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Lipscomb

2011-2012 Team Stats (3 games)

69.3
PPG
82.3
Opp
-13.0
Margin
44.9%
FG%
44.4%
3P%
71.9%
FT%
32.3
RPG
14.3
APG
16.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.8
Adj PPG
71.5
Adj Opp PPG
#213
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 821 (#269) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +103 elo More โ†’ 927 (#223) HCA +103 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +103 elo More โ†’ 929 (#225) HCA +103 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -2.8 (#212) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -2.8 (#214) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.367 (#236) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.5 More โ†’ 0.238 (#272) AdjNet -10.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.3 More โ†’ 0.260 (#257) AdjNet -9.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 71.5 More โ†’ 0.439 (#213) AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 71.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 71.1 More โ†’ 0.438 (#215) AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 71.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.344 (#246) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.344 (#246) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Earlier model estimate; no qualified current forecast. More โ†’ Legacy estimate Earlier model estimate; no qualified current forecast.

2011-2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Fort Valley State Wildcats W 96 - 53
2011-11-13 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 71 - 74
2011-11-17 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 64 - 79
2011-11-19 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 70 - 78
2011-11-22 @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 90 - 87
2011-11-23 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 79 - 77
2011-11-28 vs Austin Peay Governors W 67 - 59
2011-12-01 vs Mercer Bears L 72 - 79
2011-12-03 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 75 - 52
2011-12-06 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 70 - 55
2011-12-10 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 87 - 89
2011-12-15 @ Murray State Racers L 65 - 89
2011-12-19 @ Memphis Tigers L 75 - 85
2011-12-21 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 64 - 81
2012-01-02 @ Jacksonville Dolphins W 77 - 71
2012-01-04 @ North Florida Ospreys L 61 - 82
2012-01-06 @ Belmont Bruins W 85 - 74
2012-01-14 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles L 80 - 84
2012-01-16 vs Stetson Hatters W 104 - 103
2012-01-21 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 73 - 65
2012-01-23 @ South Carolina Upstate Spartans L 52 - 61
2012-01-28 vs North Florida Ospreys L 59 - 71
2012-01-30 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 82 - 68
2012-02-03 vs Belmont Bruins L 58 - 84
2012-02-11 @ Stetson Hatters W 99 - 91
2012-02-13 @ Florida Gulf Coast Eagles L 68 - 89
2012-02-18 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans L 61 - 62
2012-02-20 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 57 - 66
2012-02-23 @ Mercer Bears L 54 - 63
2012-02-25 @ Kennesaw State Owls W 74 - 71
2012-02-29 @ Mercer Bears L 53 - 61

2011-2012 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jordan Burgason Jordan Burgason G 19 33.6 16.4 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.2 2.1 5.6 14.2 -22 17 -1.3 -1.7 52.8 54.7 83.3 1.25 127.6 69.3
Robert Boyd Robert Boyd G 13 27.9 11.2 3.3 1.2 1.6 0.4 2.2 3.5 12.1 -3 10 -0.3 -0.5 46.7 46.4 42.9 -0.46 151.8 61.1
Malcolm Smith Malcolm Smith F 30 18.3 10.0 4.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 1.4 3.0 10.8 -115 26 -4.4 -11.1 45.1 0 65.4 -2.7 119.3 45.1
Zavion Williams Zavion Williams G 25 22.6 9.0 2.8 2.6 1.3 0.0 2.5 4.4 8.8 -63 21 -3.0 -5.5 36.0 26.9 70.5 -0.79 86.3 39.2
Jacob Arnett Jacob Arnett G 30 28.5 8.0 3.7 2.2 0.8 0.0 1.7 3.8 9.3 -11 26 -0.4 -0.6 42.5 39.6 69.7 0.98 94.5 51.8
Deonte Alexander Deonte Alexander G 30 24.8 8.0 3.4 1.8 1.1 0.1 1.1 3.2 10.1 -54 26 -2.1 -3.5 36.1 33.3 42.9 0.65 115.8 46.9
Justin Glenn Justin Glenn C 30 25.2 7.9 7.4 1.6 0.8 1.6 2.1 2.5 14.8 -39 26 -1.5 -2.4 56.8 0 54.8 -2.38 135.8 56.8
Martin Smith Martin Smith F 30 19.0 5.8 2.3 0.9 0.8 0.1 1.1 2.0 6.9 -102 26 -3.9 -8.8 50.8 44.1 70.6 -1.47 131.6 63.6
Damarius Smith Damarius Smith - 28 22.2 4.9 2.3 3.4 1.1 0.2 2.4 1.9 7.6 - - - - 45.3 16.7 47.8 - 107.7 46.2
Marvin Williams Marvin Williams F 23 11.9 3.6 3.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.9 2.2 4.1 -71 19 -3.7 -14.5 38.0 0 50.0 -3.22 75.1 38.0
Carter Sanderson Carter Sanderson G 17 7.3 2.9 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.4 3.6 -13 15 -0.9 -5.4 0.0 0.0 57.1 0.06 205.6 0.0
Chad Johnson Chad Johnson G 7 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 -0.4 -4 4 -1.0 -44.4 0.0 0.0 0 -0.66 0.0 0.0
Zack Ellis Zack Ellis F 3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2 2 -1.0 -42.1 0 0 0 -0.49 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG