Livingstone
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 891 (#455) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 797 (#501) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 900 (#615) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.1 (#259) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.6 (#492) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.203 (#489) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.213 (#361) | NetEff -9.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.275 (#478) | AdjNet -8.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.278 (#479) | AdjNet -8.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.371 (#485) | AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 71.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.339 (#583) | AdjO 61.1 | AdjD 68.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.247 (#567) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.267 (#557) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 911 (#359) | RD 109 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Clarion | L | 68 - 96 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Mansfield | L | 79 - 84 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Mount Olive | L | 56 - 66 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Catawba | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Newberry | L | 61 - 65 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | CarolinaU | W | 77 - 41 |
| 2025-12-05 | vs | Hampton | L | 66 - 82 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Bethune-Cookman | L | 67 - 88 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Virginia Union | L | 49 - 75 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Bowie St. | L | 65 - 74 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Barton | L | 70 - 74 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | UNC Greensboro | L | 39 - 94 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Bluefield St. | L | 92 - 97 |
| 2026-01-12 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | W | 85 - 71 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Augusta | L | 58 - 71 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Claflin | W | 56 - 50 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Fayetteville St. | L | 55 - 64 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Shaw | L | 58 - 66 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Johnson C. Smith | W | 76 - 67 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Johnson C. Smith | W | 63 - 51 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serenity Johnson | - | 1 | 18.0 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | -20 | -1.5 | -37.2 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 100.0 | -0.05 | 73.5 | 62.5 |
| Breasia Coit | - | 18 | 27.6 | 14.3 | 11.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 11.4 | 14.8 | 10 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 51.9 | 0.0 | 53.1 | -1.29 | 53.2 | 51.9 |
| Nielle Reaves | - | 12 | 29.9 | 12.4 | 6.7 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 12.2 | 8.9 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 40.1 | 36.7 | 65.0 | 2.08 | 47.8 | 46.3 |
| Jasiyah Crawford | - | 18 | 33.1 | 11.3 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 11.8 | 6.6 | -71 | -3.7 | -16.5 | 32.4 | 31.8 | 73.8 | -3.88 | 44.1 | 40.6 |
| Ny'Asia Green | - | 18 | 33.3 | 10.1 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 3.8 | 11.0 | 6.3 | 16 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 34.3 | 33.7 | 60.9 | 3.59 | 43.5 | 42.2 |
| Maya Robinson | - | 1 | 34.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | 29 | 2.4 | 21.9 | 37.5 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0.28 | 53.6 | 43.8 |
| Karimah Nix | - | 1 | 27.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 30 | 2.0 | 17.2 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | 2.49 | 72.7 | 66.7 |
| De'aisjah Somerville | - | 1 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | -12 | -0.9 | -24.0 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.18 | 48.3 | 37.5 |
| Nakeria Scales | - | 1 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | -2 | -0.2 | -5.7 | 60.0 | 0 | 37.5 | -0.24 | 52.8 | 60.0 |
| Boston Bates | - | 17 | 26.6 | 8.9 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 11.4 | 1.7 | -70 | -3.9 | -20.5 | 33.5 | 9.1 | 85.7 | 0.4 | 37.1 | 34.3 |
| Bruni Martinez | - | 1 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 72 | 4.8 | 37.1 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.98 | 25.2 | 20.0 |
| Ashley Gonzalez | - | 1 | 28.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 36 | 3.0 | 17.8 | 40.0 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0.75 | 59.5 | 60.0 |
| Ramsey Cureton | - | 1 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 12 | 0.7 | 8.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.94 | 86.8 | 100.0 |
| Damaria Moree | - | 18 | 23.1 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 5.6 | 3.8 | -58 | -3.1 | -23.3 | 32.7 | 0.0 | 58.3 | -2.11 | 37.2 | 32.7 |
| Jamyrah Cherry | - | 18 | 19.3 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 0.7 | -49 | -2.7 | -20.0 | 27.4 | 26.7 | 87.5 | -2.46 | 37.3 | 32.1 |
| Rachael Cherrington | - | 17 | 14.8 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 4.2 | 2.8 | -32 | -1.8 | -17.6 | 33.3 | 9.1 | 55.2 | -3.31 | 38.3 | 34.0 |
| Destiny Drakeford | - | 15 | 8.1 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.5 | -45 | -3.0 | -168.0 | 40.7 | 0 | 57.1 | -0.45 | 45.2 | 40.7 |
| Asha Shareef | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | -44 | -4.9 | -122.2 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Aniyah Scales | - | 2 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Sophia Brown | - | 2 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4 | -2.0 | -17.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.03 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyonna Kelly | - | 2 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | -1.5 | 13 | 4.3 | 400.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.58 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tanahia Hairston | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Hailey Blackwell | - | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 39 | 2.6 | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.22 | 0 | 0 |
| Robin Stevenson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Brianna Johnson | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -9 | -1.3 | -15.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.65 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Maya Gray | - | 1 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | -9 | -4.5 | -167.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.06 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG