Liberty
Model Outputs
1994-1995
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 873 (#204) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 907 (#205) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 963 (#194) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.5 (#206) | HCA +3.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.9 (#221) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.355 (#204) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.286 (#204) | AdjNet -7.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.285 (#204) | AdjNet -8.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.373 (#208) | AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 69.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.414 (#212) | AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 67.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.357 (#203) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.365 (#204) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 889 (#210) | RD 151 | GP 26 |
1995 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994-11-30 | @ | Virginia Commonwealth | L | 45 - 62 |
| 1994-12-03 | vs | Western Michigan | W | 69 - 63 |
| 1994-12-06 | vs | James Madison | W | 86 - 80 |
| 1994-12-19 | @ | Missouri | L | 76 - 87 |
| 1994-12-29 | @ | Chattanooga | L | 62 - 64 |
| 1994-12-30 | N | Drexel | L | 68 - 89 |
| 1995-01-02 | @ | Colorado | L | 77 - 93 |
| 1995-01-07 | @ | UMBC | L | 57 - 60 |
| 1995-01-09 | @ | Towson | W | 72 - 59 |
| 1995-01-12 | vs | UNC Asheville | L | 46 - 57 |
| 1995-01-14 | vs | Radford | W | 64 - 52 |
| 1995-01-18 | @ | Winthrop | L | 66 - 85 |
| 1995-01-21 | vs | Charleston Southern | W | 63 - 58 |
| 1995-01-23 | vs | Coastal Carolina | W | 88 - 69 |
| 1995-01-28 | vs | Virginia Tech | L | 70 - 101 |
| 1995-01-30 | @ | UNC Greensboro | L | 54 - 67 |
| 1995-02-04 | vs | UMBC | L | 59 - 62 |
| 1995-02-06 | vs | Towson | L | 70 - 71 |
| 1995-02-09 | @ | UNC Asheville | L | 67 - 73 |
| 1995-02-11 | vs | UNC Greensboro | L | 63 - 74 |
| 1995-02-16 | vs | Winthrop | W | 70 - 68 |
| 1995-02-18 | @ | Charleston Southern | L | 70 - 72 |
| 1995-02-20 | @ | Coastal Carolina | W | 65 - 64 |
| 1995-02-25 | @ | Radford | W | 68 - 57 |
| 1995-03-02 | vs | UMBC | W | 57 - 54 |
| 1995-03-03 | vs | Charleston Southern | L | 58 - 60 |
1995 Roster
No roster data available for this season.