Lincoln Memorial
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1085 (#71) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1100 (#80) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.7 (#90) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.807 (#239) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.664 (#179) | NetEff +5.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.821 (#264) | AdjNet +13.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.828 (#265) | AdjNet +13.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.693 (#259) | AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 58.9 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Converse | W | 69 - 52 |
| 2024-11-10 | @ | King (TN) | L | 54 - 68 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Belmont Abbey | L | 45 - 49 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Newberry | W | 62 - 53 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Mars Hill | W | 66 - 53 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Catawba | L | 59 - 66 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Limestone | W | 77 - 63 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Anderson (SC) | L | 59 - 71 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Newberry | L | 49 - 61 |
| 2024-12-18 | vs | Tusculum | L | 58 - 60 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Wingate | L | 58 - 62 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Lenoir-Rhyne | W | 63 - 50 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Carson-Newman | W | 71 - 67 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Coker | L | 55 - 62 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Tusculum | W | 79 - 70 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Catawba | L | 48 - 56 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Emory & Henry | W | 79 - 77 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Wingate | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Mars Hill | W | 92 - 69 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Anderson (SC) | L | 53 - 71 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | UVA Wise | L | 71 - 80 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Smiddy | - | 21 | 38.1 | 14.2 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 11.6 | 9.5 | 40 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 39.1 | 36.7 | 71.4 | 0.29 | 52.8 | 48.1 |
| Kamil Collier | - | 21 | 32.9 | 13.3 | 9.6 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 3.2 | 11.6 | 11.0 | 26 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 43.4 | 26.3 | 76.8 | 0.49 | 50.0 | 44.5 |
| Matty Tanner | - | 21 | 35.0 | 10.0 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 9.9 | 5.6 | 41 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 34.8 | 30.1 | 75.0 | 0.13 | 48.0 | 46.1 |
| Lexi Patty | - | 17 | 23.5 | 7.3 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 5.3 | 6.5 | 40 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 47.8 | 31.0 | 74.4 | 0.68 | 57.9 | 52.8 |
| Caroline Sikkink | - | 21 | 19.0 | 6.3 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 5.7 | 12 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 46.4 | 14.3 | 75.7 | -0.06 | 51.8 | 46.9 |
| Jamyah Winter | - | 21 | 13.8 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 20 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 39.7 | 33.8 | 85.7 | -0.13 | 52.5 | 51.3 |
| Asia Barr | - | 21 | 21.8 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 4.2 | 2.9 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.5 | 26.7 | 71.4 | 0.08 | 42.3 | 40.9 |
| Dominique Rodriguez | - | 21 | 5.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 51.5 | 45.5 | 73.3 | -0.0 | 63.1 | 59.1 |
| Keiara Anderson | - | 20 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 33 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 42.9 | 36.4 | 100.0 | 0.19 | 62.0 | 57.1 |
| Federica Lagana | - | 20 | 9.4 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 31 | 1.2 | 3.9 | 21.4 | 16.7 | 66.7 | 0.27 | 41.5 | 28.6 |
| Macy Barnes | - | 18 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Aubree Laney | - | 16 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Halli Stuffle | - | 19 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ayden Smiddy | - | 13 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 40 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 |
| Kallie Housley | - | 18 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -5 | -0.7 | -2.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Emily Savage | - | 18 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Rachel Early | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kelsie Woodard | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG