Lewis & Clark
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 927 (#373) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 863 (#494) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 873 (#634) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.3 (#217) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.5 (#401) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.172 (#603) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.454 (#372) | NetEff -1.4 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.022 (#542) | NetEff -26.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.172 (#503) | AdjNet -13.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.166 (#501) | AdjNet -13.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.321 (#493) | AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 67.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.444 (#491) | AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 66.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.401 (#454) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.396 (#459) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 786 (#497) | RD 102 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | vs | Pacific (OR) | L | 48 - 71 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Schreiner | W | 71 - 55 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Northwest (WA) | L | 72 - 77 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Walla Walla | W | 88 - 47 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Corban | L | 67 - 76 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Warner Pacific | L | 74 - 82 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Concordia Chicago | W | 94 - 32 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Occidental | L | 45 - 64 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Pacific (OR) | L | 66 - 69 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Northwest Indian | W | 78 - 56 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Whitman | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Whitworth | L | 62 - 67 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Willamette | L | 57 - 82 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Linfield | L | 42 - 76 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Pacific Lutheran | L | 58 - 78 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Puget Sound | L | 66 - 73 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Pacific (OR) | W | 65 - 51 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | George Fox | L | 66 - 75 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Lasu | - | 1 | 23.9 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | - | - | - | 88.9 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 81.0 | 88.9 |
| Ally Cesarini | - | 1 | 23.4 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Kaitlen Carns | - | 17 | 29.3 | 13.1 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 8.2 | 10.2 | -56 | -2.8 | -9.8 | 42.4 | 34.7 | 90.6 | -0.63 | 61.2 | 48.6 |
| Jasmine Jones | - | 1 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | -9 | -0.4 | -2.7 | 85.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 1.59 | 92.9 | 92.9 |
| Mallory Ramage | - | 1 | 19.1 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | - | 52.3 | 54.2 |
| Lauryn Frederickson | - | 13 | 27.8 | 12.1 | 8.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 12.3 | 10.2 | -68 | -4.2 | -31.9 | 33.1 | 24.0 | 92.9 | -1.74 | 44.0 | 36.9 |
| Justina Hernandez | - | 1 | 19.8 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 6 | 0.5 | 45.7 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 1.44 | 60.5 | 64.3 |
| Hailey Perez | - | 16 | 21.0 | 8.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 8.1 | 2.4 | -44 | -2.3 | -12.0 | 31.8 | 28.7 | 57.1 | -2.16 | 44.6 | 40.7 |
| Kree Nunnally | - | 1 | 13.9 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 51.5 | 50.0 |
| Layla Willams | - | 1 | 17.6 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Lilly Jordan | - | 15 | 26.3 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 7.1 | 3.0 | -100 | -5.6 | -31.8 | 34.9 | 31.2 | 69.2 | -3.47 | 46.1 | 44.3 |
| Ali McCauley | - | 13 | 22.2 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 7.4 | 2.7 | -60 | -3.8 | -17.3 | 32.3 | 28.6 | 72.2 | 0.4 | 39.9 | 36.5 |
| Madilyn Palosi | - | 4 | 17.2 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 7.2 | 2.8 | -30 | -7.5 | -52.2 | 27.6 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -1.75 | 35.7 | 34.5 |
| Divinity Singleton | - | 17 | 20.3 | 5.0 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 5.4 | 4.8 | -46 | -2.3 | -12.5 | 32.6 | 30.8 | 84.0 | 1.47 | 41.3 | 34.8 |
| Lillian Morlan | - | 2 | 9.2 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.34 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Alayna Soukup | - | 1 | 20.7 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Kaela Guidry | - | 14 | 14.0 | 4.9 | 4.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 5.4 | 3.2 | -50 | -3.6 | -23.1 | 41.3 | 0.0 | 41.2 | -4.48 | 41.8 | 41.3 |
| Danica Gosz | - | 1 | 16.3 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Ky Roussin | - | 17 | 11.8 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 3.8 | -8 | -0.4 | -3.3 | 44.2 | 0.0 | 64.0 | 1.2 | 49.2 | 44.2 |
| DJ Kendrick | - | 17 | 15.4 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 3.3 | -52 | -2.6 | -15.9 | 29.7 | 9.1 | 64.5 | -0.66 | 38.0 | 30.5 |
| Tatiana Rebanal | - | 14 | 15.2 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 3.9 | 0.6 | -71 | -3.9 | -24.7 | 27.3 | 28.6 | 25.0 | -5.13 | 34.2 | 34.5 |
| Isabella Bernard | - | 5 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 1.0 | -9 | -1.3 | -70.4 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.63 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Yahaira Bueno | - | 1 | 20.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Gabi Hoover | - | 1 | 11.7 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Madelyn Sanchez | - | 13 | 8.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 40 | 2.9 | 29.0 | 29.0 | 26.1 | 0 | 0.97 | 38.7 | 38.7 |
| Anna Chang | - | 3 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.7 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Kinnedy Scott | - | 6 | 9.2 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 21 | 2.6 | 37.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 11.1 | -2.1 | 27.0 | 33.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG