Limestone
Model Outputs
2018-2019
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 930 (#218) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 990 (#185) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 958 (#211) | HCA +68 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.0 (#245) | HCA +2.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.5 (#232) | HCA +2.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.438 (#194) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.455 (#242) | AdjNet -1.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.458 (#242) | AdjNet -1.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.488 (#234) | AdjO 81.7 | AdjD 82.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.471 (#212) | AdjO 78.7 | AdjD 80.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.453 (#235) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.449 (#233) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 969 (#191) | RD 136 | GP 29 |
2019 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-09 | @ | Mars Hill | W | 92 - 88 |
| 2018-11-10 | @ | Wingate | W | 95 - 93 |
| 2018-11-14 | vs | Anderson (SC) | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-17 | vs | Coker | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-21 | @ | Claflin | W | 95 - 92 |
| 2018-11-24 | vs | Lenoir-Rhyne | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-29 | @ | Coker | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-04 | @ | Lees-McRae | W | 100 - 96 |
| 2018-12-12 | @ | Mount Olive | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-15 | @ | Belmont Abbey | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-18 | @ | Tampa | L | 51 - 80 |
| 2018-12-19 | @ | Eckerd | L | 54 - 70 |
| 2019-01-02 | vs | King (TN) | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-05 | @ | Emmanuel (GA) | L | 81 - 96 |
| 2019-01-08 | @ | Southern Wesleyan | W | 90 - 82 |
| 2019-01-12 | vs | Erskine | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-16 | vs | Benedict | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-19 | vs | Southern Wesleyan | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-23 | vs | Mount Olive | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-26 | vs | Belmont Abbey | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-29 | vs | North Greenville | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-02 | @ | Barton | L | 83 - 89 |
| 2019-02-06 | vs | Lees-McRae | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-09 | @ | King (TN) | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-16 | vs | Emmanuel (GA) | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-20 | @ | North Greenville | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-23 | @ | Erskine | L | 92 - 98 |
| 2019-02-26 | vs | Barton | - | Preview |
| 2019-03-05 | @ | Belmont Abbey | - | Preview |
2019 Roster
No roster data available for this season.