Lesley
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 793 (#539) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 656 (#587) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 766 (#707) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -49.0 (#471) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -47.6 (#712) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.018 (#701) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.007 (#560) | NetEff -30.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.000 (#743) | AdjNet -71.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.000 (#743) | AdjNet -75.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.018 (#742) | AdjO 40.1 | AdjD 84.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.061 (#714) | AdjO 38.7 | AdjD 68.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.013 (#723) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.016 (#722) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 609 (#570) | RD 125 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | New England Col. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Colby-Sawyer | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Mitchell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Wentworth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | VTSU-Johnson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Me.-Presque Isle | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Husson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Mount Holyoke | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | VTSU Lyndon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | SUNY Cobleskill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-11 | @ | SUNY Delhi | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Me.-Presque Isle | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Husson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | VTSU Lyndon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Me.-Farmington | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Maine Maritime | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | VTSU Randolph | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | Fisher | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Thomas (ME) | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leila Chisholm | - | 18 | 36.3 | 11.1 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 11.2 | 7.7 | -153 | -11.8 | -58.1 | 35.3 | 28.6 | 79.6 | -1.84 | 44.7 | 39.8 |
| Mirandah Bunch | - | 3 | 23.1 | 10.3 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 36.8 | 0.0 | -2.33 | 50.9 | 51.7 |
| Abbie Price | - | 6 | 26.8 | 9.8 | 5.2 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 4.3 | 11.5 | 2.2 | 34 | 1.7 | 8.4 | 27.5 | 16.7 | 64.0 | -1.01 | 36.9 | 31.2 |
| Alawnah Dunda | - | 16 | 31.8 | 9.7 | 9.4 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 11.4 | 7.1 | -124 | -10.3 | -47.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 54.1 | -1.07 | 36.9 | 33.3 |
| Savannah Gravitt | - | 12 | 28.7 | 9.5 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 13.4 | 0.1 | -14 | -2.0 | -13.0 | 23.6 | 22.5 | 57.1 | -1.64 | 32.3 | 29.2 |
| Madalynn Biagi | - | 18 | 37.2 | 6.9 | 6.3 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 4.3 | 9.3 | 6.2 | -138 | -10.6 | -52.6 | 28.1 | 20.5 | 60.5 | -3.23 | 34.0 | 30.5 |
| Charlotte Meixsell | - | 12 | 20.7 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 6.1 | -1.1 | -54 | -5.4 | -45.8 | 24.7 | 16.7 | 60.0 | -1.75 | 28.6 | 27.4 |
| Shayla King | - | 18 | 24.9 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 6.6 | -1.1 | -175 | -13.5 | -85.0 | 19.3 | 13.9 | 66.7 | -5.47 | 24.8 | 21.4 |
| Mirandah Buch | - | 3 | 18.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 8.7 | -4.3 | - | - | - | 7.7 | 6.7 | 100.0 | - | 13.0 | 9.6 |
| Mariana Richwine | - | 6 | 24.1 | 2.2 | 5.5 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 7.0 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 9.5 | 15.4 | 27.3 | -0.36 | 13.9 | 11.9 |
| Chelsea McIntosh | - | 3 | 22.9 | 0.3 | 8.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 6.3 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 1.68 | 10.5 | 0.0 |
| Baileigh Sinaman-Daniel | - | 12 | 15.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | -0.4 | -99 | -9.9 | -69.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.59 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Baileigh Sinaman-Dan | - | 2 | 22.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -3.0 | -24 | -8.0 | -49.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.07 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG