Lacey Kriebel | - | 20 | 13.2 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 53 | 2.4 | 24.3 | 28.6 | 29.5 | 75.0 | 0.07 | 42.5 | 41.4 |
| Mariah Shue | - | 4 | 6.6 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 13 | 2.6 | 84.8 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -1.43 | 38.8 | 37.5 |
| Bella Soto | - | 7 | 13.8 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 44 | 5.5 | 141.6 | 25.0 | 40.0 | 100.0 | -0.56 | 37.5 | 31.2 |
| Kiahna Jones | - | 10 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 16 | 1.5 | 112.3 | 57.1 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.02 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Ahmirie Hopson | - | 13 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 26 | 1.9 | 135.9 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.88 | 27.2 | 25.0 |
| Rain Collins | - | 7 | 4.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 10 | 1.4 | 96.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.74 | 26.0 | 0.0 |
| Summer Tillett | - | 1 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG