🐻⬇️🏀

Lincoln Memorial

Also known as: Lincoln Memorial
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1098 (#51) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1104 (#102) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1132 (#48) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +10.9 (#92) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +10.3 (#153) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.829 (#146) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +30.7 More → 0.967 (#144) NetEff +30.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +21.9 More → 0.926 (#103) AdjNet +21.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.9 More → 0.919 (#113) AdjNet +20.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 66.5 More → 0.821 (#101) AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 66.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 70.0 More → 0.647 (#109) AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 70.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.744 (#106) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.734 (#104) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 22 More → 1210 (#45) RD 95 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs North Georgia L 89 - 90
2025-11-15 vs Georgia College W 81 - 78
2025-11-19 vs Elizabeth City St. W 97 - 68
2025-11-22 @ Cedarville L 82 - 85
2025-11-28 vs Lenoir-Rhyne L 71 - 83
2025-12-03 vs Johnson C. Smith W 111 - 76
2025-12-06 @ Catawba L 65 - 77
2025-12-10 vs Mars Hill W 94 - 80
2025-12-14 vs Wingate W 97 - 62
2025-12-17 vs Emory & Henry W 89 - 60
2025-12-20 @ Anderson (SC) L 55 - 78
2025-12-31 vs Lees-McRae W 80 - 69
2026-01-07 vs Tusculum W 67 - 60
2026-01-10 @ Newberry L 72 - 82
2026-01-14 @ Carson-Newman W 70 - 58
2026-01-17 vs Coker W 84 - 72
2026-01-21 vs UVA Wise W 83 - 81
2026-01-23 @ Lenoir-Rhyne L 63 - 99
2026-01-28 @ Emory & Henry W 77 - 68
2026-01-30 vs Catawba W 83 - 78
2026-02-04 @ Tusculum W 65 - 58
2026-02-07 @ Wingate L 72 - 79

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nate Mims - 22 25.2 11.9 4.6 0.9 1.5 0.6 0.6 8.2 10.6 66 3.1 19.4 47.5 36.5 73.8 0.21 59.9 55.0
Walter Campbell - 22 24.6 10.6 6.1 0.8 1.4 0.1 1.3 6.2 11.6 8 0.4 2.4 56.2 32.3 73.7 -1.24 65.4 59.9
Jayden Spearman - 22 24.1 9.7 3.4 0.9 0.6 0.2 1.1 8.0 5.7 51 2.4 21.7 43.2 38.7 52.9 -0.26 58.3 58.2
EJ Smith - 22 20.0 8.9 1.5 2.1 0.9 0.0 1.7 7.6 4.0 63 3.0 35.9 44.6 30.4 88.6 1.46 53.2 48.8
Armon Jarrard - 18 23.9 8.0 1.8 1.2 1.7 0.3 1.0 7.3 4.8 60 3.3 21.9 38.9 32.3 80.0 1.37 52.3 50.4
Drew Lewis - 19 19.9 8.0 2.5 1.8 0.9 0.1 1.7 7.2 4.5 -40 -2.2 -25.5 40.9 33.3 80.0 -4.81 49.9 45.3
Yassin Hussein - 16 17.8 7.8 4.5 0.9 0.7 0.6 1.8 5.1 7.6 39 2.8 103.5 57.3 0 60.0 -1.61 59.6 57.3
Ashton Pennamon - 21 22.3 6.6 1.9 2.8 2.1 0.2 2.2 5.6 5.8 58 2.9 21.3 42.4 20.9 67.4 0.28 50.4 46.2
Amhad Jarrard - 22 14.8 5.8 1.6 1.6 0.9 0.1 1.2 5.5 3.4 54 2.7 55.1 49.2 18.8 31.8 0.41 49.4 50.4
Emmanuel James - 22 13.7 5.0 3.7 0.2 0.6 1.5 0.8 3.3 7.0 81 3.9 67.5 65.8 0.0 60.9 1.17 66.2 65.8
Grace Aluma - 14 8.5 2.6 2.1 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.8 2.2 3.4 -4 -0.3 -12.8 41.9 33.3 72.7 -0.71 50.2 45.2
Charles Okafor - 9 5.8 1.0 1.6 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.1 - - - 22.2 0.0 83.3 - 38.7 22.2
Mario McDonnough - 4 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.5 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Dallas Kendall - 3 2.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.3 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Anthony Glasper - 2 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Patrick Noles - 2 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Sawyer Thompson - 4 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 -0.8 105 5.0 31.8 0.0 0.0 0 3.1 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG