Lesley
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 886 (#423) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 845 (#422) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -44.6 (#423) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.018 (#701) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.096 (#359) | NetEff -14.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.000 (#743) | AdjNet -71.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.000 (#743) | AdjNet -75.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.018 (#742) | AdjO 40.1 | AdjD 84.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Purchase | W | 58 - 42 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | VTSU Randolph | W | 67 - 56 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Dean | L | 56 - 70 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Mount Holyoke | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | New England Col. | L | 45 - 53 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Bard | W | 47 - 44 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Wentworth | L | 52 - 59 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Fitchburg St. | L | 29 - 67 |
| 2024-12-06 | @ | SUNY Delhi | W | 76 - 45 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | SUNY Cobleskill | L | 49 - 79 |
| 2024-12-10 | @ | Mount Holyoke | L | 44 - 45 |
| 2025-01-07 | @ | Me.-Presque Isle | L | 64 - 71 |
| 2025-01-10 | vs | Maine Maritime | L | 58 - 76 |
| 2025-01-12 | vs | Husson | L | 36 - 91 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | VTSU-Johnson | W | 63 - 54 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Thomas (ME) | L | 46 - 58 |
| 2025-01-19 | @ | Me.-Farmington | L | 43 - 92 |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | Fisher | W | 50 - 36 |
| 2025-01-31 | @ | VTSU Lyndon | L | 51 - 71 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | VTSU-Johnson | W | 56 - 50 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Salem St. | L | 55 - 73 |
| 2025-02-07 | vs | SUNY Delhi | W | 61 - 32 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | SUNY Cobleskill | L | 46 - 83 |
| 2025-02-11 | vs | VTSU Lyndon | L | 45 - 49 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Fisher | W | 81 - 34 |
| 2025-02-21 | @ | VTSU Lyndon | W | 62 - 58 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | SUNY Cobleskill | L | 41 - 104 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Terry | - | 27 | 28.8 | 13.2 | 9.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3.6 | 13.6 | 9.9 | -43 | -2.0 | -2.2 | 36.8 | 31.8 | 54.1 | -0.15 | 41.9 | 38.7 |
| Ahidali Dehuelbes | - | 16 | 29.6 | 9.5 | 6.2 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 5.2 | 10.3 | 4.9 | -111 | -5.0 | -5.5 | 32.1 | 25.6 | 63.4 | -0.78 | 41.5 | 38.2 |
| Leila Chisholm | - | 27 | 35.0 | 9.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 9.5 | 7.1 | -108 | -4.2 | -4.4 | 38.1 | 26.7 | 76.3 | -0.63 | 46.8 | 44.2 |
| Abbie Price | - | 12 | 22.2 | 6.5 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 8.6 | 1.7 | -18 | -2.6 | -3.3 | 27.2 | 21.6 | 61.1 | -0.14 | 35.2 | 32.5 |
| Savannah Gravitt | - | 15 | 23.5 | 6.0 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 9.1 | -0.5 | -57 | -3.8 | -4.4 | 24.8 | 22.1 | 41.7 | -0.81 | 31.6 | 31.0 |
| Jaira Moore | - | 14 | 16.2 | 5.4 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 5.9 | 1.5 | -9 | -1.1 | -1.8 | 31.3 | 20.0 | 60.0 | 0.13 | 39.9 | 36.1 |
| Madalynn Biagi | - | 21 | 28.5 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 5.9 | 4.3 | -77 | -3.9 | -4.1 | 29.0 | 4.5 | 57.6 | -0.31 | 33.2 | 29.4 |
| Alawnah Dunda | - | 26 | 11.8 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.6 | 2.8 | -99 | -3.7 | -6.7 | 37.6 | 25.0 | 68.6 | -0.38 | 43.8 | 38.2 |
| Mariana Richwine | - | 27 | 20.7 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 2.1 | -87 | -4.0 | -6.2 | 32.5 | 23.5 | 52.9 | -0.69 | 39.2 | 37.3 |
| Hillary Berry | - | 23 | 11.3 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.7 | -98 | -5.2 | -10.6 | 21.4 | 36.4 | 61.3 | -0.86 | 36.8 | 26.2 |
| Aaliyah Wilburn | - | 16 | 11.9 | 1.2 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 3.2 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 18.9 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.24 | 24.7 | 18.9 |
| Baileigh Sinaman-dan | - | 2 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | -1.5 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| B Sinaman-daniel | - | 8 | 5.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | -0.1 | -39 | -3.0 | -14.9 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.16 | 12.5 | 12.5 |
| Baileigh Sinaman-daniel | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -39 | -3.0 | -14.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.63 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG