🐻⬇️🏀

Lock Haven

Also known as: Lock Haven
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 910 (#373) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 896 (#353) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -3.2 (#263) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.461 (#364) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -3.2 More → 0.411 (#258) NetEff -3.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.2 More → 0.505 (#416) AdjNet +0.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.2 More → 0.506 (#415) AdjNet +0.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 76.0 More → 0.502 (#417) AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 76.0

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Fayetteville St. L 66 - 87
2024-11-09 @ Bowie St. L 80 - 85
2024-11-12 @ Georgian Court W 78 - 75
2024-11-16 @ Roberts Wesleyan L 88 - 97
2024-11-19 vs Goldey-Beacom W 82 - 73
2024-11-22 @ Pitt.-Johnstown L 66 - 99
2024-11-23 @ Indiana (PA) L 70 - 80
2024-11-25 vs Wilmington (DE) W 74 - 66
2024-12-06 vs Clarion W 70 - 60
2024-12-17 @ Edinboro W 71 - 69
2024-12-21 vs Gannon L 84 - 89
2025-01-03 vs Kutztown W 69 - 66
2025-01-06 @ West Chester L 76 - 85
2025-01-11 vs East Stroudsburg W 76 - 67
2025-01-15 @ Shepherd L 64 - 73
2025-01-18 @ Mansfield L 77 - 81
2025-01-22 vs Shippensburg W 106 - 98
2025-01-25 vs Millersville W 73 - 70
2025-01-29 @ Bloomsburg W 103 - 96
2025-02-01 vs West Chester L 56 - 75
2025-02-05 @ Kutztown W 75 - 68
2025-02-08 @ Shippensburg W 83 - 75
2025-02-12 vs Mansfield L 90 - 95
2025-02-15 vs Shepherd W 67 - 62
2025-02-22 @ Millersville L 66 - 86
2025-02-26 vs Bloomsburg W 83 - 63
2025-03-01 @ East Stroudsburg W 94 - 89
2025-03-03 @ Millersville L 52 - 78

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Isaiah Stewart - 28 32.7 14.0 3.6 3.9 1.4 0.4 2.5 11.5 9.3 57 2.4 5.9 42.2 34.0 82.0 1.08 54.4 49.7
Eli Washington - 28 26.4 13.5 3.4 4.2 1.7 0.0 3.7 9.7 9.5 8 0.3 0.9 48.0 40.6 78.0 1.7 58.5 52.8
Kevin Coleman - 28 24.1 12.2 7.6 1.4 0.7 1.7 1.6 8.2 13.8 123 7.7 25.6 60.4 36.4 58.8 0.8 62.9 62.2
LaQuan Byrd - 28 14.7 6.5 2.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.8 5.1 3.8 -32 -2.0 -9.5 45.1 35.3 74.4 0.18 56.8 53.5
Dyllon Scott - 27 19.9 6.0 3.2 1.2 0.4 0.3 1.4 6.3 3.3 -38 -1.5 -12.0 30.6 27.9 68.0 0.29 42.2 37.6
Bryson Scott - 27 20.2 5.8 3.9 0.8 0.5 0.4 1.7 4.9 4.8 71 4.7 21.3 40.2 17.4 69.4 0.46 49.3 43.2
Idris Ali - 28 16.7 5.4 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.8 4.4 4.4 24 1.7 8.3 38.5 30.0 71.9 0.19 50.6 43.4
Blake Deegan - 28 19.2 5.0 3.6 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.9 4.6 4.8 33 1.1 4.1 37.7 34.4 90.0 1.45 52.1 50.4
Gabe Springer - 28 14.7 4.9 3.2 0.4 0.3 0.6 1.2 3.2 5.1 -18 -0.8 -2.9 62.9 0 55.6 0.33 63.0 62.9
Mike Knouse - 28 12.7 2.6 2.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.4 3.2 1.9 1 0.0 0.2 25.6 22.6 81.2 0.56 37.6 33.3
Damon Gripp - 26 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1 0.3 12.5 25.0 33.3 50.0 -1.31 37.6 31.2
Chris Vazquez - 26 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 -30 -7.5 -375.0 30.0 0.0 50.0 -1.31 32.2 30.0
Chris Cornish - 26 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Jack Hanna - 27 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5 1.2 51.5 0 0 100.0 -1.23 113.6 0
Karson Dominick - 24 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG