Liberty
2017 Team Stats (3 games)
58.7
PPG
60.0
Opp
-1.3
Margin
45.3%
FG%
29.3%
3P%
68.2%
FT%
37.0
RPG
11.7
APG
19.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
59.7
Adj PPG
67.6
Adj Opp PPG
#257
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2016-2017
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 871 (#227) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 866 (#258) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 990 (#185) | HCA +87 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -9.1 (#263) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -8.7 (#257) | HCA +2.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.453 (#192) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.196 (#254) | AdjNet -12.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.187 (#256) | AdjNet -12.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.328 (#257) | AdjO 59.7 | AdjD 67.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.459 (#186) | AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 63.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.319 (#243) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.343 (#234) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 875 (#248) | RD 128 | GP 29 |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-11 | vs | Duke Blue Devils | L | 38 - 98 |
| 2016-11-15 | vs | James Madison Dukes | L | 48 - 62 |
| 2016-11-17 | vs | App State Mountaineers | L | 57 - 66 |
| 2016-11-25 | @ | Valparaiso Beacons | L | 68 - 70 |
| 2016-12-03 | vs | Richmond Spiders | L | 54 - 63 |
| 2016-12-04 | @ | Navy Midshipmen | L | 66 - 67 |
| 2016-12-10 | vs | West Liberty Hilltoppers | W | 64 - 38 |
| 2016-12-19 | vs | Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | L | 41 - 61 |
| 2016-12-20 | @ | UTSA Roadrunners | L | 64 - 80 |
| 2016-12-28 | @ | Dayton Flyers | L | 53 - 82 |
| 2016-12-29 | vs | UMBC Retrievers | L | 51 - 62 |
| 2017-01-03 | @ | Charleston Southern Buccaneers | W | 81 - 72 |
| 2017-01-07 | vs | High Point Panthers | W | 81 - 74 |
| 2017-01-10 | vs | Presbyterian Blue Hose | W | 68 - 60 |
| 2017-01-15 | @ | Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | L | 82 - 84 |
| 2017-01-17 | vs | Longwood Lancers | W | 92 - 47 |
| 2017-01-21 | @ | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | L | 54 - 64 |
| 2017-01-24 | @ | Radford Highlanders | L | 68 - 76 |
| 2017-01-28 | vs | Winthrop Eagles | W | 80 - 51 |
| 2017-01-31 | @ | Campbell Fighting Camels | W | 58 - 52 |
| 2017-02-04 | vs | Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2017-02-07 | vs | Radford Highlanders | W | 49 - 48 |
| 2017-02-11 | @ | Presbyterian Blue Hose | L | 55 - 56 |
| 2017-02-14 | @ | High Point Panthers | L | 69 - 78 |
| 2017-02-17 | vs | Charleston Southern Buccaneers | W | 67 - 56 |
| 2017-02-21 | @ | Longwood Lancers | W | 71 - 38 |
| 2017-02-25 | @ | Winthrop Eagles | W | 78 - 63 |
| 2017-02-27 | vs | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | L | 53 - 57 |
| 2017-03-04 | vs | Campbell Fighting Camels | W | 57 - 47 |
| 2017-03-10 | vs | Charleston Southern Buccaneers | L | 50 - 52 |
2017 Roster
No roster data available for this season.