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Lincoln (CA)

Also known as: Lincoln (CA)
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 855 (#346) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 828 (#339) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -12.7 (#293) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.056 (#561) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.018 (#610) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -31.7 More → 0.016 (#364) NetEff -31.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.6 More → 0.208 (#520) AdjNet -11.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -35.2 More → 0.016 (#680) AdjNet -35.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.5 More → 0.222 (#510) AdjNet -10.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -34.4 More → 0.016 (#676) AdjNet -34.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 67.8 More → 0.334 (#522) AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 67.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 87.6 More → 0.087 (#695) AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 87.6

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-04 @ Longwood L 70 - 81
2024-11-08 @ Kutztown L 61 - 71
2024-11-09 @ Shippensburg L 51 - 64
2024-11-13 @ Wilmington (DE) W 86 - 45
2024-11-13 vs Harris-Stowe W 58 - 42
2024-11-16 @ Shaw L 53 - 67
2024-11-17 @ Johnson C. Smith L 68 - 71
2024-11-22 @ Felician L 76 - 85
2024-11-25 @ Washburn L 55 - 80
2024-11-26 @ Missouri Western L 52 - 94
2024-11-26 @ East Stroudsburg L 62 - 74
2024-11-30 @ Southwest Baptist L 67 - 102
2024-12-02 @ Missouri S&T L 49 - 70
2024-12-05 vs Cheyney W 74 - 47
2024-12-05 vs Lewis L 46 - 86
2024-12-07 vs Upper Iowa L 56 - 69
2024-12-09 vs Claflin L 62 - 79
2024-12-12 @ Bloomfield W 67 - 61
2024-12-14 @ Cal St. Monterey Bay L 68 - 81
2024-12-14 vs Principia L 46 - 58
2024-12-16 @ Johnson C. Smith W 57 - 47
2024-12-17 @ Central Mo. L 56 - 89
2024-12-19 @ Winston-Salem W 65 - 45
2024-12-21 vs Emporia St. L 62 - 73
2024-12-21 @ Livingstone L 74 - 78
2025-01-02 @ UMES L 39 - 55
2025-01-03 @ Quincy L 49 - 80
2025-01-04 vs Shaw W 89 - 78
2025-01-07 vs Fayetteville St. W 65 - 62
2025-01-09 vs Drury L 47 - 68
2025-01-11 @ Academy of Art L 70 - 96
2025-01-11 vs Southwest Baptist L 52 - 77
2025-01-16 @ Jefferson W 75 - 66
2025-01-16 vs Mo.-St. Louis L 53 - 78
2025-01-18 vs Bowie St. L 66 - 71
2025-01-20 @ Truman St. L 59 - 78
2025-01-23 @ McKendree L 58 - 80
2025-01-23 @ Elizabeth City St. W 65 - 54
2025-01-25 @ Maryville (MO) L 62 - 74
2025-01-25 vs Virginia St. L 66 - 71
2025-01-29 @ Bluefield St. L 76 - 86
2025-01-30 vs UIndy L 53 - 68
2025-02-01 @ Virginia Union L 48 - 60
2025-02-01 vs Ill. Springfield L 44 - 53
2025-02-05 @ Staten Island L 57 - 63
2025-02-06 @ Upper Iowa L 41 - 66
2025-02-08 @ Lewis L 41 - 77
2025-02-08 @ Virginia St. L 68 - 71
2025-02-12 @ Emory & Henry L 62 - 63
2025-02-13 vs Elizabeth City St. L 55 - 65
2025-02-13 vs Truman St. L 42 - 78
2025-02-15 vs Lenoir-Rhyne W 68 - 61
2025-02-15 vs Quincy L 61 - 78
2025-02-15 vs Virginia Union L 45 - 77
2025-02-19 vs Bluefield St. W 68 - 66
2025-02-20 @ UVA Wise W 55 - 53
2025-02-20 @ Rockhurst L 50 - 78
2025-02-22 @ Coker L 53 - 62
2025-02-22 @ Bowie St. W 52 - 51
2025-02-22 @ William Jewell L 49 - 71
2025-02-25 @ Shaw W 54 - 49
2025-02-26 @ Virginia St. L 59 - 67
2025-02-26 vs Carson-Newman W 69 - 63
2025-02-27 vs Missouri S&T W 61 - 53
2025-03-01 vs Limestone W 72 - 38
2025-03-04 @ Carson-Newman L 60 - 75

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaslyn Woods - 2 31.5 20.0 2.5 1.0 2.0 0.5 2.0 9.0 15.0 -49 -1.8 -2.4 55.6 0 76.9 -0.13 67.9 55.6
Tiyanna James - 1 44.0 19.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 17.0 4.0 63 2.2 2.8 41.2 41.7 0 0.25 55.9 55.9
Teuila Tuiasosopo - 2 28.0 17.5 7.0 0.0 1.5 1.0 3.5 13.5 10.0 - - - 55.6 0.0 71.4 -0.1 58.2 55.6
Alexa Smiddy - 7 37.6 17.3 4.9 3.0 1.6 0.0 1.9 12.7 12.1 40 1.1 1.0 47.2 52.2 72.2 0.29 62.4 60.7
Anyssa Fields - 30 35.8 16.9 9.6 2.0 1.9 0.6 2.7 15.3 13.1 32 1.1 0.9 42.8 35.9 73.6 0.39 51.1 48.4
Ciani Montgomery - 29 34.4 15.2 4.7 3.8 2.6 0.1 3.8 14.7 7.8 56 2.0 1.8 41.5 32.8 78.9 0.63 48.7 46.3
Kamil Collier - 7 35.1 13.9 6.1 1.9 0.6 0.6 3.6 11.3 8.1 26 0.9 0.7 44.3 0.0 71.1 0.49 50.7 44.3
Senaida Barrientos - 1 30.0 13.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 8.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 71.4 - 58.7 50.0
Angela Olive - 1 25.0 12.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 17.0 -3.0 - - - 29.4 25.0 50.0 - 33.6 32.4
Anii Harris - 1 40.0 12.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 14.0 2.0 40 1.4 1.4 21.4 0.0 85.7 -0.17 35.1 21.4
Carmen Kweti - 1 38.0 12.0 23.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 25.0 173 5.8 6.8 50.0 0 50.0 1.46 51.0 50.0
Mihjae Hayes - 1 42.0 11.0 5.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 18.0 6.0 65 3.0 3.1 22.2 0.0 100.0 0.39 28.5 22.2
Amesha Miller - 1 42.0 10.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 11.0 8.0 104 3.7 4.3 27.3 0 80.0 0.69 37.9 27.3
Anyia Gibson - 29 27.9 8.5 6.2 1.0 1.2 1.6 2.0 6.4 10.1 -33 -0.9 -1.0 50.3 0 57.1 0.0 53.2 50.3
Hanne Nybo - 25 20.9 7.4 5.0 0.6 0.6 0.4 2.0 7.2 4.7 73 2.9 3.2 37.4 29.9 78.9 0.91 47.0 43.0
Isis Sanders - 26 30.3 7.2 2.4 1.8 0.5 0.2 1.5 9.2 1.3 -67 -1.9 -2.1 29.7 17.8 64.6 -0.22 35.8 32.4
Tanayja London - 1 12.0 7.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 6.0 -15 -0.6 -1.1 60.0 0 25.0 -0.37 51.8 60.0
Matty Tanner - 7 35.0 7.0 4.3 3.4 1.0 0.3 1.4 6.0 8.6 41 1.5 1.5 38.1 37.1 100.0 0.13 56.0 53.6
Kaziah Akinniyi - 30 20.8 6.8 2.5 1.2 0.9 0.0 2.0 6.6 2.8 -36 -0.8 -1.0 31.0 25.3 71.6 0.02 43.6 36.8
Biance Stocks - 26 21.8 6.7 2.7 1.1 0.6 0.1 1.9 7.1 2.2 -34 -1.6 -1.9 28.8 33.0 76.7 -0.16 42.6 38.0
Asia Barr - 7 22.9 6.6 1.9 1.7 0.7 0.0 1.3 5.7 3.9 1 0.0 0.0 40.0 38.9 0 0.08 57.5 57.5
Milly Sinclair - 2 15.0 6.5 3.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 3.0 6.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 80.0 -0.05 62.5 41.7
Lexi Patty - 6 22.0 6.3 3.3 1.7 1.7 0.3 2.7 4.8 5.8 40 1.4 1.6 48.3 33.3 58.3 0.68 55.4 53.4
Imani Harris - 23 14.0 6.1 1.7 0.5 0.7 0.0 1.5 6.2 1.3 62 1.2 1.7 40.6 25.0 50.0 0.58 44.3 43.0
T'nyah Riggins - 1 26.0 6.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 1.0 -51 -2.7 -6.2 25.0 40.0 0 -0.49 37.5 37.5
Caroline Sikkink - 7 24.9 5.7 3.6 0.6 0.6 0.3 1.0 4.4 5.3 12 0.4 0.6 54.8 0 54.5 -0.06 55.8 54.8
Chase Giddings - 26 12.3 5.0 2.2 0.5 0.7 0.0 1.0 4.3 3.1 -22 -1.0 -1.9 33.6 27.3 75.0 -0.35 46.6 37.6
Jamyah Winter - 7 11.7 5.0 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.7 -0.3 20 0.7 1.5 32.5 25.8 50.0 -0.13 42.8 42.5
Ayreona Carter - 25 10.8 4.9 2.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 1.1 4.4 2.7 40 3.3 4.2 42.7 0.0 76.3 0.3 48.5 42.7
Emma Wolken - 26 23.4 4.7 2.0 0.5 1.0 0.1 1.5 4.7 2.0 -38 -1.5 -2.2 34.4 31.0 61.1 -0.42 46.6 45.1
Kiara Cabrera - 26 16.0 4.5 2.4 0.6 0.5 0.0 2.0 5.2 1.0 -43 -1.5 -2.5 33.3 25.0 64.7 -0.36 39.3 35.6
Leilani Gonzalez - 2 27.0 4.5 3.5 2.0 2.5 0.0 3.5 7.0 2.0 - - - 14.3 25.0 100.0 - 28.6 17.9
Hunter Conway - 30 20.9 3.8 2.0 2.1 1.2 0.1 2.0 4.2 2.9 -88 -2.0 -2.6 32.5 25.0 69.4 -0.96 39.8 34.9
Kaleah Toran - 26 19.5 3.7 2.2 0.9 0.9 0.1 0.9 5.6 1.3 -16 -0.5 -0.8 24.1 16.7 69.0 -0.77 30.7 26.6
Ariana Makumi - 30 16.2 3.6 3.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.9 4.4 2.9 25 0.8 1.4 32.6 0 71.0 0.39 37.1 32.6
Alaila Walker - 30 14.3 3.6 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.0 1.5 4.8 -0.2 44 1.2 2.2 25.2 19.0 83.3 0.15 35.4 32.2
Lyndsey Marrujo - 2 13.5 3.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 3.0 - - - 40.0 33.3 100.0 - 59.5 50.0
Cherika Rafan - 2 19.5 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 2.0 2.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 50.0 - 52.1 50.0
Riley Holliday - 30 10.6 2.2 2.3 0.1 0.3 0.0 1.1 2.0 1.9 -105 -2.6 -4.2 34.4 0.0 64.1 -1.37 42.9 34.4
Cassidy Gladney - 23 8.1 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.8 2.5 0.5 31 1.8 4.8 24.1 11.1 70.8 0.43 34.3 25.9
Taylor Brown - 28 7.9 1.9 2.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.7 2.0 1.9 -1 -0.0 -0.1 42.9 0.0 35.7 -0.43 42.6 42.9
Dominique Rodriguez - 6 6.2 1.7 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 1.2 1.2 1.5 3 0.1 0.4 42.9 0.0 80.0 -0.0 54.3 42.9
Temana Sharifi - 2 25.5 1.5 4.5 0.5 2.5 0.0 2.5 6.0 0.5 - - - 8.3 0.0 100.0 -0.05 12.1 8.3
Demaris Andrews - 28 6.2 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.2 -17 -0.5 -1.9 25.0 7.1 100.0 -0.84 31.7 26.2
Lyssa Sportsman - 26 7.3 1.0 1.8 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.0 2.0 31 1.4 6.0 32.0 0 71.4 0.62 41.7 32.0
Kennedy Jones - 26 14.3 0.9 2.8 0.5 0.8 0.1 1.0 0.9 3.2 -56 -1.8 -2.9 26.1 20.0 61.1 -0.78 38.8 28.3
Shyne Hall - 28 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 -0.1 -11 -0.6 -4.1 33.3 37.5 0.0 -0.45 47.7 50.0
Emily Savage - 6 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 100.0 - 34.7 0.0
Keiara Anderson - 7 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 33 1.3 3.0 0 0 50.0 0.19 56.8 0
Kahmiyah Napier - 21 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Faith Wratto - 25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Dierra Carter - 10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -46 -1.6 -2.0 0 0 0 -0.36 0 0
Korri Williams - 11 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 37 1.0 1.1 0 0 0 0.32 0 0
Amani Henry - 10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -49 -4.5 -29.9 0 0 0 -0.28 0 0
Para McIntosh - 16 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.2 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Aulani Leomio - 2 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Taisha Moreira - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kiara Beal - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -10 -0.9 -2.7 0 0 0 -0.24 0 0
Kendahl Spearman - 1 14.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 -1.0 74 1.9 3.9 0.0 0.0 0 0.73 0.0 0.0
Savana Goodson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -7 -0.3 -1.4 0 0 0 -0.16 0 0
Caityln Rodriguez - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -25 -1.2 -5.3 0 0 0 -0.45 0 0
Mekayla Furman - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.35 0 0
Skylar White - 1 9.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 -5.0 101 2.7 3.8 0.0 0.0 0 0.54 0.0 0.0
Alexis Blake - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -1.0 32 1.0 2.3 0 0 0 0.05 0 0
Sydney Roberts - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 35 1.4 2.9 0 0 0 0.28 0 0
Federica Lagana - 7 5.7 0.0 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.7 0.6 1.0 31 1.2 3.9 0.0 0.0 0 0.27 0.0 0.0
Halli Stuffle - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Macy Barnes - 5 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 -0.2 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Aubree Laney - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kallie Housley - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -5 -0.7 -2.2 0 0 0 -0.05 0 0
Rachel Early - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ayden Smiddy - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 40 1.1 1.0 0 0 0 0.29 0 0
Kelsie Woodard - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG