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Liberty

Also known as: Liberty Flames
Program History

2019 Team Stats (19 games)

73.3
PPG
57.9
Opp
+15.4
Margin
48.2%
FG%
34.7%
3P%
75.2%
FT%
33.6
RPG
14.6
APG
10.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.2
Adj PPG
61.3
Adj Opp PPG
#72
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1232 (#35) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More โ†’ 1166 (#18) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +6.9 (#84) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +8.7 (#58) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.827 (#21) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.0 More โ†’ 0.761 (#82) AdjNet +10.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.0 More โ†’ 0.762 (#84) AdjNet +10.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 61.3 More โ†’ 0.650 (#72) AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 61.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 61.5 More โ†’ 0.657 (#38) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 61.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.751 (#50) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.752 (#45) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 115 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1240 (#32) RD 115 | GP 33

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-08 vs Maine Fort Kent Bengals W 89 - 40
2018-11-13 vs Trevecca Nazarene Trojans W 93 - 40
2018-11-16 @ Kent State Golden Flashes W 77 - 70
2018-11-19 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 70 - 79
2018-11-23 vs Alcorn State Braves W 76 - 54
2018-11-25 vs Savannah State Tigers W 82 - 56
2018-11-28 @ Navy Midshipmen W 76 - 58
2018-12-01 vs Georgia State Panthers W 78 - 52
2018-12-03 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 78 - 88
2018-12-11 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 79 - 55
2018-12-15 vs Kentucky Christian Knights W 96 - 55
2018-12-18 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 75 - 84
2018-12-21 vs Alabama State Hornets W 73 - 55
2018-12-22 @ Austin Peay Governors L 66 - 75
2018-12-29 @ UCLA Bruins W 73 - 58
2019-01-05 @ Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 81 - 63
2019-01-09 @ Stetson Hatters W 71 - 53
2019-01-12 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 69 - 53
2019-01-16 @ Kennesaw State Owls W 62 - 41
2019-01-19 vs North Florida Ospreys W 70 - 64
2019-01-21 vs North Alabama Lions W 72 - 47
2019-01-27 @ Jacksonville Dolphins W 69 - 59
2019-01-29 vs Lipscomb Bisons L 59 - 79
2019-02-02 vs NJIT Highlanders W 77 - 57
2019-02-05 vs Stetson Hatters W 57 - 54
2019-02-09 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 74 - 67
2019-02-13 @ Lipscomb Bisons W 74 - 66
2019-02-16 @ North Alabama Lions W 80 - 70
2019-02-23 @ North Florida Ospreys L 70 - 75
2019-02-26 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 76 - 59
2019-03-01 @ NJIT Highlanders W 57 - 51
2019-03-04 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 72 - 58
2019-03-07 vs North Florida Ospreys W 71 - 63
2019-03-10 @ Lipscomb Bisons W 74 - 68
2019-03-22 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs W 80 - 76
2019-03-24 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 58 - 67

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Scottie James Scottie James F 36 24.5 12.7 8.6 1.1 0.3 0.6 1.7 4.4 17.1 192 29 6.6 11.2 65.2 35.0 71.6 0.4 116.2 67.4
Caleb Homesley Caleb Homesley G 36 27.8 12.4 5.6 2.7 0.7 0.6 1.4 6.7 13.9 227 29 7.8 11.6 48.3 31.5 69.4 2.55 87.4 55.6
Lovell Cabbil Lovell Cabbil G 35 30.0 11.7 3.6 2.8 1.3 0.2 2.2 5.1 12.3 239 29 8.2 11.5 48.6 42.9 84.8 1.92 95.4 59.5
Darius McGhee Darius McGhee G 36 21.3 7.8 2.7 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.5 4.8 7.3 148 29 5.1 10.3 37.6 29.8 87.5 1.92 77.5 48.8
Elijah Cuffee Elijah Cuffee G 36 26.7 7.6 2.0 1.9 0.7 0.5 1.3 3.9 7.5 154 29 5.3 8.2 44.3 43.7 84.0 -2.69 90.7 57.9
Georgie Pacheco-Ortiz Georgie Pacheco-Ortiz G 36 25.6 7.2 1.6 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.9 2.8 8.1 223 29 7.7 12.5 43.1 47.4 80.8 3.1 113.7 56.4
Keenan Gumbs Keenan Gumbs F 36 16.6 5.9 2.2 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.9 3.1 6.0 94 29 3.2 8.6 40.0 29.7 75.0 -1.6 87.1 45.0
Myo Baxter-Bell Myo Baxter-Bell F 36 15.3 5.1 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2 1.2 2.8 5.9 122 29 4.2 11.7 49.0 0.0 78.0 0.43 75.8 49.0
Keegan McDowell Keegan McDowell G 31 10.3 2.7 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.3 44 23 1.9 8.4 46.5 32.0 100.0 -2.89 94.8 55.8
Brendan Newton Brendan Newton C 22 3.0 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.7 -7 17 -0.4 -8.5 72.7 0 30.8 -2.28 92.7 72.7
Zach Farquhar Zach Farquhar G 21 4.0 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.0 14 16 0.9 13.5 33.3 36.4 75.0 -1.13 76.3 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG