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Liberty

Also known as: Liberty Flames
Program History

2017 Team Stats (3 games)

58.7
PPG
60.0
Opp
-1.3
Margin
45.3%
FG%
29.3%
3P%
68.2%
FT%
37.0
RPG
11.7
APG
19.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
59.7
Adj PPG
67.6
Adj Opp PPG
#257
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 871 (#227) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 866 (#258) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +87 elo More โ†’ 990 (#185) HCA +87 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ -9.1 (#263) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -8.7 (#257) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.453 (#192) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.2 More โ†’ 0.196 (#254) AdjNet -12.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.7 More โ†’ 0.187 (#256) AdjNet -12.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.7 | AdjD 67.6 More โ†’ 0.328 (#257) AdjO 59.7 | AdjD 67.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 63.1 More โ†’ 0.459 (#186) AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 63.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.319 (#243) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.343 (#234) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 128 | GP 29 More โ†’ 875 (#248) RD 128 | GP 29

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs Duke Blue Devils L 38 - 98
2016-11-15 vs James Madison Dukes L 48 - 62
2016-11-17 vs App State Mountaineers L 57 - 66
2016-11-25 @ Valparaiso Beacons L 68 - 70
2016-12-03 vs Richmond Spiders L 54 - 63
2016-12-04 @ Navy Midshipmen L 66 - 67
2016-12-10 vs West Liberty Hilltoppers W 64 - 38
2016-12-19 vs Central Arkansas Sugar Bears L 41 - 61
2016-12-20 @ UTSA Roadrunners L 64 - 80
2016-12-28 @ Dayton Flyers L 53 - 82
2016-12-29 vs UMBC Retrievers L 51 - 62
2017-01-03 @ Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 81 - 72
2017-01-07 vs High Point Panthers W 81 - 74
2017-01-10 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 68 - 60
2017-01-15 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 82 - 84
2017-01-17 vs Longwood Lancers W 92 - 47
2017-01-21 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 54 - 64
2017-01-24 @ Radford Highlanders L 68 - 76
2017-01-28 vs Winthrop Eagles W 80 - 51
2017-01-31 @ Campbell Fighting Camels W 58 - 52
2017-02-04 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 66 - 63
2017-02-07 vs Radford Highlanders W 49 - 48
2017-02-11 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose L 55 - 56
2017-02-14 @ High Point Panthers L 69 - 78
2017-02-17 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 67 - 56
2017-02-21 @ Longwood Lancers W 71 - 38
2017-02-25 @ Winthrop Eagles W 78 - 63
2017-02-27 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 53 - 57
2017-03-04 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 57 - 47
2017-03-10 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers L 50 - 52

2017 Roster

No roster data available for this season.