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Liberty

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Liberty Flames
Program History
Coach: Carey Green

2018 Team Stats (8 games)

65.1
PPG
49.6
Opp
+15.5
Margin
41.4%
FG%
27.1%
3P%
71.5%
FT%
41.8
RPG
13.1
APG
15.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
60.6
Adj PPG
58.7
Adj Opp PPG
#140
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1129 (#102) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1110 (#98) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +77 elo More → 1134 (#39) HCA +77 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +1.2 (#150) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.3 More → +1.3 (#152) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.807 (#60) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.6 More → 0.602 (#141) AdjNet +3.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.5 More → 0.599 (#142) AdjNet +3.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 58.7 More → 0.544 (#140) AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 58.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 57.5 More → 0.627 (#83) AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 57.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.632 (#110) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.648 (#100) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 109 | GP 32 More → 1131 (#84) RD 109 | GP 32

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 @ Old Dominion Monarchs W 63 - 55
2017-11-12 @ Michigan Wolverines L 50 - 74
2017-11-17 @ Drake Bulldogs L 68 - 96
2017-11-24 vs Houston Cougars L 68 - 75
2017-11-25 @ Massachusetts Minutewomen L 61 - 64
2017-11-28 vs Limestone Saints W 68 - 38
2017-12-02 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 61 - 40
2017-12-06 @ James Madison Dukes L 47 - 58
2017-12-16 vs Shippensburg Raiders W 105 - 43
2017-12-19 @ Denver Pioneers W 82 - 69
2017-12-20 @ Northern Colorado Bears L 57 - 65
2017-12-29 @ Duke Blue Devils L 51 - 68
2018-01-02 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose W 76 - 64
2018-01-06 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 63 - 53
2018-01-09 vs Winthrop Eagles W 63 - 37
2018-01-13 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 85 - 60
2018-01-16 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 41 - 48
2018-01-20 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 60 - 42
2018-01-23 @ Longwood Lancers W 63 - 51
2018-01-28 vs Radford Highlanders W 61 - 56
2018-01-30 @ High Point Panthers W 65 - 42
2018-02-03 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 63 - 55
2018-02-06 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 59 - 41
2018-02-10 @ Campbell Fighting Camels W 46 - 33
2018-02-13 @ Radford Highlanders L 45 - 52
2018-02-17 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 53 - 48
2018-02-20 @ Winthrop Eagles W 73 - 53
2018-02-24 @ Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 95 - 57
2018-02-27 vs Longwood Lancers W 73 - 36
2018-03-03 vs High Point Panthers W 57 - 49
2018-03-09 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 80 - 53
2018-03-10 vs High Point Panthers W 78 - 54
2018-03-11 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 60 - 42
2018-03-16 @ Tennessee Lady Volunteers L 60 - 100

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
K. Barbour K. Barbour F 6 22.3 10.5 5.7 1.0 1.7 0.0 1.2 7.0 10.7 186 29 6.4 11.0 42.9 43.8 80.0 -0.32 59.4 51.2
A. Baker A. Baker G 6 26.3 8.0 2.3 3.2 2.2 0.0 2.0 7.5 6.2 208 29 7.2 11.3 37.8 30.8 62.5 2.25 46.1 42.2
O. Makurat O. Makurat F 6 18.8 7.8 4.0 0.2 1.2 0.7 1.0 9.0 3.8 88 29 3.0 7.2 37.0 22.2 75.0 -2.76 42.1 40.7
K. Johnson-Graham K. Johnson-Graham F 2 20.5 7.0 3.0 3.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.5 8.0 45 16 2.8 5.9 54.5 0.0 66.7 -2.68 56.8 54.5
L. Sellers L. Sellers G 6 27.7 6.5 4.2 2.5 0.8 0.5 1.8 7.0 5.7 249 29 8.6 13.0 38.1 23.5 75.0 2.73 44.6 42.9
N. Johnson N. Johnson G 6 21.2 4.0 3.0 2.5 1.0 0.2 1.5 5.8 3.3 136 29 4.7 10.5 22.9 20.0 75.0 1.51 31.2 25.7
B. Rettstatt B. Rettstatt F 6 14.2 3.5 5.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.0 3.8 4.8 71 23 3.1 11.8 30.4 0.0 87.5 0.73 39.6 30.4
T. Crowder T. Crowder G 6 17.2 3.2 1.7 1.0 0.8 0.0 2.3 2.7 1.7 141 28 5.0 12.8 37.5 100.0 41.7 -0.14 44.6 43.8
M. Reagan M. Reagan F 6 6.7 2.7 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.8 1.7 15 28 0.5 4.2 54.5 50.0 75.0 -1.83 62.7 59.1
I. Ilic I. Ilic G 6 6.2 1.8 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.3 2.8 0.3 4 25 0.2 0.7 23.5 18.2 50.0 -5.35 30.8 29.4
M. Ucar M. Ucar G 6 8.8 1.5 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.5 1.7 1.0 66 25 2.6 16.5 30.0 25.0 100.0 0.58 41.4 35.0
S. Vega S. Vega G 6 3.8 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 36 19 1.9 14.4 25.0 0.0 50.0 -1.19 34.7 25.0
B. Basinger B. Basinger G 5 2.6 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 20 13 1.5 23.7 0 0 0 -0.64 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG