Lesley
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 929 (#392) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 870 (#413) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -27.9 (#415) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.103 (#736) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.178 (#448) | NetEff -12.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.010 (#775) | AdjNet -39.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.010 (#775) | AdjNet -39.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.062 (#773) | AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 90.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Gordon | L | 75 - 85 |
| 2024-11-12 | @ | Curry | W | 86 - 68 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Brandeis | L | 65 - 118 |
| 2024-11-19 | @ | Dean | L | 70 - 89 |
| 2024-11-21 | vs | Rivier | L | 87 - 91 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Framingham St. | L | 68 - 78 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | New England Col. | W | 79 - 66 |
| 2024-12-03 | @ | Fitchburg St. | L | 72 - 95 |
| 2024-12-06 | @ | SUNY Delhi | L | 72 - 78 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | SUNY Cobleskill | L | 71 - 91 |
| 2024-12-11 | @ | Stonehill | L | 53 - 97 |
| 2025-01-07 | @ | Me.-Presque Isle | L | 64 - 84 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Me.-Presque Isle | L | 65 - 84 |
| 2025-01-10 | vs | Maine Maritime | L | 56 - 82 |
| 2025-01-12 | vs | Husson | L | 82 - 94 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | VTSU-Johnson | L | 85 - 93 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Thomas (ME) | L | 62 - 85 |
| 2025-01-19 | @ | Me.-Farmington | L | 72 - 86 |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | Fisher | L | 86 - 98 |
| 2025-01-31 | @ | VTSU Lyndon | W | 82 - 69 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | VTSU-Johnson | L | 79 - 89 |
| 2025-02-07 | vs | SUNY Delhi | W | 78 - 61 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | SUNY Cobleskill | L | 58 - 68 |
| 2025-02-11 | vs | VTSU Lyndon | W | 88 - 80 |
| 2025-02-21 | @ | SUNY Delhi | L | 59 - 75 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louie Semona | - | 1 | 27.0 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 33.3 | 85.7 | - | 70.3 | 64.3 |
| Frankie Idlett | - | 1 | 31.0 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | -28 | -2.0 | -3.6 | 56.2 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.27 | 59.0 | 56.2 |
| Matt Constant | - | 1 | 29.0 | 22.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | -10 | -1.0 | -1.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.05 | 81.4 | 70.0 |
| Scott Lewis | - | 1 | 32.0 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | -36 | -2.2 | -7.2 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 83.3 | 0.03 | 75.1 | 70.8 |
| Raymond Baka | - | 1 | 36.0 | 20.0 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | -143 | -7.9 | -50.5 | 76.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.42 | 74.4 | 76.9 |
| Matthew Carter | - | 2 | 39.5 | 19.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 17.5 | 7.5 | -30 | -2.0 | -15.7 | 37.1 | 16.7 | 64.7 | 0.25 | 45.9 | 40.0 |
| Billy Ray Barnes | - | 1 | 33.0 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | -7 | -0.5 | -1.0 | 69.2 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.89 | 70.7 | 69.2 |
| Kyle Philistin | - | 1 | 33.0 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 12.0 | 5 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 53.8 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.69 | 67.0 | 69.2 |
| Todd Brogna | - | 1 | 21.0 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 66.7 | 100.0 | - | 73.5 | 70.0 |
| Tope Alao | - | 1 | 22.0 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | -14 | -1.2 | -3.1 | 62.5 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 0.47 | 82.0 | 75.0 |
| Hermann Koffi | - | 1 | 24.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 75.9 | 72.2 |
| Christian Yeates | - | 1 | 31.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 46.2 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 54.0 | 50.0 |
| Korbin Gann | - | 1 | 21.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 24 | 6.0 | 17.7 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0.06 | 78.1 | 78.6 |
| Jason Baker | - | 1 | 35.0 | 13.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | -46 | -3.1 | -23.5 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 0.32 | 39.1 | 28.6 |
| Lukas Sward | - | 1 | 26.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | -125 | -7.8 | -46.8 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 0.43 | 78.5 | 60.0 |
| Alex Bates IV | - | 1 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 25.0 | 50.0 | - | 63.5 | 64.3 |
| Marshall Kerley | - | 1 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | -1 | -0.5 | -0.8 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 0.06 | 72.7 | 66.7 |
| Mohammed Semega | - | 2 | 25.5 | 9.5 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 11.5 | -86 | -4.8 | -31.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 77.8 | 0.35 | 59.5 | 50.0 |
| Greg Farrow | - | 1 | 32.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | -52 | -3.5 | -7.3 | 6.7 | 25.0 | 85.7 | 0.37 | 24.9 | 10.0 |
| Joey Merrill | - | 1 | 37.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 25 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.8 | 47.7 | 44.4 |
| Josh Saint Jean | - | 1 | 32.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | -13 | -1.6 | -3.8 | 80.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.36 | 76.5 | 80.0 |
| Odarius Cade | - | 1 | 40.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 27 | 2.5 | 5.1 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.06 | 36.4 | 36.4 |
| Ty Henke | - | 1 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | -24 | -1.3 | -7.1 | 42.9 | 40.0 | 0 | 0.47 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Amir Nesbitt | - | 1 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 43.8 | 43.8 |
| Ja'maine Davenport | - | 1 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | -34 | -2.4 | -5.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.56 | 45.1 | 33.3 |
| Randy Vasquez | - | 1 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 66.7 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.88 | 73.5 | 66.7 |
| Makyle Hayes | - | 1 | 38.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 71.4 | 0.23 | 38.5 | 16.7 |
| Sabree Glover | - | 2 | 14.0 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 6.5 | 28 | 3.5 | 201.8 | 71.4 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.75 | 74.2 | 71.4 |
| Ethan Meuser | - | 1 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| PJ Brinkman | - | 1 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | -3 | -1.5 | -51.4 | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.14 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Christopher Melis | - | 1 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 72.7 | 66.7 |
| Chas Stinson | - | 1 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 42.5 | 40.0 |
| Connor Heald | - | 1 | 30.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | -38 | -1.7 | -11.5 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 0.68 | 30.0 | 28.6 |
| Darone Frierson | - | 2 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 40 | 5.7 | 104.6 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.38 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Pearse McGuinn | - | 1 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Jaisan Parker | - | 1 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | -4.0 | -18 | -6.0 | -18.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.02 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Gil Matondo | - | 1 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.8 | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.63 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Josh Morgan | - | 1 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Kesean Shillingford | - | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Matt Youngquist | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -17 | -1.3 | -8.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.07 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Dylan Burpee | - | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -2.0 | -26 | -1.9 | -878.9 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.43 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Jamar Callum | - | 2 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 13.3 | 0.0 |
| Charlie Diamantis | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Neal Marquardt | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jake TenBerge | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Quinten Jones | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -3 | -3.0 | -20.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Josh Minton | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 10 | 1.7 | 105.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.94 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Harlan Nichols | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -13 | -2.2 | -7.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tyler Nordstrom | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -18 | -2.0 | -10.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Noah Ritchards | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -40 | -3.3 | -9.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.02 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavier Rubio | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23 | 3.8 | 245.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.97 | 0 | 0 |
| Javaun Calhoun | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Joshua-Daniel Okafor | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12 | 12.0 | 2.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.76 | 0 | 0 |
| Ja'Quin Taylor | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -3.0 | 7 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.38 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Joshua Barthelemy | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10 | 2.5 | 222.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.23 | 0 | 0 |
| Greg Fitzgerald | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16 | 5.3 | 206.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.99 | 0 | 0 |
| Abdulaziz Sesay | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 1.5 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.23 | 0 | 0 |
| Eli Wilson | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -18 | -4.5 | -15.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG