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Livingstone

Also known as: Livingstone
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 936 (#420) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 829 (#484) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 900 (#615) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -10.2 (#306) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -8.6 (#492) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.203 (#489) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -9.3 More → 0.213 (#361) NetEff -9.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.4 More → 0.275 (#478) AdjNet -8.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.1 More → 0.278 (#479) AdjNet -8.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 71.0 More → 0.371 (#485) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 71.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.1 | AdjD 68.4 More → 0.339 (#583) AdjO 61.1 | AdjD 68.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.247 (#567) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.267 (#557) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 106 | GP 22 More → 895 (#370) RD 106 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Clarion - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Mansfield - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 @ Mount Olive - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 vs Catawba - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 @ Newberry - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 vs CarolinaU - Incomplete score
2025-12-05 vs Hampton - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Bethune-Cookman - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Virginia Union - Incomplete score
2025-12-15 @ Bowie St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 vs Barton - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 @ UNC Greensboro - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Bluefield St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-12 vs Elizabeth City St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-16 @ Augusta - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Claflin - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 vs Fayetteville St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ Shaw - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 @ Johnson C. Smith - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Johnson C. Smith - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Serenity Johnson - 1 18.0 15.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 7.0 -20 -1.5 -37.2 50.0 40.0 100.0 -0.89 73.5 62.5
Breasia Coit - 15 27.5 14.4 11.1 0.7 0.5 2.1 2.5 11.5 14.8 10 0.5 2.7 52.3 0.0 51.4 0.67 53.3 52.3
Nielle Reaves - 11 31.5 13.4 7.0 2.7 1.2 0.5 2.1 13.0 9.6 1 0.1 0.3 40.6 36.7 65.0 0.89 48.4 46.9
Jasiyah Crawford - 15 32.8 11.7 4.4 2.9 1.9 0.1 2.9 12.0 6.1 -71 -3.7 -16.5 32.8 30.4 75.0 -3.51 44.5 40.6
Ny'Asia Green - 15 32.6 10.1 5.3 3.9 1.7 0.5 3.9 10.2 7.3 16 0.8 3.5 37.3 35.1 61.1 5.47 46.9 45.8
Maya Robinson - 1 34.0 10.0 7.0 5.0 6.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 18.0 29 2.4 21.9 37.5 25.0 100.0 -1.32 53.6 43.8
Karimah Nix - 1 27.0 10.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 10.0 30 2.0 17.2 66.7 0 100.0 1.06 72.7 66.7
De'aisjah Somerville - 1 19.0 9.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 0.0 -12 -0.9 -24.0 37.5 0.0 100.0 -1.56 48.3 37.5
Nakeria Scales - 1 15.0 9.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 8.0 -2 -0.2 -5.7 60.0 0 37.5 1.23 52.8 60.0
Boston Bates - 14 27.7 8.6 5.1 1.3 1.0 0.1 3.0 11.4 1.6 -70 -3.9 -20.5 32.5 6.7 82.4 -2.76 35.8 33.1
Bruni Martinez - 1 22.0 8.0 13.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 15.0 8.0 72 4.8 37.1 20.0 0.0 100.0 3.85 25.2 20.0
Ashley Gonzalez - 1 28.0 7.0 6.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 14.0 36 3.0 17.8 40.0 66.7 50.0 -3.54 59.5 60.0
Ramsey Cureton - 1 9.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 12 0.7 8.9 100.0 0 50.0 0.6 86.8 100.0
Damaria Moree - 15 22.5 4.8 4.1 1.1 0.7 0.3 1.4 5.4 4.2 -58 -3.1 -23.3 33.3 0.0 58.1 -0.95 38.0 33.3
Jamyrah Cherry - 15 17.9 4.3 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.7 4.5 1.3 -49 -2.7 -20.0 31.3 34.8 87.5 -4.13 43.2 37.3
Rachael Cherrington - 14 16.5 4.2 2.4 1.8 1.4 0.0 1.9 4.8 3.1 -32 -1.8 -17.6 34.3 10.0 52.2 -2.34 38.3 35.1
Asha Shareef - 1 5.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 -44 -4.9 -122.2 25.0 0 0 -1.51 25.0 25.0
Destiny Drakeford - 12 7.2 1.2 1.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.0 -45 -3.0 -168.0 27.8 0 62.5 -1.66 34.9 27.8
Sophia Brown - 2 4.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 -4 -2.0 -17.6 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kyonna Kelly - 2 6.7 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 -1.5 13 4.3 400.0 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Aniyah Scales - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Maya Gray - 1 2.1 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -2.0 -9 -4.5 -167.4 0.0 0 0 2.47 0.0 0.0
Tanahia Hairston - 1 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 0.82 0.0 0.0
Hailey Blackwell - 1 17.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 39 2.6 19.2 0 0 0 1.32 0 0
Robin Stevenson - 1 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Brianna Johnson - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 -9 -1.3 -15.8 0.0 0 0 -0.56 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG