Lincoln (MO)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 943 (#409) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 946 (#351) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 874 (#549) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.8 (#232) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.1 (#332) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.603 (#284) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.370 (#259) | NetEff -5.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.817 (#224) | AdjNet +13.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.823 (#222) | AdjNet +13.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.712 (#224) | AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 64.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.481 (#344) | AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 71.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.433 (#373) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.429 (#374) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 895 (#377) | RD 71 | GP 47 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | P.R.-Bayamon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Pitt.-Johnstown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Indiana (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | P.R.-Rio Piedras | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-17 | vs | Hannibal-La Grange | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Queens (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Emporia St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Southwest Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Missouri S&T | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | West Chester | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Slippery Rock | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Upper Iowa | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Lewis | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-07 | vs | Cheyney | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Fla. Southern | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Haskell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-12 | @ | Eckerd | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Cent. Christian Bib. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Winston-Salem | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Ark. Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Clark Atlanta | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Morehouse | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Purdue Northwest | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Livingstone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Wilmington (DE) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Truman St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Queens (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-04 | vs | Quincy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-05 | vs | Johnson C. Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Southwest Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Shaw | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Claflin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Drury | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-12 | @ | Fayetteville St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Bowie St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Mo.-St. Louis | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Maryville (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Bluefield St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | McKendree | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Virginia St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Ill. Springfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | UIndy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Virginia Union | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Lewis | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Upper Iowa | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Virginia St. | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Oraegbu | - | 19 | 28.8 | 19.9 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 15.2 | 10.4 | 55 | 2.9 | 24.5 | 44.4 | 31.9 | 87.0 | 2.81 | 55.8 | 48.3 |
| Tyler Chapman | - | 17 | 30.9 | 14.4 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 13.6 | 5.9 | -31 | -1.8 | -9.8 | 36.4 | 34.2 | 85.7 | -1.07 | 50.1 | 47.6 |
| Bonard Johnson | - | 23 | 23.6 | 13.3 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 11.7 | 6.1 | -85 | -3.5 | -28.7 | 39.4 | 36.2 | 73.2 | 0.0 | 50.2 | 45.7 |
| Enari Thomas | - | 8 | 29.3 | 12.9 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 12.0 | 5.2 | - | - | - | 39.6 | 22.7 | 73.3 | -2.82 | 47.2 | 42.2 |
| Julius Olanrewaju | - | 23 | 26.0 | 11.1 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 8.4 | 6.7 | -155 | -6.5 | -41.2 | 48.2 | 31.5 | 88.7 | -0.89 | 59.2 | 54.1 |
| Ronald Bridges Jr | - | 23 | 22.4 | 10.8 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 7.5 | 7.6 | - | - | - | 50.9 | 36.4 | 72.6 | - | 60.7 | 56.6 |
| Tyre Boykin | - | 1 | 24.2 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 31 | 1.6 | 9.5 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 60.0 | 0.11 | 54.3 | 50.0 |
| Abou Camara | - | 1 | 35.8 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 35 | 1.8 | 12.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 2.72 | 57.9 | 50.0 |
| Malcolm Davis | - | 23 | 32.8 | 9.7 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 8.0 | 7.1 | -13 | -0.5 | -3.9 | 36.6 | 35.0 | 87.0 | -2.0 | 54.9 | 50.0 |
| Khyelle Ingram | - | 1 | 14.3 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 16 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 57.1 | 0 | 0 | -0.71 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Jaiden Thompson | - | 1 | 27.2 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | -16 | -0.9 | -8.0 | 37.5 | 66.7 | 0 | 1.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Matthieu Biembongo | - | 19 | 20.6 | 7.3 | 5.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5.2 | 9.7 | 9 | 0.5 | 3.9 | 58.2 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 2.22 | 59.7 | 58.2 |
| Max Ekono | - | 23 | 29.6 | 7.0 | 8.4 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 11.9 | 33 | 1.4 | 9.4 | 44.3 | 37.0 | 82.7 | -0.18 | 58.7 | 51.7 |
| Isaiah Staton-Ray | - | 1 | 25.5 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 18 | 1.5 | 87.6 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.7 | 45.8 | 40.0 |
| Amadou Fall | - | 22 | 22.5 | 6.8 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 5.9 | 8.7 | -75 | -3.3 | -34.3 | 46.9 | 29.4 | 65.4 | -0.5 | 52.7 | 50.8 |
| Jordan Sanders | - | 23 | 20.7 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 5.7 | 4.0 | -63 | -2.6 | -19.5 | 37.7 | 32.5 | 74.1 | -0.29 | 51.1 | 48.1 |
| Masaun Moore-Bryant | - | 1 | 21.6 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 40 | 2.1 | 27.9 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0.82 | 36.1 | 35.7 |
| Draven Pilson | - | 23 | 17.5 | 5.9 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 6.4 | 1.7 | -102 | -4.2 | -44.7 | 35.4 | 30.1 | 33.3 | -1.86 | 45.8 | 45.9 |
| Ginuwine Tropnas | - | 23 | 20.5 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4.3 | 7.1 | -46 | -1.9 | -17.4 | 49.0 | 0.0 | 54.3 | -1.67 | 52.0 | 49.0 |
| D'Necco Rucker | - | 23 | 19.0 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 4.4 | 5.3 | -32 | -1.4 | -20.7 | 46.1 | 38.6 | 71.0 | 0.57 | 57.5 | 54.4 |
| Amar Kadic | - | 18 | 10.6 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 4.9 | 2.3 | -7 | -0.4 | -3.6 | 34.8 | 25.4 | 72.2 | -1.24 | 46.4 | 43.3 |
| Kesean Shillingford | - | 17 | 15.5 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 4.2 | -86 | -4.8 | -50.3 | 53.7 | 0 | 58.3 | -2.56 | 55.8 | 53.7 |
| Robin Discamps | - | 22 | 9.7 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 41 | 2.0 | 73.8 | 33.3 | 32.1 | 76.9 | 2.34 | 49.8 | 44.2 |
| Elliott Yorke Jr | - | 7 | 6.1 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 2.3 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 41.7 | 33.3 | - | 63.5 | 65.6 |
| Gian-Paul Anderson | - | 22 | 16.2 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 3.4 | 2.8 | -14 | -0.6 | -14.4 | 27.0 | 22.5 | 89.5 | - | 40.1 | 33.1 |
| Ethan English | - | 1 | 12.8 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 39 | 2.6 | 17.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 3.95 | 104.2 | 100.0 |
| Demetri Patterson | - | 1 | 15.1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 17 | 0.9 | 15.5 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.93 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Tyler Lucas | - | 16 | 13.8 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 1.2 | -7 | -0.4 | -4.9 | 32.0 | 23.1 | 100.0 | -0.05 | 41.8 | 38.0 |
| Rashad Williams | - | 23 | 10.9 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 12 | 0.5 | 18.0 | 63.0 | 0 | 63.6 | -0.82 | 63.9 | 63.0 |
| Justin Morgan | - | 16 | 12.1 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.1 | 1.7 | -14 | -3.5 | -15.0 | 26.5 | 14.8 | 60.9 | -0.65 | 37.2 | 30.6 |
| Isaiah Sutherland | - | 1 | 13.8 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | -18 | -1.5 | -57.1 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | -3.55 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Reumang Emagna | - | 3 | 8.1 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1.7 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 42.5 | 40.0 |
| Yave Cruz | - | 4 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | -2 | -0.5 | -11.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 60.0 | - | 48.1 | 33.3 |
| Tyleek Fields | - | 21 | 13.0 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2.7 | -52 | -2.4 | -25.8 | 32.3 | 0.0 | 30.8 | 0.66 | 32.7 | 32.3 |
| Jahmire Brewer | - | 4 | 7.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -1 | -0.2 | -2.5 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Sterling Rivera | - | 11 | 12.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 3.4 | 54 | 5.4 | 48.4 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 72.7 | 1.5 | 28.0 | 7.7 |
| Lance Gill | - | 1 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -4.0 | -45 | -2.2 | -14.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.36 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG