Limestone
Model Outputs
2016-2017
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1278 (#24) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1241 (#29) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1189 (#10) | HCA +68 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.7 (#109) | HCA +2.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.0 (#63) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.844 (#16) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.826 (#63) | AdjNet +13.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.828 (#64) | AdjNet +13.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.693 (#75) | AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 66.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.736 (#13) | AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 66.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.781 (#42) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.789 (#33) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1287 (#19) | RD 109 | GP 31 |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-11 | @ | Wingate | L | 69 - 77 |
| 2016-11-12 | @ | Mars Hill | W | 85 - 71 |
| 2016-11-16 | vs | Coker | W | 76 - 75 |
| 2016-11-19 | vs | Anderson (SC) | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2016-11-22 | vs | North Georgia | W | 73 - 61 |
| 2016-11-29 | @ | North Greenville | W | 63 - 41 |
| 2016-12-03 | vs | Emmanuel (GA) | W | 74 - 71 |
| 2016-12-04 | @ | ETSU | L | 57 - 85 |
| 2016-12-06 | @ | Coker | W | 88 - 77 |
| 2016-12-10 | vs | Lees-McRae | W | 94 - 77 |
| 2016-12-17 | @ | Belmont Abbey | W | 79 - 63 |
| 2016-12-19 | @ | Claflin | L | 68 - 70 |
| 2016-12-29 | @ | Lander | W | 83 - 81 |
| 2017-01-03 | vs | King (TN) | W | 78 - 75 |
| 2017-01-06 | @ | Mount Olive | W | 76 - 51 |
| 2017-01-11 | @ | Emmanuel (GA) | W | 74 - 61 |
| 2017-01-14 | vs | Pfeiffer | W | 109 - 99 |
| 2017-01-17 | @ | Lees-McRae | W | 75 - 73 |
| 2017-01-19 | @ | Barton | L | 66 - 67 |
| 2017-01-24 | vs | Belmont Abbey | W | 89 - 67 |
| 2017-01-27 | vs | Barton | W | 90 - 56 |
| 2017-01-28 | vs | Mount Olive | W | 73 - 62 |
| 2017-02-04 | @ | King (TN) | L | 89 - 96 |
| 2017-02-07 | vs | North Greenville | W | 69 - 54 |
| 2017-02-11 | @ | Erskine | W | 76 - 65 |
| 2017-02-15 | vs | Southern Wesleyan | W | 77 - 67 |
| 2017-02-18 | @ | Pfeiffer | L | 76 - 82 |
| 2017-02-21 | vs | Erskine | W | 62 - 47 |
| 2017-02-24 | @ | Southern Wesleyan | W | 97 - 71 |
| 2017-02-28 | vs | Lees-McRae | W | 68 - 56 |
| 2017-03-04 | vs | Barton | W | 95 - 66 |
| 2017-03-05 | @ | King (TN) | W | 76 - 70 |
| 2017-03-11 | @ | UNC Pembroke | W | 100 - 85 |
| 2017-03-12 | @ | Lincoln Memorial | L | 64 - 70 |
2017 Roster
No roster data available for this season.