🐻⬇️🏀

Little Rock

Also known as: Little Rock
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1022 (#195) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1057 (#167) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +3.0 (#154) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.980 (#165) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.891 (#250) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +20.2 More → 0.940 (#54) NetEff +20.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.3 More → 0.766 (#287) AdjNet +10.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.3 More → 0.462 (#393) AdjNet -1.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.3 More → 0.750 (#295) AdjNet +9.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.8 More → 0.446 (#393) AdjNet -1.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 59.2 More → 0.636 (#283) AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 59.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 65.9 More → 0.501 (#373) AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 65.9

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Franciscan W 88 - 36
2024-11-16 vs Ferrum L 56 - 63
2024-11-17 @ Adrian W 62 - 52
2024-11-23 vs Bethany (WV) W 87 - 83
2024-11-26 vs Baldwin Wallace L 62 - 70
2024-12-02 vs Bry. & Strat. (Syr.) W 87 - 46
2024-12-04 @ Mount Aloysius W 73 - 51
2024-12-07 @ Alfred St. W 70 - 61
2024-12-11 vs Penn St.-Behrend L 60 - 74
2024-12-14 vs Chatham W 61 - 56
2024-12-17 @ Carnegie Mellon L 47 - 72
2024-12-20 @ Hiram W 60 - 54
2025-01-04 vs Pitt.-Bradford W 93 - 33
2025-01-11 @ Hilbert W 97 - 46
2025-01-15 vs Pitt.-Greensburg W 96 - 50
2025-01-18 @ Penn St.-Altoona W 67 - 56
2025-01-22 @ Carlow W 59 - 45
2025-01-25 vs Alfred St. W 86 - 54
2025-01-29 vs Mount Aloysius W 80 - 52
2025-02-01 @ Pitt.-Bradford W 82 - 67
2025-02-05 @ Penn St.-Behrend L 61 - 83
2025-02-08 vs Hilbert W 105 - 42
2025-02-12 @ Pitt.-Greensburg W 67 - 38
2025-02-19 vs Carlow W 76 - 59
2025-02-22 vs Penn St.-Altoona W 74 - 48
2025-02-28 vs Mount Aloysius W 76 - 59
2025-03-01 @ Penn St.-Behrend W 67 - 55
2025-03-07 @ Baldwin Wallace L 53 - 63

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Alexis Robison - 28 27.5 14.4 4.2 1.2 1.7 0.6 1.3 12.4 8.4 25 0.9 1.0 41.6 36.2 79.7 0.02 54.0 51.3
Dasja Anderson - 28 28.4 12.6 6.2 2.3 1.4 0.4 2.8 10.3 9.8 26 1.0 1.1 46.7 0.0 70.9 0.04 51.8 46.7
Jazmine Dunn - 28 32.0 12.1 5.0 4.7 2.8 0.3 2.3 11.5 10.9 43 1.2 1.3 37.2 29.4 78.4 0.53 46.9 41.8
Makayla Abram - 28 20.4 9.3 5.4 1.0 0.7 0.3 2.4 7.8 6.5 29 1.1 1.6 48.4 26.3 84.3 0.44 53.8 49.5
Kiyanna Dowling - 28 24.9 5.9 2.8 1.9 1.2 0.4 1.5 6.4 4.2 55 2.0 2.6 35.0 38.6 40.0 0.35 43.9 43.9
Avina Norman - 28 15.6 5.6 4.2 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.2 4.0 7.1 101 2.9 5.1 54.9 0 63.5 0.96 57.8 54.9
J'la Kizart - 1 14.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 8.0 47 1.3 1.7 50.0 0 0 0.66 50.0 50.0
Breanna Clemons - 28 13.5 3.6 2.0 1.0 1.2 0.2 0.6 2.6 4.9 11 0.4 0.8 48.6 50.0 59.6 -0.24 53.9 50.0
Nautica Burwell - 27 6.0 2.0 1.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 2.3 1.1 -9 -0.3 -0.6 32.3 15.0 75.0 -0.22 39.8 34.7
Emily Fisher - 6 0.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 - - - 100.0 100.0 50.0 -0.12 104.2 125.0
Mikayla Newsome - 25 2.3 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.6 - - - 36.4 0.0 62.5 - 41.1 36.4
Hannah Calderaro - 27 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.0 2 0.2 1.6 23.3 22.2 0.0 0.03 32.4 33.3
Danaeja James - 26 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 -6 -0.4 -1.5 42.9 0 50.0 -0.4 43.7 42.9
Anayla Jordan - 23 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 -0.2 - - - 23.1 10.0 0 - 26.9 26.9
Angelina Cortazzo - 7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kaitlyn Tavella - 25 1.1 0.0 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Kaitlyn Nease - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 0.5 0.7 0 0 0 -0.02 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG