Limestone
Also known as: Limestone
Program History
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1013 (#145) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1055 (#119) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1005 (#137) | HCA +68 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.3 (#145) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.2 (#127) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.465 (#159) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.663 (#144) | AdjNet +5.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.666 (#148) | AdjNet +5.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.604 (#130) | AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 62.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.495 (#163) | AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 64.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.594 (#139) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.572 (#145) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1036 (#128) | RD 130 | GP 29 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | Legacy estimate | Earlier model estimate; no qualified current forecast. |
2024-2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | King (TN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-10 | vs | Converse | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Southern Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Mars Hill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Anderson (SC) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Coker | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Lincoln Memorial | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Carson-Newman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-11 | vs | Mars Hill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Wingate | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-18 | vs | Carson-Newman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | Georgia College | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Tusculum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | UVA Wise | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-12 | vs | Emory & Henry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Newberry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Lenoir-Rhyne | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Catawba | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Tusculum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Newberry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Anderson (SC) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | UVA Wise | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Wingate | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Coker | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-20 | @ | Catawba | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Lenoir-Rhyne | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-27 | @ | Emory & Henry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Lincoln Memorial | L | 38 - 72 |
| 2025-03-04 | @ | Coker | - | Incomplete score |
2024-2025 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalisha Hill | - | 29 | 28.7 | 13.6 | 8.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 3.4 | 11.7 | 10.6 | 5 | 27 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 43.1 | 17.1 | 70.1 | 2.29 | 49.3 | 44.0 |
| Reagan Kargo | - | 29 | 32.5 | 12.6 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 10.2 | 6.7 | 9 | 27 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 40.1 | 39.2 | 90.6 | 0.99 | 54.4 | 48.3 |
| Graycie Poe | - | 29 | 30.3 | 10.6 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 7.7 | 7.3 | 11 | 27 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 43.0 | 41.7 | 79.5 | 1.58 | 59.0 | 53.8 |
| Megan Watson | - | 29 | 22.2 | 7.8 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 8.6 | 2.9 | 3 | 26 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 34.5 | 29.4 | 72.0 | -0.1 | 43.7 | 42.0 |
| Dior Shelton | - | 27 | 21.0 | 6.7 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 5.0 | 6.4 | -41 | 23 | -1.8 | -3.2 | 44.1 | 39.0 | 67.2 | -1.17 | 56.3 | 52.6 |
| Amara Newsom | - | 29 | 16.9 | 6.7 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 5.5 | 6.1 | 34 | 27 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 40.9 | 0.0 | 82.1 | 0.91 | 50.2 | 40.9 |
| Aniyah Jones | - | 24 | 15.4 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 3.9 | 3.5 | -55 | 18 | -3.1 | -7.1 | 35.5 | 34.9 | 81.6 | -2.51 | 52.8 | 43.5 |
| Madison Clark | - | 29 | 12.2 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 4.7 | -52 | 27 | -1.9 | -6.5 | 43.5 | 0.0 | 54.3 | -2.47 | 47.2 | 43.5 |
| Yannah Seaberry | - | 10 | 4.4 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | -0.4 | - | - | - | - | 30.4 | 41.7 | 66.7 | -2.18 | 43.2 | 41.3 |
| Brynn Tabeling | - | 29 | 9.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.6 | -25 | 27 | -0.9 | -4.1 | 18.8 | 18.8 | 75.0 | -0.97 | 27.1 | 25.0 |
| Amiyah Clark-Lamelle | - | 28 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 8 | 15 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 17.1 | 19.0 | 0 | 1.52 | 22.0 | 22.0 |
| Kimbrie'l Barnes | - | 27 | 5.4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | -5 | 18 | -0.3 | -1.5 | 13.3 | 27.3 | 85.7 | -2.13 | 25.7 | 18.3 |
| Jasmine Grant | - | 26 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -11 | 6 | -1.8 | -17.5 | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.86 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Neylan Vila Delicado | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Maggie Chambers | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG