Lincoln Memorial
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1098 (#51) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1104 (#102) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1132 (#48) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.9 (#92) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +10.3 (#153) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.829 (#146) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.967 (#144) | NetEff +30.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.926 (#103) | AdjNet +21.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.919 (#113) | AdjNet +20.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.821 (#101) | AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 66.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.647 (#109) | AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 70.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.744 (#106) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.734 (#104) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1210 (#45) | RD 95 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | North Georgia | L | 89 - 90 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Georgia College | W | 81 - 78 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | W | 97 - 68 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Cedarville | L | 82 - 85 |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Lenoir-Rhyne | L | 71 - 83 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Johnson C. Smith | W | 111 - 76 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Catawba | L | 65 - 77 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Mars Hill | W | 94 - 80 |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | Wingate | W | 97 - 62 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Emory & Henry | W | 89 - 60 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Anderson (SC) | L | 55 - 78 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Lees-McRae | W | 80 - 69 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Tusculum | W | 67 - 60 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Newberry | L | 72 - 82 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Carson-Newman | W | 70 - 58 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Coker | W | 84 - 72 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | UVA Wise | W | 83 - 81 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Lenoir-Rhyne | L | 63 - 99 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Emory & Henry | W | 77 - 68 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Catawba | W | 83 - 78 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Tusculum | W | 65 - 58 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Wingate | L | 72 - 79 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Mims | - | 22 | 25.2 | 11.9 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 8.2 | 10.6 | 66 | 3.1 | 19.4 | 47.5 | 36.5 | 73.8 | 0.21 | 59.9 | 55.0 |
| Walter Campbell | - | 22 | 24.6 | 10.6 | 6.1 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 6.2 | 11.6 | 8 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 56.2 | 32.3 | 73.7 | -1.24 | 65.4 | 59.9 |
| Jayden Spearman | - | 22 | 24.1 | 9.7 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 8.0 | 5.7 | 51 | 2.4 | 21.7 | 43.2 | 38.7 | 52.9 | -0.26 | 58.3 | 58.2 |
| EJ Smith | - | 22 | 20.0 | 8.9 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 7.6 | 4.0 | 63 | 3.0 | 35.9 | 44.6 | 30.4 | 88.6 | 1.46 | 53.2 | 48.8 |
| Armon Jarrard | - | 18 | 23.9 | 8.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 7.3 | 4.8 | 60 | 3.3 | 21.9 | 38.9 | 32.3 | 80.0 | 1.37 | 52.3 | 50.4 |
| Drew Lewis | - | 19 | 19.9 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 7.2 | 4.5 | -40 | -2.2 | -25.5 | 40.9 | 33.3 | 80.0 | -4.81 | 49.9 | 45.3 |
| Yassin Hussein | - | 16 | 17.8 | 7.8 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 5.1 | 7.6 | 39 | 2.8 | 103.5 | 57.3 | 0 | 60.0 | -1.61 | 59.6 | 57.3 |
| Ashton Pennamon | - | 21 | 22.3 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 5.6 | 5.8 | 58 | 2.9 | 21.3 | 42.4 | 20.9 | 67.4 | 0.28 | 50.4 | 46.2 |
| Amhad Jarrard | - | 22 | 14.8 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 54 | 2.7 | 55.1 | 49.2 | 18.8 | 31.8 | 0.41 | 49.4 | 50.4 |
| Emmanuel James | - | 22 | 13.7 | 5.0 | 3.7 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 3.3 | 7.0 | 81 | 3.9 | 67.5 | 65.8 | 0.0 | 60.9 | 1.17 | 66.2 | 65.8 |
| Grace Aluma | - | 14 | 8.5 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 3.4 | -4 | -0.3 | -12.8 | 41.9 | 33.3 | 72.7 | -0.71 | 50.2 | 45.2 |
| Charles Okafor | - | 9 | 5.8 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.1 | - | - | - | 22.2 | 0.0 | 83.3 | - | 38.7 | 22.2 |
| Mario McDonnough | - | 4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Dallas Kendall | - | 3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Anthony Glasper | - | 2 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Patrick Noles | - | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Sawyer Thompson | - | 4 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | -0.8 | 105 | 5.0 | 31.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG